It's very rare I find a preseason pick that I like, but this one just has too much value to ignore. I'm going to go ahead and get an early start to my season with a play tonight, please keep in mind that I've never played a preseason game before so this may not go as well as regular season plays do. Nonetheless, I've got to go with this one, here's what I like tonight:
- Colts/Packers OVER 23 First Half
We'll start with playing time for starters. With no major changes at head coach since last preseason, I assume that I can use Week 3 of last preseason as an indication of what to expect as far as playing time goes. Well, in 2009, Aaron Rodgers played up until halftime, even coming out for a final touchdown drive despite his team leading by 21 points at the time. Even if the Packers found themselves up 21-0 near halftime in this game, I feel pretty confident we'd be seeing him out there with a chance to lead a drive for our over. However, I doubt we see this, as Peyton Manning also played the entire first half last season in the Colts' Week 3 preseason game. Given that the starters should be playing all game, I feel great from that angle. The reason I feel great about that - both Quarterbacks are leading elite offensive units. The Packers lit up the scoreboard last preseason, and are following suit this year as they've been nearly unstoppable on the offensive side of the ball, with Rodgers leading the first string offense to four touchdowns in about two quarters of action. The Colts have been flying high too, in very limited playing time Manning has led the Colts to 24 points so far this preseason. Although each team has been playing pretty weak competition, even against the better defenses they'll be seeing tonight they should be able to get at least 24 points on the board before halftime rolls around. I'm not entirely sold on the Packers' pass defense yet anyways, as last season their strong numbers could be attributed to the very weak schedule they played. The forecast for tonight's game is clear skies and light wind, you couldn't ask for better scoring conditions. I'm expecting in the neighborhood of 37 points by halftime, it should be a fun game to watch! Good luck to anyone who wagers on this game tonight, hopefully we can get a win under our belt before the start of the regular season!
Originally Posted by kroyrunner89
It's very rare I find a preseason pick that I like, but this one just has too much value to ignore. I'm going to go ahead and get an early start to my season with a play tonight, please keep in mind that I've never played a preseason game before so this may not go as well as regular season plays do. Nonetheless, I've got to go with this one, here's what I like tonight:
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