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Old 10-30-2007, 10:43 AM   #1 (permalink)
qwel22
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Default cincy/buffalo game week 9

cincy -1.5? losman will prob be starting. i think rudi johnson might be back.

o/u 43 seems kinda high but i am thinking over. cincy and buf both have weaker defenses.


feedback?
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Old 10-30-2007, 11:55 AM   #2 (permalink)
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I really like Cincy...but they are all over the place this year. I don't think BUF will put up points, so that is why I will probably go with Cincy.
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Old 10-30-2007, 12:02 PM   #3 (permalink)
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I agree Cincy is a good pick. I think they are about ready to break out. Buf stinks.
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Old 10-30-2007, 01:55 PM   #4 (permalink)
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I'm in for 1 unit on Cincy -1.5. I may drop another on it, though I think the line may move before I do that.
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Old 10-30-2007, 04:44 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Bills opened at -3 and quickly got bet down, and are now the underdogs.
Quote:
Pinnacle Movement:
Pointspreads

* 10/28/2007 8:31PM: +3 -110 / -3 +102 Opener
* 10/28/2007 8:34PM: +3 -114 / -3 +106
* 10/28/2007 8:35PM: +3 -118 / -3 +110
* 10/28/2007 8:37PM: +3 -122 / -3 +114
* 10/28/2007 8:39PM: +3 -126 / -3 +118
* 10/28/2007 8:51PM: +3 -122 / -3 +114
* 10/28/2007 8:53PM: +3 -126 / -3 +118
* 10/28/2007 9:10PM: +1 +112 / -1 -120
* 10/28/2007 10:04PM: +1 +110 / -1 -118
* 10/29/2007 1:56AM: +1 +108 / -1 -116
* 10/30/2007 11:27AM: -1 -106 / +1 -102

Bookmaker movement
Pointspreads

* 10/28/2007 8:37PM: +3 -125 / -3 +105 Opener
* 10/29/2007 1:44PM: +2 -110 / -2 -110
* 10/29/2007 3:46PM: +1 -110 / -1 -110
* 10/29/2007 5:43PM: -1.5 -110 / +1.5 -110
* 10/29/2007 5:46PM: -1 -110 / +1 -110
* 10/29/2007 7:21PM: -1.5 -110 / +1.5 -110

The Greek movement
Pointspreads

* 10/28/2007 7:53PM: +3 -125 / -3 +105 Opener
* 10/29/2007 1:36PM: +2.5 -115 / -2.5 -105
* 10/29/2007 2:39PM: +2.5 -105 / -2.5 -115
* 10/29/2007 3:13PM: +2.5 -115 / -2.5 -105
* 10/29/2007 3:45PM: +1.5 -115 / -1.5 -105
* 10/29/2007 4:32PM: +1.5 -105 / -1.5 -115
* 10/29/2007 5:43PM: +1.5 -110 / -1.5 -110
* 10/29/2007 5:44PM: +1.5 -115 / -1.5 -105
* 10/30/2007 2:06AM: +1 -115 / -1 -105
* 10/30/2007 2:07AM: -1 -110 / +1 -110
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Old 10-30-2007, 04:46 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Love Cincy. Bills win as an underdog on the road and now come home and lay points to a team who can score a bunch. Cincy wins outright.
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Old 10-31-2007, 01:37 AM   #7 (permalink)
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I would also take Cincy, but I have been wrong plenty of times this year
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Old 10-31-2007, 08:13 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by copper View Post
Love Cincy. Bills win as an underdog on the road and now come home and lay points to a team who can score a bunch. Cincy wins outright.
Actually, Cincinnati is now laying points cooper. I have no feel for this game right now, although I may actually consider Buffalo as a home dog if they go to +3.
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Old 10-31-2007, 09:02 AM   #9 (permalink)
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That was a huge more - 4 points in a couple of days. Rare that the oddsmakers would get one that wrong.
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Old 10-31-2007, 09:06 AM   #10 (permalink)
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Yes at +3 I would take Buff anything less I would take Cinn.
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Old 10-31-2007, 02:24 PM   #11 (permalink)
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This is going to be a different team again with Lossman at the wheel, Maybe they will try for some of the long balls again, which edwards didnt have the arm for, but lossman makes bad decisions and tries to do to much himself. The defenese is doing a pretty good job for losing a number of key starters. a couple players have returned to the team, so they might be able to hold off the offense. Weather in Buffalo is nice today, and supposed to be good for the game. I agree at first look the line looks too good but cinci is a worse team on paper. Wierd line in my opinion.
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Old 10-31-2007, 02:41 PM   #12 (permalink)
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This looks too much like the PITT @ DEN Monday night game where PITT was -3. DEN won as home dog against a better team and I get the feeling the same is going to happen here. I say BUF +3 or BUF ML if you can't get the 3.
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