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Go Back   Sports Handicapping, Betting & Picks - SBR Forum > Sports Handicapping, Picks and Game Discussion > NFL Handicapping

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Old 09-27-2006, 12:55 AM   #1 (permalink)
josebla89
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Default good teaser right here

MINNESOTA +14 (-110)
MINNESOTA vs BUFFALO
10/01/2006
11:05 NFL SAN FRANCISCO +20 (-110)
SAN FRANCISCO vs KANSAS CITY
10/01/2006
11:05 NFL NEW ORLEANS +20.5 (-110)
NEW ORLEANS vs CAROLINA
10/01/2006
18:20 NFL SEATTLE +16.5 (-110)
SEATTLE vs CHICAGO

gotta put some money up but i figure its a lock
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Old 09-27-2006, 01:48 AM   #2 (permalink)
bigboydan
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not much of a teaser type player, but how can you not like those numbers you got on them.

good luck bud.
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Old 09-27-2006, 02:03 AM   #3 (permalink)
rm18
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replace NO with oak/wash/balt
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Old 09-27-2006, 05:06 AM   #4 (permalink)
imgv94
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Take out SF please... maybe you should include Washington +16 should be a low scoring game... 16 points is alot..

I wouldn't be surprised to see KC win by 28...

Last edited by imgv94 : 09-27-2006 at 05:07 AM.
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Old 09-27-2006, 02:12 PM   #5 (permalink)
ivyconniver
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The problem with teasers, is they make both the fav and the dog look like solid picks. Once you start thinking that both sides of the same game should pay, you know you're playing with fire.
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Old 09-27-2006, 04:54 PM   #6 (permalink)
phuongtran919
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Question

what u guys think about this teaser? do i need to replace any team? i need your help b/c it seems like i always hit 9/10 or 14/15. it's always that one team that make me lose.
1)auburn -1
2)USC -4
3)Ohio St + 6.5
4)GT/VT O24.5
5)Memphis +26.5
6)Colts +3
7)Cowboys +3
8)Saints +21
9)BAL +15.5
10)SEA +16.5

Last edited by phuongtran919 : 09-27-2006 at 05:00 PM.
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Old 09-27-2006, 04:57 PM   #7 (permalink)
gummo
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Colts and Cowboys on the road would make me nervous.
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Old 09-27-2006, 05:06 PM   #8 (permalink)
John Galt1
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not much of teaser type either but the picks look solid
I would replace SF with SEA
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Old 09-27-2006, 06:31 PM   #9 (permalink)
raqsshoes
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No matter how many teams i pick no a teaser Ill be damn if one of them dont always screw me. Never really turns out to be as i thought
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Old 09-27-2006, 07:19 PM   #10 (permalink)
Don Dollars
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I am not sure (mathematically) if there is ever such a thing as a "good teaser". I do, however, wish you luck. It looks quite nice.
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Old 09-27-2006, 09:48 PM   #11 (permalink)
Justin7
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There are plenty of good mathematical teasers. I hate to say it, but these plays as a whole will lose. If you want to win at teasers, you have to live and die by the mathematics.
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Old 09-28-2006, 12:17 AM   #12 (permalink)
rm18
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Ohio St. +6.5 is a horrible 13 point tease
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Old 09-28-2006, 12:27 AM   #13 (permalink)
imgv94
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rm18
Ohio St. +6.5 is a horrible 13 point tease
I agree. Ohio St could lose by a TD and the bet goes to shit.. and that just might happen. Basically wasting 3.5 points here..
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Old 09-28-2006, 01:45 AM   #14 (permalink)
McBa1n
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Sick teaser right there - especially with the change.
KC is a tough place to play, but there is HUGE uncertainty with a nobody QB and a depleted running game (I'm sorry, no one is making a big enough deal about them losing TWO starting tackles AND a top 5 fullback - that takes away their bread+butter running game). While their D is running good, I really like the switch --- a LOT.

Actually... In thinking about the spreads, the only other game that would concern me, a bit MORE, that is... Is Carolina's # in the teaser.
It's really a coin toss which to move out... But Carolina, while 'statistically' is dominated by the Saints, they should be good for an easy cover.
I personally think you were working with an over-bloated Carolina spread to begin with... That spread is actually pissing me off, because it's begging me to take NO.

That said, I think Washington is a lock to cover the +16, even if I doubt they'll win. Very solid choice there. That game probably won't crack 40, let alone 30... That plays right into that spread.
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Old 09-28-2006, 01:55 AM   #15 (permalink)
McBa1n
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Quote:
Originally Posted by phuongtran919
what u guys think about this teaser? do i need to replace any team? i need your help b/c it seems like i always hit 9/10 or 14/15. it's always that one team that make me lose.
1)auburn -1
2)USC -4
3)Ohio St + 6.5
4)GT/VT O24.5
5)Memphis +26.5
6)Colts +3
7)Cowboys +3
8)Saints +21
9)BAL +15.5
10)SEA +16.5
I think Seattle and Ohio St are iffy in your teaser (call me nuts, but maybe even Balt - but much less likely). Of course, something crazy will happen and I'll look stupid in saying that. OSU getting points is NUTS - but Iowa really wants a piece. I think OSU crusies and covers the regular spread, but they ALWAYS have 1 letdown game in the big ten. If it ain't Michigan... Well, it's usually the other powerhouse in the conference. I'm just waiting for that one bad game they put up.... It always happens (aside from that 1 time... heh).

Seattle - while I think can put up some points on ANYONE due to their receiving core depth and Hasselbeck's mobility - I can see THEM having a huge emotional letdown.
I'd much prefer the Bears +the teaser points in that spot. That's me, though.
I usually miss 1 on teasers, which is why I don't play them. It's usually the game you least suspect - and right now, I can't tell you what that game is.

Also - with that many points, Miami is a mortal lock.. perhaps that would be a good replacement for a game you might be on the fence about.

With that all said - I wish you the best:> I love teasers, which is why I _can't_ play them:>. I have to have my stomach almost die before I can win a bet.... Because when you lose a teaser, you lose one of your lungs, at least.
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Old 09-28-2006, 02:45 AM   #16 (permalink)
imgv94
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Easy Teasers

NFL
Ind +0.5
Dal PK
Phila -1.5


College Football
Auburn -1
Alabama/Florida over 25½
Florida -½
Georgia Tech +22
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Old 09-28-2006, 05:13 AM   #17 (permalink)
McBa1n
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hehe, thanks for easing my pain, IMG
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Old 09-28-2006, 06:19 AM   #18 (permalink)
imgv94
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Why you say that McBain?? Hey man I have been impressed with you lately.. Keep it up sir.....