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Old 10-26-2006, 07:01 PM   #1 (permalink)
Dark Horse
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Join Date: 12-14-05
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Default RD's with bite...

Some interesting patterns for teams one game before their bye week.

Most impressive in this situation are road dogs coming off a SU or ATS loss. The psychological explanation is fairly simple. They're feeling bad about the last game, and want to avoid feeling even worse during the next two weeks between games; plus they have to prove themselves on the road (home teams aren't nearly as responsive in this spot). These teams have a lot on the line emotionally and will play accordingly. Expect them to win at a rate of about 65-68% ATS.

Team in this spot this week: Arizona Cardinals +4
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Old 10-26-2006, 07:37 PM   #2 (permalink)
falloutboy35
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i agree with you there...even tho ppl are saying GB is gonna serve an ass whooping, the cards are for one due for a win, i think the cards D is better than the packers, and the

2-9 ATS

where as the cards are
2-5 ATS, and we all saw what the cards can do, and did against CHI

but i found this stat which is very very interesting to me....listen to this dark horse...

2-10-1 ATS last 13 away in October for the Cards...
as a road dog of 3.5 - 7 pts the cards are also 1-5

they are 1-4 on the road ATS
and they are 1-4 SU against GB...

tough game

GB is 4-1 SU against ARI
i have a small lean towards the packers but i like ARI gettin 3 pts.
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