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Old 11-25-08, 12:31 AM   #1
riggs
 
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Thumbs up Sun, Nov 30: 7 Plays for Week 13

Correction: 8 Plays Total

San Francisco 49ers
at
Buffalo Bills -7

New Orleans Saints
at
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5

New York Giants -4
at
Washington Redskins

Indianapolis Colts -6
at
Cleveland Browns

Pittsburgh Steelers
at
New England Patriots -1

Kansas City Chiefs
at
Oakland Raiders -3

Chicago Bears
at
Minnesota Vikings -3

Jacksonville Jaguars
at
Houston Texans -3

As I get my research together, I'll provide full write ups for each selection! Get a move on these lines early, they're already jumping like crazy! All favorites this week, this might be a first for me. The lines on Thursday are inflated and I'm not touching that Arz/Phily game.
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5

Last edited by riggs; 11-26-08 at 07:32 PM.. Reason: Spread Change!
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Old 11-25-08, 12:36 AM   #2
riggs
 
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I'll narrow down my top 5 by the end of the week!
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5
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Old 11-25-08, 09:39 PM   #3
riggs
 
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Thumbs up Adding one more game!

Adding Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5

8 Plays Total

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5

Buffalo Bills -7

New York Giants -4

Indianapolis Colts -6

New England Patriots -1

Oakland Raiders -3

Minnesota Vikings -3

Houston Texans -3
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5

Last edited by riggs; 11-26-08 at 07:29 PM.. Reason: Spread Change!!
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Old 11-25-08, 10:37 PM   #4
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I like your picks minus the NE pick.

Think $Falcons and $Eagles
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Old 11-25-08, 11:09 PM   #5
riggs
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pinck13a View Post
I like your picks minus the NE pick.

Think $Falcons and $Eagles
NE will handle Pitt with ease, mark it down!

Falcons +5.5 I don't have the balls to bet on a young but up and coming team in Atlanta at SD. This is a real tough spot for them, SD is f***** desperate, and the West is a god-dam joke of a division that they could still win!

Eagles -2.5 Another desperate team, but I don't see them making a run for the playoffs this year, they're done! Arizona is unpredictabale on the road (to say the least) so this game scares the s*** out of me. Phily played well against the G-Men at home though, this is a hard game to cap.
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5
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Old 11-25-08, 11:21 PM   #6
jsybmw
 
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can you explain the NE pick? not disagreeing just wondering why you think so...
GL with your selectiongs, i am with you on most of them
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Old 11-25-08, 11:45 PM   #7
riggs
 
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Thumbs up Write Ups, Straight to the point with no BS or meaningless trends/stats!

8 Power Plays

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5, Tampa looks to solidify 1st place in the NFC South. Carolina and Atlanta have tough road trips this week up in GB and out in SD. TB has a rock solid defense and (imo) the most underrated QB in the NFL. Drew Brees is a feak of nature but this isn't GB's soft a** defense in a cozy dome. NO hangs in there for a bit but Tampa takes care of this one in the 2nd half.

Buffalo Bills -7, Buffalo is a hard team to figure out but SF is not. SF will not move the ball like Cleve did vs. Buff, that's not to say that I expet a blow out like last week in KC here but a comfortable margin of victory - 10 to 13 points sounds right. Buffalo makes their 2nd half push for wildcard. SF struggles in their 2nd consecutive road game, this time in the cold.

New York Giants -4, The Giants are the class of the NFL and Washington struggles with the likes of St.Louis & Seattle. This line is off, I saw it at -4 at another book, I'd lay -4 without hesitation. This line should be at least -7.

Indianapolis Colts -6 Cleveland has packed it in, Anderson gets the call and Indy wins by 10-14 points here. Jump on this line before it creeps up over 7.

New England Patriots -1 NE is (imo) still a hell of a force to deal with. Cassel has played well beyond expectations and lets face it folks, NE is the best coached team in the league! Pittsburgh will keep this one close but I like NE at home!

