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09-07-2007, 08:21 PM
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#1 (permalink)
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SBR High Roller
Join Date: 08-19-07
Posts: 147
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need best parlay possible
Ok i want to play a parlay 3 teams.. what is the best bet possible for next sunday games?
Thx for your help guys!
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09-07-2007, 08:32 PM
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#2 (permalink)
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SBR Sharp
Join Date: 08-25-07
Posts: 283
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teaser is better and I would go
steelers
patriots
chargers
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09-07-2007, 08:33 PM
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#3 (permalink)
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SBR Sharp
Join Date: 09-24-06
Location: Wisconsin
Posts: 254
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Parlays are not the right way to go.
Stick with straight wagers.
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09-07-2007, 08:40 PM
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#4 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 12-11-06
Location: Back in Austin!!!
Posts: 2,273
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6 point teaser: SD and SEA. Easy Money. And I agree, unless you're playing a small bet, then go with the straight wagers. If you're looking at a small wager, then go with your parlay. In that case, I like SD, Pitt, and Sea.
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09-07-2007, 09:03 PM
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#5 (permalink)
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SBR Hustler
Join Date: 09-05-07
Location: Under the Maple Street bridge at I-70
Posts: 54
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Got Colts from last night and Texans on Sunday in my teaser. I like Texans Jags and Pats in a 3 team this Sunday.
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09-07-2007, 09:29 PM
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#6 (permalink)
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SBR Sharp
Join Date: 08-29-07
Posts: 454
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If you only play 3 teams parlay you'll not last long in NFL. I would highly suggest you bet 3 straight games instead of 3teams parlay there.
GL.
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09-07-2007, 10:33 PM
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#7 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 12-11-06
Location: Back in Austin!!!
Posts: 2,273
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Quote:
Originally Posted by White_Tiger
If you only play 3 teams parlay you'll not last long in NFL. I would highly suggest you bet 3 straight games instead of 3teams parlay there.
GL.
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Or Round Robin your parlays (1&2), (1&3), (2&3) and play the games straight as well... I'll throw in a casual 3 team parlay on occasion but only if I'm up and it's a small wager.
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09-08-2007, 09:55 AM
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#8 (permalink)
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SBR Sharp
Join Date: 09-25-06
Posts: 312
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Stay away from the parlays, play it straight up instead
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09-08-2007, 11:17 AM
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#9 (permalink)
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SBR Hustler
Join Date: 06-07-07
Posts: 58
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Pitts Seattle and Philly
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09-08-2007, 12:18 PM
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#10 (permalink)
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SBR Rookie
Join Date: 09-08-07
Location: Las Vegas
Posts: 22
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Round Robin is the way to go.
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09-08-2007, 03:36 PM
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#11 (permalink)
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SBR Wise Guy
Join Date: 02-22-06
Location: FL
Posts: 655
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Prediction:
Falcons 24, Vikings 16
Falcons +3 (5 Units - Double Money Pick)
Over 35.5 (1 Unit)
Prediction:
Bills 17, Broncos 16
Bills +3 (3 Units - Money Pick)
Under 37 (.5 Units)
Prediction:
Steelers 27, Browns 7
Steelers -4.5 (3 Units - Money Pick)
Under 37 (.5 Units)
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09-08-2007, 04:11 PM
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#12 (permalink)
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SBR Sharp
Join Date: 08-22-07
Posts: 348
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Giants, Bengals, 49ers-Cards-over
__________________
REMEMBER, this is only my opinion.
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09-08-2007, 06:26 PM
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#13 (permalink)
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SBR Sharp
Join Date: 12-31-06
Posts: 425
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The decision to bet 3 games straight up at 3.3 units (adjust for the juice you pay) to hopefully sweep and win 3 units vs. a 3 game parlay at 0.5 unit to win 3 units isn't so straightforward IMO.
If you win all 3 games, you make the same amount, + 3 units.
If you win 2 out of 3, you make +0.9 units on your straight bets vs. -0.5 units parlay.
If you win 1 out of 3 games, you are -1.2 units straight vs. -0.5 units parlay.
If you go 0-3, you are a disastorous -3.3 units staright vs. -0.5 units parlay.
So the only scenario that's better playing 3 games straight is hitting 2 of 3.
I think it comes down to how much it would affect your handicapping and your bankroll management should you lose all 3 games.
Every couple of weeks, someone posts a dramatic thread on the main section of the forum on how they need to take a break for awhile. I doubt it's because they're winning too much. I'm pretty sure it's because they've had a really bad streak of straight wagers gone sour.
