[Dark Horse]

What made you decide to use only the last 2 seasons plus current season in favor of a larger sample size? Or do you use the numbers from earlier seasons (starting in 2002) as foundation; without including them in this season's calculation? In other words, do you place your trust in the two season approach because you already know the method works based on earlier seasons?

[nep1293]

Originally Posted by Dark Horse

What made you decide to use only the last 2 seasons plus current season in favor of a larger sample size? Or do you use the numbers from earlier seasons (starting in 2002) as foundation; without including them in this season's calculation? In other words, do you place your trust in the two season approach because you already know the method works based on earlier seasons?

Last season I used every year to get the percents. After the season was over I went over all the results and tried a few different things. I looked at everything from a 3 year standpoint, 4 year standpoint etc.... The 2 year + the current year had the best results so that's why I ended up going with that for this year. The only seasons that are factored into this years picks are from 2006-2008. Next year I'll use 2007-2009.

I think the problem with using every season was that there was so many games in the database that the percentage wouldn't move very much. Each week would basically be identical.

[DaChosen1FoSho]

4-7 so far from what i see. I told you I was a jinx.

[dmolition]

lol have been roaming the forums for a while and first week i decide to tail the whole chart and first week it blows figures ..

now that im tailing it maybe it will start its downfall... hope not.

[nep1293]

Yeah, tough week. I knew it was coming at some point. We'll bounce back

[snutz69]

Thanks for your info so far this season. Really cashed in week 10 and 11. You posting one for this week?