Oakland Raiders -3 I know they suck, we all know they suck, but KC and Herm Edwards are worse! KC cant stop the run and Oakland's Defense is not the problem in that organization. Oakland f***** KC up on the road, Oakland will cover this one with ease.

Minnesota Vikings -3 Minnesota should be able to move the ball on Chicago at home, and this is a big game for 1st place in the North. If Minn doesn't turn the ball over there's no reason they don't win this game at home.

Houston Texans -3 Houston is a decent team in my opinion and I see them lighting up the score board against Jacksonville at home. Houston has a great KR, a solid TE, and the best WR in football. Jacksonville will stick with the run here but remember the last time these two teams met this year? Jacksonville was dam lucky to pull that off at home. Houston should easily have 2-3 more wins this year, they're not that bad. Jacksonville gets beat up on the road!
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5

Last edited by riggs; 11-26-08 at 07:20 PM..
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Old 11-25-08, 11:54 PM   #8
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eagles no no no... cards by at least 6
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Old 11-26-08, 12:00 AM   #9
riggs
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stevebreaston View Post
eagles no no no... cards by at least 6
Who took the Eagles? I said I was staying away from that game.
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5
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Old 11-26-08, 12:05 AM   #10
stevebreaston
 
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kind of a different thread was harping eagles...so i threw my input out there, i may be a rookie, but cards want it more.
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Old 11-26-08, 12:29 AM   #11
riggs
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stevebreaston View Post
kind of a different thread was harping eagles...so i threw my input out there, i may be a rookie, but cards want it more.
Oh, ok. GL, Arizona has let me down one too many times in the past!
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5
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Old 11-26-08, 05:58 PM   #12
pinck13a
 
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Warner and cold weather do not mix - He is not the same QB (you will see)

Temperature: 35° F Feels like: 31° F Sunset: 4:37 PM - Not exactly Arizona weather!!
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Old 11-26-08, 06:35 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by riggs View Post
NE will handle Pitt with ease, mark it down!

Falcons +5.5 I don't have the balls to bet on a young but up and coming team in Atlanta at SD. This is a real tough spot for them, SD is f***** desperate, and the West is a god-dam joke of a division that they could still win!

Eagles -2.5 Another desperate team, but I don't see them making a run for the playoffs this year, they're done! Arizona is unpredictabale on the road (to say the least) so this game scares the s*** out of me. Phily played well against the G-Men at home though, this is a hard game to cap.
Falcons are the "COLTS" of the NFC with a better running game. This team is injury free and last time they traveled to the West Coast this year, they prison raped Oakland...literally the game was over at half time. Now im not saying that the Chargers are the Raiders but I dont see the Chargers getting up for this game. Last week was thier Alamo and they blew it!
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Old 11-26-08, 07:16 PM   #14
riggs
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pinck13a View Post
Falcons are the "COLTS" of the NFC with a better running game. This team is injury free and last time they traveled to the West Coast this year, they prison raped Oakland...literally the game was over at half time. Now im not saying that the Chargers are the Raiders but I dont see the Chargers getting up for this game. Last week was thier Alamo and they blew it!
Atlanta +5.5 Ok they beat Oakland, fair enough, hell, the Jets lost @ Oak. Atlanta was 1 of my top 5 plays last week at home, I love the Falcons in that dome where they're 5-1. On the other hand, they are not the Colts of the NFC quite yet! All I'm saying is that I see this game as a tough spot for the Falcons. Remember, Atlanta's stuggles this year have come on the road, ATL 9 @ TB 24 (-15) / ATL 9 @ CAR 24 (-15) / ATL 14 @ PHI 27 (-13), so be careful with this one. Personally if I had to bet this line I'd take ATL with the points, but as of now I'm staying away.

