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Old 11-11-2007, 11:06 AM   #1 (permalink)
EGGY6199
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Default system bet 4-2 ats

this weeks early plays

Pits -10 3 units (biggest result ever )
Ravens -3.5 1 unit
Saints -10.5 1 unit


thoughts please?
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Old 11-11-2007, 11:11 AM   #2 (permalink)
laxdjock
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Pit should roll. I'd LOVE a big game from Big Ben...he's my FF starter.

Ravens.....that is just a bad game for betters. Cincy can post 24 pts and the Ravens are DONE....hell, 17 may get it done. B'more has no offense, which will require their DEF to score to even have a shot at that game. That being said, Cincy is inventing new ways to lose games, I wouldn't put them past another meltdown.

Saints look good.

BOL!
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Old 11-11-2007, 11:24 AM   #3 (permalink)
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right dropped the ravens based on gut and injuries how about the cheifs?
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Old 11-11-2007, 11:38 AM   #4 (permalink)
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DEN is a tough team to read. I think their QB carousel (more to come) is going to be problematic. I usually go with the CHIEFS at Arrowhead. This game worries me because DEN could gut one out, but I think KC pulls this out more often than not. With that being said....I'd pass.

I took my extra betting money and doubled down on DET +1, and I placed a bet on BUF -4. I wish I got in at -3 when it posted, but I think they win by at least 10.
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Old 11-11-2007, 11:46 AM   #5 (permalink)
EGGY6199
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i like miami here system has them just under a play win by 5
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Old 11-11-2007, 12:05 PM   #6 (permalink)
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whats the system eggy?
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Old 11-11-2007, 12:15 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Its very basic.. and I use it as a pointer as using my brian has been a real mess this year

Points Diff = 1 point means one on the spread
Yards Diff = 10 yards means one point on the spread
Home Team gets +3

Total this up to see how many points a team should win by and then take away the spread.

After the spread then
Any team which should win by 7-9.5 is a 1 unit play
Any team which should win by 10-13.5 is a 2 unit play
Any team which should win by 14 + is a 3 unit play

After this check out the Key injuries hence as Ravens have shit CBs this weak they become a pass against a throwing team
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Old 11-11-2007, 12:26 PM   #8 (permalink)
jackpot269
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Quote:
Originally Posted by laxdjock View Post
DEN is a tough team to read. I think their QB carousel (more to come) is going to be problematic. I usually go with the CHIEFS at Arrowhead. This game worries me because DEN could gut one out, but I think KC pulls this out more often than not. With that being said....I'd pass.

I took my extra betting money and doubled down on DET +1, and I placed a bet on BUF -4. I wish I got in at -3 when it posted, but I think they win by at least 10.
i agree i got det. +1- & itook kc@3 BOL veryone
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Old 11-11-2007, 12:36 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EGGY6199 View Post
i like miami here system has them just under a play win by 5
I'm on the Miami Dolphins today +3 EGGY6199.

I like the Baltimore play, but I'm not on it.

Watch the KC lean, I think Denver has considerable potential to 'show up' after their humiliation in Detroit . . .
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Old 11-11-2007, 12:42 PM   #10 (permalink)
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I played the Cheifs and now wish I havn't.

However Den are bad aganst the run and the cheifs are a running team.

Latter plays Dallas 1 unit
Oakland 2 units (Hester factor doesn't show in system though)
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Old 11-11-2007, 02:06 PM   #11 (permalink)
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FING AWFUL START. Rams finally find some Off while the Saints are back to where they where before.

Pits not finishing and a silly special KO return

Cheifs in the game we will see
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Old 11-11-2007, 02:36 PM   #12 (permalink)
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PIT has Big Ben...I think he'll get back on track....hopefully.

Brees and 2 INT...ugh. He has the ability to throw 3-4 TDs in the 2nd half....I mean, StL secondary...SUCKS!
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Old 11-11-2007, 08:18 PM   #13 (permalink)
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mmmmm 1-5 on the system

colts the last pick
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