[aje]

Guru's Golden Picks: AFL Week 1

Alright, I've done some homework now. I'm ready to go with my first play.

Austin and Vegas opened up at 99 as the o/u, and it's slipped to anywhere between 95 and 97 depending on where you look. Cris had 97 this morning, and that's the number I grabbed, though it's down to 96 at the current moment over there. For record-keeping sake on here, I'll go with the available number. 95s really don't suck either. Not the strongest play in the world, but certainly one worth making (probably would've been 3 units last year, but under the new system....)

Las Vegas/Austin under 96 (1 unit -110: BetCris)

Let's get 'em right off the bat Friday night!

--AFLGuru

Okay, to the rest of the card... 5 plays total this week, perhaps a 6th to come, but I tend to doubt it. 5 is right on the cusp of what I'd like to be playing on a weekly basis.

Nashville/New York over 92 (4 units -112: Pinnacle): This line opened up at 90, which I thought was a little ludicrous. Still some question over who Nashville's QB is going to be, but I don't think it's really going to matter. New York's defense is that bad. This is the real big play of the week. Some shops are as high as 94, so this is going nowhere but up.

Colorado (-4) vs. Chicago (2 units -105: Pinnacle): Line started at 6.5 and slowly made its way down as low as -2.5 -112 at Pinnacle, but has now risen due to Chicago announcing their starting QB was going to be Matt D'Orazio, part of the Columbus quarterbacking circus from last year that struggled to find jobs elsewhere even as backups.

Columbus (-7) vs. Grand Rapids (1 unit -103: Pinnacle): Grand Rapids has cut the guy who they thought was going to be their franchise QB in Raymond Philyaw (due to injury), and they're going with Jose Davis instead... that's right. THE Jose Davis. More importantly, we're one Jose Davis injury or errand pass from seeing my favorite fade in AFL history, Chad Salisbury enter the game for the Rampage.

Columbus/Grand Rapids under 101.5 (2 units -112: Pinnacle): Eat the little bit of chalk and get this number as opposed to 100s and 99.5s elsewhere until the line levels itself out. This one opened at 102 and has slowly dropped. It'll probably keep going to, I'd guess 98.5 or so at closing, still a solid under number when THE Jose Davis is involved.

Opened up shop 4-1 last season... Let's hope to duplicate the effort this season.

--AFLGuru

[Alamorich]

How is the AFL compared to NFL from a gambling perspective. Easier or Harder? There is some talk of us getting an AFL team here in San Antonio.

[aje]

These aren't my plays. I do like the over in Nashville/New York ,but I really haven't broke it down. I'm sure some of these numbers have already seen significant line movement though.

[bigboydan]

that wasn't much of a game to watch last night at all. Austin perty much dominated that game last night.

[Alamorich]

I put a sheckel on those games just to give me a feel for it...if your not the Guru than who is he and does he know what he's talking about? One can never have too many good Guru's.

[spanky]

aje,i thought bishop was the rampage QB.columbus was 2-14 last yr,now a 7pt favotite.are they that much better than last year.

[Alamorich]

well 3 of the 4 games came though..

[onlooker]

AFLguru is a great AFL capper. This should be a regular occurrence every week.

But if you are to follow his plays , be sure to jump on them fast. The lines usually move fast.

[Adamo]

Originally Posted by aje

Guru's Golden Picks: AFL Week 1

--AFLGuru

Hello Guru, can you pls tell me when these games usually play? I'm totally new, have not even heard about it till now!
Thanks, Adamo

[onlooker]

The AFL plays on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays Adamo.

[bigboydan]

sometimes you will see a rare thursday or monday night game though.

[Illusion]

Keep sharing his info aje, thanks.