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Am I Thinking Correctly???
The SB line is Colts - 5 and ML -200 (I actually can get 195).
We all know that -5 is a dead number so more than likely the Colts are going to have to win by 6.
Most NFL Moneylines, where the favorite is a -6 point favorite, I belive the line is more like -240.
Obviously this makes huge value in the ML, so I am thinking of going with 2 unit ML play on the Colts, and a 1 unit play on the Saints +5, with the goal of hitting a nice middle.
Thoughts?
I was thinking of doing the exact same thing.
nice thinking
no, colts win by 10, but in a low scoring game. see you guys tomorrow night.
COLTS and UNDER 57!!!
Originally Posted by GELATINOUS CUBE
Agree, 4 of last 5 Superbowls have gone UNDER. ( Last year barely went over)
EZ
No value in that middle IMHO.
3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012
SBR Founder Join Date: 10/4/2005
dont like the middle..u rooting for both teams..not a fan..
What are you talking about? Huge value in the Moneyline, this line should be -240.
I have a decent shot to middle the game, and the only way, I loose is if the Saints win outright and then I loose 1 unit + ML Juice.
I don't make this play if I don't like the Colts, but I handicapp the game for the Colts to win by 7; however not enough for me to make a point spread wager.
Final Bet made yesterday.
Colts ML - 190 ($3000 to win $1578)
Saits + 5 ($1650 to win $1500)
Max Win is $3078
Max Loss is - $1500
i don't think the super bowl is about weather your a fan or not,its about having the right side and winning money......everyone had their own team to root for all year long so now theres only 2 real fans out there...colts fans,and saints fans,after that its all about money pal!!!!!!!!!!!!
Adding 2nd Half Play
Taking Over 27.5 for $3300 to win $3000 with Local.
My middle is looking solid right now, but still a long ways to go.
half, 10-6, my under looking good.
Ez
Picked up $1500 on the Super Bowl, to top off a a $9700 week.
Nice envelope coming from my Pinny agent tomorrow.
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