Quote:
Originally Posted by dwaechte
Generally you never want to tease through the zero. I'd try finding a game where you can move the line from -8 to -2, or from +2 to +8.
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I have a differing opinion on this, but I'm not a pro so take it with a grain of salt. I use 10 point teasers as an insurance policy. I try to tease through the zero as often as possible.
My week 1 10 point teaser was:
NE -5.5
PHI +2.5
DAL +4
Those 10 points saved my butt when Brady got injured.
In week 2 I got cocky and did a parlay instead of a teaser and I paid the price.
NO pk
GB -3
PIT -6.5
Had I played these games in a 10 point teaser I would have won this bet. It would have looked like this:
NO +10
GB +7
PIT +3.5
NO and PIT both failed to cover the spread, but in the teaser they are both winners, and you are teasing through the zero on PIT. I'm not trying to squeeze every penny I can out of my picks. A 10 point teaser nets approx 83%. That's huge, especially if you can start compounding from week to week.
I am using teasers to give me the best chance of winning. There are a lot of truly intelligent people on this site with much more complex systems, but this approach works well for me.
BUF vs OAK is my top pick for week 3. Monday is too early to post my bets... ...especially after I got all excited over the line on NO, placed my bet early, and got burned.
I'm looking at
OAK @ BUF (BUF)
CIN @ NYG (NYG)
STL @ SEA (SEA)
MIA @ NE (NE)
KC @ ATL (ATL)
I haven't seen the lines on these yet, but I will be picking 3 of these to make a 10 point teaser with.
I would seriously consider everyone's advice, but on this point, teasing through the zero has saved my butt on several occasions.