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  1. #1

    Default Week 4 Survival pool.

    Looks like SD & Dallas are the "smart" plays. Maybe Indy, NE, Pitt. Who do you like?

    I'm taking Indy, because it seems like the most "consistent" pick. Dallas seems like a trap game to me. I've got no confidence in SD, despite pathetic KC coming to town. I feel good saving Dallas & SD anyway, because I think they'll only get stronger later into the season. Might as well take the slam dunk with Indy.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 10/6/2005


  2. #2

    Default

    Seattle over Tampa won in Week 1.
    Chicago over Kansas City won in Week 2.
    Pittsburgh over San Francisco won in Week 3.

    In case you don't know what this is, you need to pick a team to just win each week. If that team wins, you stay alive. If that team loses, you're out. You can't pick the same team twice.


    These are guidelines I use:

    1. Never pick road teams
    2. Never pick a bad team
    3. Stay away from public plays
    4. Never pick a team that could either be looking ahead or behind
    5. Never pick divisional games

    The 14 home teams in Week 3 are:

    Cleveland
    Detroit
    Minnesota
    Atlanta
    Buffalo
    Miami
    Dallas
    San Francisco
    Carolina
    Indianapolis
    San Diego
    Arizona
    NY Giants
    Cincinnati

    Knocking the bad teams off, we have:

    Dallas
    San Francisco
    Carolina
    Indianapolis
    San Diego
    NY Giants
    Cincinnati

    Eliminating divisional games, we have:
    Dallas
    Indianapolis
    Cincinnati

    Only three!!!


    Dallas playing St. Louis, strong possibility
    Indianapolis playing Denver, possibility
    Cincinnati playing New England, eliminate

    We've narrowed it down to:
    Dallas over St. Louis
    Indianapolis over Denver

    Teams looking ahead:
    None

    We've now narrowed it down to:
    Dallas over St. Louis
    Indianapolis over Denver

    We don't know what the public is betting on yet.

    OK, so what do you guys think? What's the strongest team we can choose out of those two?
    -----------------------------------------------------------

    Dallas over St. Louis:

    Dallas will win this match I like this one. Tampa Bay beat on STL
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Indianapolis over Denver:

    don't really like this one. can go either way.

  3. #3

    Default

    i cant use that guideline

    pitt ova arizona-definatly the best bet of the week if u ask me
    pitt scoring alot of points..great defense
    and leinart..enough said only reason arizona ALMOST won alst week was cuz of warner..and if leinart starts dnt plan on warner coming in until after half anyway. and by that time pitt will hav 17+

    screw sd-cant trust em...ne is an obv win IMO and indy..well ya sure its indy and cutler cant do sh1t so ill take indy -9.5

    i also like lions over bears and texans ova atlanta (if AJ plays)

    i like more and ill post em
    1392pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    05/26/2012

    6515pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    5/23/2012

    35pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY17th Place 5/29/2012

    225pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/28/2012

    7,375

    SBR POKER TOP 100

    58th Place 11/1/2011

    1877pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    05/21/2012

    115pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY8th Place 5/24/2012


  4. #4

    Default

    swifty, nice writeup!

    I use very similar guidelines to what you wrote about.

    I used the exact same plays for weeks 1,2,3.

    Dallas woulda easily been my second pick, I just feel like the Rams could be a trap, gotta trust my gut once in a while. Plus, like I said above, I feel great about saving Dallas for later in the season. I don't think Indy will get an easier game going forward.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 10/6/2005


  5. #5

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by B1GER1C828 View Post
    i cant use that guideline

    pitt ova arizona-definatly the best bet of the week if u ask me
    pitt scoring alot of points..great defense
    and leinart..enough said only reason arizona ALMOST won alst week was cuz of warner..and if leinart starts dnt plan on warner coming in until after half anyway. and by that time pitt will hav 17+

    screw sd-cant trust em...ne is an obv win IMO and indy..well ya sure its indy and cutler cant do sh1t so ill take indy -9.5

    i also like lions over bears and texans ova atlanta (if AJ plays)

    i like more and ill post em
    Pitt lost to AZ 21 -14 You must of lost in your survivor pool right

    Good you took INDY -9.5 they did win. I bet you didn't play them in the survivor pool..

    You took DET nice pick, so you went 2-1 in those pipcks nice I just hope you took the right survivor pick.. tell me what one you take.

  6. #6

    Default

    I have to admit that your strong swifty 8-0-0 in beat the pricks contest.Very impressive so far!

  7. #7

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  8. #8

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