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Old 11-17-2008, 10:17 AM   #1
strictlywinners
 
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Default Brown vs. Bills Under 41

Smart money is fading me, because I can't pick a winner to save my life right now. I will be taking the Under but the over is pretty much a lock.
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Old 11-17-2008, 11:01 AM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by strictlywinners View Post
Smart money is fading me, because I can't pick a winner to save my life right now. I will be taking the Under but the over is pretty much a lock.
Please take the over in this game!! Trust me!! Get your self back on the right track!!
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Old 11-17-2008, 11:04 AM   #3
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ZBOIZ...just wondering..whats with the over that looks so good???even w/ snow expected...im leaning towards the browns +5....any thoughts???
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Old 11-17-2008, 11:17 AM   #4
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ZBOIZ...just wondering..whats with the over that looks so good???even w/ snow expected...im leaning towards the browns +5....any thoughts???
I'm actually still leaning the Over! These two teams still puts up points. I dont think the snow will stop them from scoring enough to hit the over.
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Old 11-17-2008, 11:27 AM   #5
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Zboiz I would love to take the over, but I have to stick to what my numbers say, no matter how bad they have been recently I have to stick with it. When I start to make my own judgements and have my own opinions thats when I will start losing real bad.
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Old 11-17-2008, 11:32 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by strictlywinners View Post
Zboiz I would love to take the over, but I have to stick to what my numbers say, no matter how bad they have been recently I have to stick with it. When I start to make my own judgements and have my own opinions thats when I will start losing real bad.
I understand your pain! Just fight through it you will be fine
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Old 11-17-2008, 12:51 PM   #7
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Zboiz I would love to take the over, but I have to stick to what my numbers say, no matter how bad they have been recently I have to stick with it. When I start to make my own judgements and have my own opinions thats when I will start losing real bad.
my exact feeling for two weeks prior to this one.. but i made a change in the way i pick.. even though my spreadsheet had many winners, i was betting alot of the losers..

i STILL bet my picks, but now i have further criteria to decide exactly what teams.. try the same bro.. see if it helps ya out..

Robust
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Old 11-17-2008, 02:58 PM   #8
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Not that much snow tonight. An inch or two at best. The field will be fine, not like last year in Cleveland. It will be however, decently cold, with it being 30 degrees, and wind chills down to 23. There will be a moderate wind blowing NW at 11 MPH.
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Old 11-17-2008, 03:02 PM   #9
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I need Bills to win and the total to be between 41 and 43 to win my work pool.....hopefully the o/u pushes
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Old 11-17-2008, 03:36 PM   #10
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I'm taking the under as well.The wind and cold should affet the passing game not to mention FG kicking.a lot of running which should shorten the game!under 41.5!
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Old 11-17-2008, 03:37 PM   #11
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Wait for this total to bottom out then hit the over IMO!
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Old 11-17-2008, 03:47 PM   #12
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There are a few real sharp guys on this site. Maybe one of them will throw up a final score module.
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Old 11-17-2008, 04:18 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robust View Post
my exact feeling for two weeks prior to this one.. but i made a change in the way i pick.. even though my spreadsheet had many winners, i was betting alot of the losers..

i STILL bet my picks, but now i have further criteria to decide exactly what teams.. try the same bro.. see if it helps ya out..

Robust
Great advice, just find a better pattern that keeps a steady average for previous weeks including this one, and change your luck. Also you don't have to rely on your gut, but you can watch a game, and decide if the better team really won, and change your pattern based on that. Example New England outplayed the N.Y jets on Offence and Defence this week, but gave up too much on special teams which is a fixable mistake.
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Old 11-17-2008, 06:46 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigugly View Post
Wait for this total to bottom out then hit the over IMO!
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Old 11-17-2008, 06:56 PM   #15
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Not doing it on purpose but yes, I am on the other side again...I hope your rebound starts next week though, your one of the very few I believe to be a good capper on this forum (need all the help I can get )
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Old 11-17-2008, 11:52 PM   #16
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And the losers keep coming i beg everyone to go against me. All I do is lose.
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Old 11-17-2008, 11:59 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by strictlywinners View Post
And the losers keep coming i beg everyone to go against me. All I do is lose.
take a break then!
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Old 11-17-2008, 11:59 PM   #18
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Quote:
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And the losers keep coming i beg everyone to go against me. All I do is lose.
Didn't you turn 500 into 100k?

You got nothing to complain about my friend!
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Old 11-18-2008, 12:14 AM   #19
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Didn't you turn 500 into 100k?

You got nothing to complain about my friend!
That was a spook story...just like Keyser Soze!!!
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Old 11-18-2008, 01:41 AM   #20
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Hahaha no it was true story, I do love Kayser SOZE though. I cashed out for 51k, but I lost 5k to local guy last week. Now I am down 3k this week.
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Old 11-18-2008, 02:05 AM   #21
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Hahaha no it was true story, I do love Kayser SOZE though. I cashed out for 51k, but I lost 5k to local guy last week. Now I am down 3k this week.
Sounds like you need to start risking less of your bankroll.
Until you get back on a streak at least.

It would be a shame to give all that money back to the books.
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Old 11-18-2008, 02:10 AM   #22
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Yes yes it would, I am risking much less. When I was at 111k I was still putting 10k on alot of games, when I dropped down to 50k I reduced all bets to 500 and 1000 the problem with the smaller bets I start to take 2nd halfs and just tons of other stuff, which is definitely a losing strategy. Well it really doesn't matter cause my picks have just been terrible as of late, I'm hoping they turn around sooner then later.
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Old 11-18-2008, 02:16 AM   #23
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Good luck man.

Wish i was around when you took 500 to 100k. I would have followed your picks all the way to the bank!
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Old 11-18-2008, 02:17 AM   #24
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We need to have a NJ SBR get together.

Maybe AC!
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