SBR Top-Rated Sportsbooks Recommended Books
1. Pinnacle Sports SBR Rating A+ Pinnacle Sports Review
2. The Greek Sports Book SBR Rating A+ The Greek Review
3. BookMaker SBR Rating A+ BookMaker Review
4. BetJamaica SBR Rating A+ BetJamaica Review
5. LegendZ Sports SBR Rating A+ LegendZ Review
SBR Posters' Poll - August 2008 View Complete Results
1. Matchbook 195 total points Matchbook Review
2. BetJamaica 182 total points BetJamaica Review
3. The Greek Sports Book 160 total points The Greek Review
4. Pinnacle Sports 130 total points Pinnacle Sports Review
5. 5Dimes 125 total points 5Dimes Review
Go Back   Sports Handicapping, Betting & Picks - SBR Forum > Sports Handicapping, Picks and Game Discussion > NFL Handicapping

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 01-15-2008, 04:06 PM   #1 (permalink)
PACKERSGUY
SBR Rookie
 
Join Date: 01-15-08
Posts: 1
PACKERSGUY is offline
Default Risk vs. Reward

This is my first post guys and I'm wondering if I can get some opinions on risk vs. reward. I love the two favorites to win this week and I like the over in the Packers game. I was thinking about betting a 3 team parlay however, I'm not sure I love the lines. A 3 team 6 point teaser pays +180 at my Sportsbook and the lines sound great to me (GB pk, NE -8 and GB Over 36) but is a 3 team teaser kind of a "sucker" bet. I would love to get the opinion of some more experienced gamblers.

Also do you think the lines will move against the favorites closer to the game so would it be better to make my bets now?

Go Packers!
Reply With Quote
Old 01-15-2008, 04:13 PM   #2 (permalink)
pokernut9999
SBR Hall of Famer
 
pokernut9999's Avatar
 
Join Date: 07-25-07
Location: South Carolina
Posts: 5,844
pokernut9999 is online now
Default

I personally think 3 team parlays and teasers are both sucker bets. The word "teaser" just gives it away. There will be people that tell you otherwise but I for one dont agree with it at all. I tracked all my bets for years and never came out ahead on either one. All I do is bet straight bets and come out a lot better that way. There will be times you say damn I would have hit a parlay but the times that one loss screws you will happen more often.


By the way I like both favorites here also. I will just increase my bets with just 2 games this week. Good Luck

Last edited by pokernut9999 : 01-15-2008 at 04:30 PM.
Reply With Quote
Old 01-15-2008, 04:21 PM   #3 (permalink)
RageWizard
SBR MVP
 
RageWizard's Avatar
 
Join Date: 09-01-06
Location: Fredricksville, Pa
Posts: 2,236
RageWizard is offline
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by PACKERSGUY View Post
This is my first post guys and I'm wondering if I can get some opinions on risk vs. reward. I love the two favorites to win this week and I like the over in the Packers game. I was thinking about betting a 3 team parlay however, I'm not sure I love the lines. A 3 team 6 point teaser pays +180 at my Sportsbook and the lines sound great to me (GB pk, NE -8 and GB Over 36) but is a 3 team teaser kind of a "sucker" bet. I would love to get the opinion of some more experienced gamblers.

Also do you think the lines will move against the favorites closer to the game so would it be better to make my bets now?

Go Packers!
I agree with the pokernut (almost) teasers are for the strip club. I do like parlays but not during the playoffs. Having typed that your teaser seems pretty solid, but thats why they're called teasers. I would maybe change the N.E. to S.D+20
Reply With Quote
Old 01-15-2008, 05:26 PM   #4 (permalink)
CrazyL
VIP Moderator
 
CrazyL's Avatar
 
Join Date: 08-02-07
Posts: 20,926
CrazyL is online now
Default

Most teasers are bad bets because people play three+ teams and often cross numbers that provide them virtually no value.

If you're going to do a tease, don't tease more than two teams, and cross key numbers like the 3 and 7. Tease favorites of -7.5 to -8.5 and small dogs of 1.5 to 2.5. You can find 6pt two team teases at +100 at two different books, or -110 most places.

Those are the only teases I recommend doing at all, none of these huge multi-team teases with spreads that are already giving you the 3 and 7.
Reply With Quote
Old 01-15-2008, 08:46 PM   #5 (permalink)
JimmyG
SBR High Roller
 
JimmyG's Avatar
 
Join Date: 12-31-07
Posts: 135
JimmyG is offline
Default

NFL Teasers have tremendous value if played at the right spots and the odds are set correctly. A few years back it was virtually stealing when the books offered 7 pointers at even money ties push or 4 team 6 pointers at 3 to 1.

Lots of value....

Most books have caught up and adjusted the odds.

Best thing to do... Download closing lines and match against scores for past 5 or 6 years. Back into odds and seaqrch around to find books who offer odds that are better than break even.

Can make a fortune from small books who try to entice players with "special" odds. Just hope they pay.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Risk/Reward Poll Ganchrow Handicapper Think Tank 56 12-28-2007 06:22 AM
Reward for voluntary, unselfish, brave acts and Sacrifices for others lazerwager Sports Promotions & Links 0 11-09-2007 02:00 PM
just a $50 posting reward that isn't paid at bettorpub.com . shantystar Players Talk 14 09-29-2007 12:07 PM
Took My VIP reward money and gave it to a family in need TheGambler Players Talk 11 12-15-2006 01:55 AM
Risk/Reward with D Books and Below Newguyintown Players Talk 11 05-13-2006 11:30 AM


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:03 AM.



Search Engine Friendly URLs by vBSEO 3.0.0 RC6

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30