[frostno98]

The reasons I think oddsmaker is making the total line of 48, is probably because of Jacksonville recent struggles on D during the last two games and because of three current injuries to starters of the secondary. Their hitching on the fact that Denver's explosive offense might exploit this, thus making it a high scoring affair. I don't think so.

Despite injuries to the Jags D, the Jags are still capable of putting pressure Jay Cutler as they did to Big Ben many times on Sunday night. This will limit Denver's ability to strike quick and deep, who will be missing Eddie Royal. The Jags will also use the same game plan they used last year when they were in Denver, by playing smash mouth football and dominating the time of possession. Jack Del Rio would be a completely idiot if he was to try anything different.

Denver on the other hand will more than likely utilize the same game plan they had against Bucs by trying to establish the run first, which will chew up the play clock in the process. I do not see Mike Shanahan implementing a spread offense like he did his 1st three games that all went over, because he prefers to be two dimensional. He likes to establish the run so his play action or QB bootleg will be more effective. The Broncos D has also play very well the last two games and should match up well against a non-gunslinger in David Garrard.

In conclusion, The Jags bringing the Conservative game, Denver trying to establish the run, and the Broncos D getting better by the week is what's going to make this game 48 TOTAL GO UNDER!

[BadBeatBodog]

The Broncos' offensive line has been very good at protecting Jay Cutler. Jax has not been good at all rushing the passer, and last week when they finally faced an offensive line that has struggled with pass protection, they still struggled to generate much pressure. From http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/column...ry&id=3628236:

"The Jaguars are really struggling on defense, and nothing they try seems to work. They blitzed the Steelers 12 times in the first half and only got to QB Ben Roethlisberger once -- and that was out of their base defense."

Also, you say Royal will be out. That MAY be true (from what I've heard), and if it is, they still have a very good replacement in Brandon Stokely.

[Robust]

my prelim math says if Denver wins, it will be under..

if Jax wins, it will be over..

denver has the edge by 6 pts (scoring margin over 5 games) and they outscore Jax by 9.8 pts avg, plus they are at home..

so my early lean is Denver -3.5, Under 48

Robust

[ezeblazin]

Jags have a bad D.....everyone gets past that Steelers O-line....It may be under though because the Jags are not good on O either.

[ZBOIZ]

You have a point with this under!!

[ezeblazin]

FYI, last year the total was 37 when they played

[hakrjak]

Why not just take Denver and the spread to win? I am!

[NewTOez]

Robust Nice roll of cash there, and its obvious why its so big . Only difference is i think Denver will outscore by 20 or more -.-

[I.R.B]

I'd go with spread. but GL.

[NewTOez]

hmm my post isn't showing

[TalkInNumbers]

Nice roll of cash there Robust. Denver Up by 2 TD's or more by the end of this matchup.

_____________________
What do the poker gods say.....

[ezeblazin]

I really think Greg Williams D will play right into Cutler's hands.

[Brotherwo]

the weather is going to be cool and crisp... with 20% chance of showers
http://www.weather.com/outlook/event...eventid=267202

its suppose to be really windy on Saturday and who knows it might carry over a bit

I like the under

[frostno98]

Looks it might be a low scoring 2nd half too! The grass is really slick due the rain over night, so both team will be focusing heavily on the running game.