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Old 01-12-2007, 05:25 PM   #1 (permalink)
RickySteve
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Default Bodog NFL Prop

What will be the home teams record this week-end in the NFL PLAYOFFS?

All wagers have action. No Parlays. Max $100

0-4 +820
1-3 +400
2-2 +180
3-1 +175
4-0 +250

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Based on the implied odds of Pinnacle's moneylines, the true price for 3-1 should be +142.5. The limit is tiny, but this is excellent value while it lasts. It's already come down from +195.
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Old 01-12-2007, 06:28 PM   #2 (permalink)
Dogpounder
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Talk about betting on the come, 3 out of 4 home team victories would be unbelievable for these franchises hosting the games.

New Orleans - 1 playoff victory since 1967
Chicago - Last playoff win in 1995
San Diego - Last playoff win in 1994
Only Baltimore has won a playoff game this century, but it's been 5 years now.

And don't bother telling me you don't bet on uniforms - there's an important word in sports betting - intangible - not a word to be underestimated. Players that put on a uniform of a franchise with a history of losing or underperforming....well, don't be surprised when they underperform as well.

It'd take about about +500 for me to be interested in this craziness.

Last edited by Dogpounder : 01-12-2007 at 06:51 PM.
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Old 01-13-2007, 02:13 AM   #3 (permalink)
Seattle Slew
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I like all the road teams this weekend. The home field is not as big a deal as it was 10-15 years ago because of the parity in the NFL.

For all the talk about the Bears great home field advantage, look at the facts. They lost outright their last two playoff games at home as the No. 2 seed.
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Old 01-13-2007, 02:49 AM   #4 (permalink)
RickySteve
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Awesome, PM me with contact info and I'll lay -200 on not 3-1 for as high as you geniuses can count.
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