SEATTLE/Oakland Monday Night Football ~ November 6th

Checkerboard · 10-30-2006, 09:41 AM

Next week's MNF, I got SEA - 7 down early, I simply see it as
a perception value thing (OAK's been doing some covering and
beat PITT and SEA lost barn burner to KC). I think SEA will
set these perceptions straight.

Dougoudou · 11-02-2006, 06:39 PM

I like your thinking but the pts are too many for my taste. I like the teaser though.

Illusion · 11-03-2006, 05:55 AM

With Oakland's pisspoor offense they better create turnovers like they did last week if they wanna have a chance.

anthon9283 · 11-04-2006, 02:27 AM

For some reason I would rather just stay away from this game. Seattle isnt that hot not having Alexander or Hasselbeck. I think a starting tackle is out too?

Checkerboard · 11-04-2006, 08:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by anthon9283

For some reason I would rather just stay away from this game. Seattle isnt that hot not having Alexander or Hasselbeck. I think a starting tackle is out too?

My thinking here is that the SEA QB/T situation is written into
the line ~ that is, that the number would be higher if the Knight Rider was playing . . . But more importantly for me here is that I perceive the line as distorted in OAK direction
because they've covered last two ATS while SEA's been busy
not covering ATS for their last for games ATS. I think things
are due for a correction. I may be wrong here, it's simply a
percentage play. I'm hoping SEA is due for and accomplishes one of their patented, wide-margin home victories over poor
record teams - Knight Rider or no Knight Rider. (And their
replacement did pretty good in his Arrowhead dress rehearsal)
GL this weekend!

Checkerboard · 11-04-2006, 07:55 PM

I've been looking more closely at the two offenses here. I think SEA will attempt conservative play with an emphasis on no-mistake football leading to something like 17 points in
the game. Latest is no Knight Rider or Alexander. As Illusion
pointed out OAK might have to score on turnovers, but there's
also punt return special teams and Randy Moss deep patterns.
Randy Moss is about due to start hanging on to a couple of
those where he uncharacteristically hasn't been so far this season. Also SEA has been a little vulnerable to the deep pattern so there exist some possibilities for OAK scores.
I'm glad I got the -7, I wouldn't lay more. I probably shouldn't
have laid the 7!

Checkerboard · 11-04-2006, 07:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by anthon9283

For some reason I would rather just stay away from this game. Seattle isnt that hot not having Alexander or Hasselbeck. I think a starting tackle is out too?

I think you're right here Anthon, if this play comes in for me,
I'll still agree with you afterward - that it would've been one to stay away from . . .

Checkerboard · 11-07-2006, 12:05 AM

phew! I watched the whole last quarter on tenterhooks just
waiting for SEA to TO and OAK run in for TD and cover.
I won, but will stay away from low total games with large
spreads from now on. Basically when one bets either side
in a game like this, one's not really betting the game. One's
betting there will or won't be a scoring TO! So to sit and
watch it is brutal, but at least the unit came in for me in the end . . .