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Old 10-05-2006, 02:56 PM   #1 (permalink)
imgv94
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Default Buffalo Bills Team Total Under 13 Any thoughts?

Buffalo Bills TT Under 13pts

Any thoughts?? Sure looks good to me.. How about you?

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Old 10-05-2006, 03:31 PM   #2 (permalink)
McBa1n
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I think this is a bad line - so that means it's probably a good one.
I actually favor the over by the slimmest of margins.

Buffalo can run the ball and has a playmaking receiver in Price. Those 2 factors make it hard to take under 2 TDs.

Buffalo has a pretty decent D and can score on D (I think Takeo Spikes being available to play helps a LOT with that - not sure his status this week, yet.) They've also put up points on some pretty solid Ds this year - and on the road, and they're an AFC team (always worth something, as the AFC is much better).

I think it's too close a line. Handicapping says Buffalo will barely cover that number - my gut says 'no way at Soldier Field'.

I don't think you'll have a big enough edge to make it worth taking... Unless you really have a strong feeling about Chicago this weekend. If there's one team that can hold down ANY team to under a TD, it's Chi.
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Old 10-05-2006, 03:41 PM   #3 (permalink)
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J.P Losman @ Soldier Field...

Buffalo TT so far this year
17-16-20-17

Now take into consideration their on the road versus the best defense in the NFL...
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Old 10-05-2006, 04:34 PM   #4 (permalink)
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I am not disputing the logic - hell no.
It's just the stupid things that happen and the x factors.
I don't know how 'up' for the game the Bears will be. They WANTED Seattle real bad. Buffalo? I havn't had a chance to go over the local Chi news yet to get a pulse.
I am NOT a big fan of Losman, either...
I think that line is so razor thin that it's hard. 14 1/2, I'd feel MUCH better (I'd jump on it myself)... I think Buffalo is capable of a TD, and then you have to pray for nothing else.

I think the BIGGEST factor is if you think the game will be close. If it's close, then I think you're good. If Chi puts up a lot of points and then backs off on D, I think you might be in trouble.

No way I kill the pick, though. It's so very close.
I can see it going either way - by a slim margin. If it were 14 1/2, though, I think you'd be money.

Also, take into consideration, my totals record is very bad historically (1 - 1 in bets this year in the NFL), I make a lot of mistakes in predicting the totals.
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Old 10-05-2006, 11:10 PM   #5 (permalink)
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I'd go the over on that line, personally, if you put a gun to my head
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Old 10-06-2006, 12:09 AM   #6 (permalink)
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Like the thought, with only concern being defensive points as Grossman still capable of throwing pick like he did in Minn...
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Old 10-06-2006, 12:11 AM   #7 (permalink)
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i would stay away from the total in this game.
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Old 10-06-2006, 01:55 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Looks pretty good, I also think Cleveland under 14.5, Tennessee under 14.5, and Baltimore under 14.5 look nice, Denver has only given up 1 TD all year.
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Old 10-07-2006, 07:05 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Whoever got the Bills under 13, I'm jealous! It's at 11.5 at Pinny right now. I gotta check this forum more often. Nice find imgv94!

I am following rm18's Browns U14.5 & Titans U14.5, still available -102 @ Pinny. I don't like the Ravens U14.5 as much, because I half expect the Ravens D to score a TD even if Denver holds the Raven's offense to a few FGs.

I've never played team totals before, so we'll see how this weekend goes.
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Old 10-08-2006, 12:28 AM   #10 (permalink)
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I think Buffalo will score a special teams TD tomorrow, fwiw.
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Old 10-08-2006, 05:26 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Buffalo should have been shutout today. They got great feild position on a fumble from Chicago late in garbage time.
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Old 10-08-2006, 05:28 PM   #12 (permalink)
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I played this very small..
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Old 10-09-2006, 07:22 PM   #13 (permalink)
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I can't believe these all hit, maybe I should stick to team totals and props, cuz I still lost yesterday even though I got these 3.
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Old 10-09-2006, 07:25 PM   #14 (permalink)
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Now the question is, what about Buffalo under 19.5 or 20 this Sunday in Detroit?

Freakin' Kitna and his handouts may be the biggest problem to overcome . . .
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Old 10-09-2006, 07:34 PM   #15 (permalink)
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I would go under 20.5 if you can find that number, or no play
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Old 10-09-2006, 07:36 PM   #16 (permalink)
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The interesting thing though is it looks like we may even see Arizona O/U 14 against Chicago next week, Bears may not be quite the same on the road, but it still looks very hot.
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Old 10-09-2006, 07:39 PM   #17 (permalink)
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Liking the bears to keep arz point total low as well.
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