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Old 02-06-10, 01:04 AM   #1
alton618
 
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Default Any reason not to "Lay it all" on these 2 props.

Of course the most logical reason of a chance to lose it but what you guys think.

Any Team Largest Lead:

16.5 O +105
16.5 U -135

I like the under here. Dont see either team leading by 17 +

2nd Q, the highest scoring qtr.

Yes +130
No - 160

I like the no here, What makes 2nd qtr such a big favorite? And why r they only listing 2nd qtr? Do they know something i dont?

Any light shed will be great. Thanks!
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Old 02-06-10, 01:50 AM   #2
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Never a good idea to go all in..

Total points per quarter
Conference ---1st 2nd 3rd 4th
AFC ----------169 235 183 262
NFC ----------190 289 250 295
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Old 02-06-10, 10:22 AM   #3
alton618
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dbldown View Post
Never a good idea to go all in..

Total points per quarter
Conference ---1st 2nd 3rd 4th
AFC ----------169 235 183 262
NFC ----------190 289 250 295
Are those past superbowls or during the regular season? According to those stats, hopefully it will jump to YES on a + 150 to take the odds then.
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Old 02-06-10, 10:32 AM   #4
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All kinds of reasons not to lay it all on those bets.
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Old 02-06-10, 10:36 AM   #5
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gluck
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Old 02-06-10, 10:37 AM   #6
alton618
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thebertshow View Post
All kinds of reasons not to lay it all on those bets.

ok perhaps not to lay it all, but what do you guys think? Would you playy those props?
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Old 02-06-10, 10:39 AM   #7
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Here is how these two teams break down in the playoffs. The Saints have scored 28 21 17 7. The Colts have scored 3 27 7 13. So 48 points have been scored in the 2nd quarter, more than any other quarter. That is why the prop is set the way it is. Here is the sucker play. Most people think that the 4th quarter will see the most points, especially from these two offensive minded teams. The fact is that these two teams combined have scored 78 points in the 1st half, but only 44 in the 2nd half.

As far as the other prop that you like, notice the progression of the Saints scoring. It gets lower as the game progresses. My guess is that the computers that spit tihs information out, think that if the Saints are down in the 4th Quarter, they will turn the ball over and give up points.

My best wager in the entire game is the under in the 2nd half. Just remember this. Prop wagers are generated to give the book the biggest edge possible and still get some action. They are huge money makers. These two are not bad, but if you are goin g to go for them, use good money management techniques. Do not unload on any prop wager.
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Old 02-06-10, 11:50 AM   #8
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Props are easier money than any side or total.
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Old 02-06-10, 02:06 PM   #9
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I like the 2nd, not the first.

BigDaddy showed a very small sample of scoring. I think the 4th quarter will have the most points as has been the case in some of the SB's recently.
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Old 02-06-10, 04:23 PM   #10
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Too many Super Bowl are blowouts, teams take crazy chances early if they get behind a couple of scores 16.5 at -135 well that is playing with fire. Why second quarter high scoring? Drives going on near the end of the first quarter are not in any hurry letting them go into the 2nd quarter is common (while drives going on near the end of 2nd quarter must score in 2nd quarter), 6 timeouts and 2 minute warning extend the second and 4th quarters. You have watched football before, right?
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Old 02-06-10, 05:57 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Art Vandeleigh View Post
Too many Super Bowl are blowouts, teams take crazy chances early if they get behind a couple of scores 16.5 at -135 well that is playing with fire. Why second quarter high scoring? Drives going on near the end of the first quarter are not in any hurry letting them go into the 2nd quarter is common (while drives going on near the end of 2nd quarter must score in 2nd quarter), 6 timeouts and 2 minute warning extend the second and 4th quarters. You have watched football before, right?

I do watch football on a normal bases. I totally understand what you said, just never really thought about it like that. Thanks for pointing it out. What would you play if you had to play those 2?
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Old 02-06-10, 06:08 PM   #12
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The 1st one I like
the second one not so much. Can u choose any quarter?
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Old 02-06-10, 06:32 PM   #13
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their hasnt been a blowout in the superbowl in a minute so,this game should be close reardless
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Old 02-06-10, 07:04 PM   #14
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t bird my pm went down good luck tomorrow
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Old 02-06-10, 09:49 PM   #15
alton618
 
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the prop is only for 2nd qtr, but you can either pick yes or no.
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