Philadelphia -2.5 If I had to take this game I'd lay the points and take Phily but there's just so much chaos in that locker room right now that we really don't know what to expect thursday night. Phily is not up against Baltimore's passing attack this week, their secondary is soft and they have a tendency to give up big plays in the passing game. All in all the Eagles have played well at home this year, I'll give them that much, but there are so many question marks with that team. It's rather frustrating to figure out! Again, if this was one of my plays I'd take the Eagles at home. GL
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5

Last edited by riggs; 11-26-08 at 07:25 PM..
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Old 11-27-08, 10:39 PM   #15
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Good input - let me re-phrase my thoughts on the SD game a little

Chargers mental state of mind is fragile. They have basically lost faith in thier leadership and ability to win close games. I could see this team getting up for this game if they were playing the Broncos or another AFC rival but they are not, they are playing an NFC team in the Falcons who are flying very low under the radar screen with very little media attention. Atlanta leads the league in 1st QTR points scored and if they smack the Chargers in the mouth hard enough in the first QTR (like they usually do), I think SD crumbles. Thats my angle win or lose.

I like a few games better than this but its only Thursday!
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Old 11-27-08, 11:21 PM   #16
riggs
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pinck13a View Post
Good input - let me re-phrase my thoughts on the SD game a little

Chargers mental state of mind is fragile. They have basically lost faith in thier leadership and ability to win close games. I could see this team getting up for this game if they were playing the Broncos or another AFC rival but they are not, they are playing an NFC team in the Falcons who are flying very low under the radar screen with very little media attention. Atlanta leads the league in 1st QTR points scored and if they smack the Chargers in the mouth hard enough in the first QTR (like they usually do), I think SD crumbles. Thats my angle win or lose.

I like a few games better than this but its only Thursday!
Tell me about it, told myself I'd stay away from the games today/tonight but I didn't, I couldn't.

1ST Bet: I took a 10 point special teaser

TENN -1
DALLAS -2
PHILY +7

2nd Bet: Phily -3

3rd Bet: I took the over (10) in the 3rd quarter of the phily/arz game. 17 points were scored.

It's hard not to bet when you f***** roll nearly every week!
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5
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Old 11-27-08, 11:50 PM   #17
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Nice day! I Had Philly and Desean Jackson over 65yards tonight

Somehow I got convinced to take the Lions early which screwed up a nearly perfect day

I really hate the Patriots this week and the Browns are starting to grow on me. I think Derek Anderson may go off this week expecially if Bob Sanders is out. Crenell basically stated that no matter what DA does that the job is Brady's when he comes back. If nothing else I see a lot of points here.
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Old 11-29-08, 11:12 PM   #18
riggs
 
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So who's with me this Sunday?

3-0 for the week so far in the NFL, IF YOU GO BACK AND CHECK OUT MY TURKEY DAY PLAYS.
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5
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Old 11-29-08, 11:36 PM   #19
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Default Rest of the week wrap up!

Other Plays (1 Unit Max)

BALTIMORE RAVENS -7

GREEN BAY PACKERS -3

MIAMI DOLPHINS -8

DENVER +8.5

SD CHARGERS -5
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5
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Old 11-29-08, 11:41 PM   #20
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im all in double fisted!
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Old 11-29-08, 11:45 PM   #21
riggs
 
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Default All 13 games in one post!

Ok boys, capped all 13 of them.

Here you go:


8 Power Plays (2-5 Units)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5, Tampa looks to solidify 1st place in the NFC South. Carolina and Atlanta have tough road trips this week up in GB and out in SD. TB has a rock solid defense and (imo) the most underrated QB in the NFL. Drew Brees is a feak of nature but this isn't GB's soft a** defense in a cozy dome. NO hangs in there for a bit but Tampa takes care of this one in the 2nd half.

Buffalo Bills -7
, Buffalo is a hard team to figure out but SF is not. SF will not move the ball like Cleve did vs. Buff, that's not to say that I expet a blow out like last week in KC here but a comfortable margin of victory - 10 to 13 points sounds right. Buffalo makes their 2nd half push for wildcard. SF struggles in their 2nd consecutive road game, this time in the cold.