I'm playing NE -6
StL/Car over 43
Pitt/Cle over 36 1/2
If I don't hit it, they can all lose for all I care.
Last edited by Art Vandeleigh : 09-08-2007 at 06:29 PM.
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09-08-2007, 10:12 PM
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#14 (permalink)
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SBR High Roller
Join Date: 08-29-07
Posts: 147
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The Pats, Seahawks and Chargers are going to be involved in a boatload of teasers on Sunday - which probably means at least one them will blow up 
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09-08-2007, 10:21 PM
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#15 (permalink)
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SBR High Roller
Join Date: 08-23-07
Posts: 172
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opportunity knocks
the start of any betting season whether it it be ncaafb/bb, nfl, or baseball seems to offer such a tremendous opportunity to take advantage of overzealous fans (the average 50-100 player) whose opinion is very strong since they dont yet have 6 weeks of getting hammered under their belts yet. i always look for dogs early in the year and more specifically i look for lines like pitt -4' dropping to -4 in the midst of 99% of the betting public loving the steelers. so 99 small players bet pittsburgh for $50 thinking that cleveland stinks, has no qb, and pitt loks certain to turn things around this year, but its the one guy in vegas who just bet $10k on cleveland that counters the $4950 just bet on pittsburgh (99x$50) that drops the line a half point and you get pittsburgh -4 now and wonder how the heck did that happen - everyone loves pittsburgh right?? every thread in this forum seems to have the steelers as a BEST BET yet the line is actually moving the other way. now i dont know if it will be jamal lewis ball control, with i little play action to winslow sprinked in and a braylan edwards bomb or 2 as a cherry on top, or if it will be turnovers, special teams heroics or phil dawson kicking 6 field goals, but mark nmy words somehow someway CLEVELAND WILL COVER. later in the year come week 7 the betting public has usually had it handed to them and their voice isnt so loud plus lines get tighter and opportunities like this are fewer and farther between. most everyone is loving denver, seattle, pittsburgh and ST louis this week. these ar 90% betting public consensus plays. in my beat the prick contest entry i used akron +33 ( covered losing 20-2 vs OHIO ST) and 3 nfl plays cleve +4', buff +3, and tampabay +6. all 3 nfl plays' lines are moving toward the dog with the betting public fixated on the favorite, which is my reasoning for following the few who bet giant on the dog vs. the many who bet tiny on the favorite. now who the hell knows until the games are final, but this is and always has been my betting strategy and ive had success year in year out with it. the time i shave run into big trouble is when i amp up my bets as the season progresses rather than cut back or when i bet 3 and 4 team parlays to which i am the absolut eking of going 2-1 or 3-1 respectively winning 70-80% of my games for the week and still reloading my account 5 times during the week. straight bets are the ONLY way to go my friend with , if you must, a $20 4 teamer for kicks, but the parlays will kill you so its time to determine if you just want to be an action junkie and live with losing every year chalking it up to the loser's mentality of "hey, i spent the money as entertainment" or if you want to get serious about making money betting larger amounts on straight bets early in seasons. it is so important to clearly define to yourself who it that you want to be in the betting world and what your goals are lest you get the Malachi Crunch around week seven and lick your wounds for a month only to pawn your vcr to get a $20 7 teamer going during bowl season. PS i used to work for a sport service i know what goes on behind the scenes - if you pay one you are making a big mistake. if anyone wants insider details on just ask and i will give you a tell all. so its cleve/buf/tb in the nfl week 1. happy hunting, and if you must parlay these then you might as well make it a money line parlay which should pay about 14 to 1, but i never recommend parlays.
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09-08-2007, 10:29 PM
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#16 (permalink)
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SBR Hall of Famer
Join Date: 07-25-07
Location: South Carolina
Posts: 5,573
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cartay
The Pats, Seahawks and Chargers are going to be involved in a boatload of teasers on Sunday - which probably means at least one them will blow up 
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That is so true !!!! great observation there SIR
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09-08-2007, 10:32 PM
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#17 (permalink)
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SBR Hall of Famer
Join Date: 07-25-07
Location: South Carolina
Posts: 5,573
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MOONCRICKET
the start of any betting season whether it it be ncaafb/bb, nfl, or baseball seems to offer such a tremendous opportunity to take advantage of overzealous fans (the average 50-100 player) whose opinion is very strong since they dont yet have 6 weeks of getting hammered under their belts yet. i always look for dogs early in the year and more specifically i look for lines like pitt -4' dropping to -4 in the midst of 99% of the betting public loving the steelers. so 99 small players bet pittsburgh for $50 thinking that cleveland sti | | |