New York Giants -4
, The Giants are the class of the NFL and Washington struggles with the likes of St.Louis & Seattle. This line is off, I saw it at -4 at another book, I'd lay -4 without hesitation. This line should be at least -7.

Indianapolis Colts -6
Cleveland has packed it in, Anderson gets the call and Indy wins by 10-14 points here. Jump on this line before it creeps up over 7.

New England Patriots -1
NE is (imo) still a hell of a force to deal with. Cassel has played well beyond expectations and lets face it folks, NE is the best coached team in the league! Pittsburgh will keep this one close but I like NE at home!

Oakland Raiders -3
I know they suck, we all know they suck, but KC and Herm Edwards are worse! KC cant stop the run and Oakland's Defense is not the problem in that organization. Oakland f***** KC up on the road, Oakland will cover this one with ease.

Minnesota Vikings -3 Minnesota should be able to move the ball on Chicago at home, and this is a big game for 1st place in the North. If Minn doesn't turn the ball over there's no reason they don't win this game at home.

Houston Texans -3 Houston is a decent team in my opinion and I see them lighting up the score board against Jacksonville at home. Houston has a great KR, a solid TE, and the best WR in football. Jacksonville will stick with the run here but remember the last time these two teams met this year? Jacksonville was dam lucky to pull that off at home. Houston should easily have 2-3 more wins this year, they're not that bad. Jacksonville gets beat up on the road!

Other Plays (1 Unit Max)

BALTIMORE RAVENS -7

GREEN BAY PACKERS -3

MIAMI DOLPHINS -8

DENVER +8.5

SD CHARGERS -5
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5

Last edited by riggs; 11-29-08 at 11:49 PM..
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Old 11-30-08, 11:24 AM   #22
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1. TB...not sold on them. Brees can still have a big game.
2. BUF is Jekyll and Hyde...which QB shows up?
3. I'm on the NYG Big. They roll.
4. I like Indy...though the Browns have a shot at keeping it close. I don't want it to come down to Vinitari.
5. NE....I am staying FAR FAR away from this game.
6. KC....UGLY!
7. Min & Texans...both off, as you just don't know who will show up.
8. B'more should be a bigger play. Off GB, MIA, SD.
9. Jets expose how bad DEN is against....everyone.



The Ravens should be up there.
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Old 11-30-08, 11:41 AM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by laxdjock View Post
1. TB...not sold on them. Brees can still have a big game.

True, he could have a big game but if he doesn't play a perfect game, the Saints are toast. The Bucs at home are not the Packers on the road. There's no way Brees duplicates anything close to that today. Don't sleep on Garcia like everyone else does, this guy's a top 10 QB.

2. BUF is Jekyll and Hyde...which QB shows up?

They won't need a QB today, good Defense, solid special teams, a few throws to Evans off play action and a heavy dose of the run = an easy win for Buffalo.

3. I'm on the NYG Big. They roll. Good man

4. I like Indy...though the Browns have a shot at keeping it close. I don't want it to come down to Vinitari.

Not going to happen, Cleveland will score, but they wont keep up!

5. NE....I am staying FAR FAR away from this game.

NE needs this game in the worst way if they want to keep pace with the Jets, no way Bill lets them lose this one!

6. KC....UGLY!

I never thought I'd jump on OAKLAND this year, but I actually really like this game.

7. Min & Texans...both off, as you just don't know who will show up.

The same can be said for Jacksonville & Chicago. I like both of these teams at home.

8. B'more should be a bigger play. Off GB, MIA, SD.

This was one game that I really looked into and wanted to add to the card but these two teams hate each other and Cinci, as bad as they are, has been in most of their games this year. I see a tight one or an absolute blowout for Baltimore.

GB, Mia, SD are small plays!


9. Jets expose how bad DEN is against....everyone.

I see possible garbage TD's in this one. 8.5 is an ugly line!
Just my 2 cents..
__________________
2008 NFL Plays = 157-96 (62%) +67
2009 NFL Plays = 62-41 (60%) +12
Value Plays of the Week = 6-8
Teaser Plays = 2-5
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