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  1. #1

    Default SB Prop No turnovers in game+825

    Looks pretty tempting. Colts are great at not fumbling and Peyton does not throw INT's, and Saints will probably drop more passes and run very little in the game. Feedback. Any other good props out there?
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  2. #2

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    yea right there's gonna be at least a turnover. it might have value but you might as well buy lottery tickets. Do you bet anything other than futures and props?
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  3. #3

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    A good longshot which isnt all that unlikey with these two high powered offenses is game goes to OT +1200.
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  4. #4

  5. #5

    Default

    Did you see how many fumbles were in the NO/MIN game?

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  6. #6

  7. #7

    Default

    there won't be 3 unanswered scores in the game....+155....ehhhh?????

  8. #8

    Default

    Like all prop wagers, this one is terrible. You have two indoor teams playing in an outdoor stadium. What about the weather? What happens if it is rainy, or windy? What happens if one team falls behind late and gets desperate? Prop wagers are what pay for those fancy neon lights in Vegas and those pretty ladies who serve all of that free booze.

  9. #9
    durito's Avatar SBR PRO
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    Like all prop wagers, this one is terrible. You have two indoor teams playing in an outdoor stadium. What about the weather? What happens if it is rainy, or windy? What happens if one team falls behind late and gets desperate? Prop wagers are what pay for those fancy neon lights in Vegas and those pretty ladies who serve all of that free booze.
    http://forum.sbrforum.com/images/smilies/laugh.gif

  10. #10
    durito's Avatar SBR PRO
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    Like all prop wagers, this one is terrible. You have two indoor teams playing in an outdoor stadium. What about the weather? What happens if it is rainy, or windy? What happens if one team falls behind late and gets desperate? Prop wagers are what pay for those fancy neon lights in Vegas and those pretty ladies who serve all of that free booze.

    So why aren't prop limits higher and game limits lower?

  11. #11

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    How can someone say "all prop wagers are terrible" and be taken seriously on SBR?

    unreal.

  12. #12
    durito's Avatar SBR PRO
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    In this case, I'll take YEs there is a TO up to at least -2000

  13. #13

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    it amazes me that people with so many posts can still be so fkn stupid when it comes to sports betting

  14. #14

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    Quote Originally Posted by TheLock View Post
    How can someone say "all prop wagers are terrible" and be taken seriously on SBR? unreal.
    I know your not refering to me but 25% of them are god awful. about 25% of them when priced properly are a gold's mine.
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  15. #15

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    I'm with ya Lock. I'll be taking this prop for a small amount. Why not? Half a unit isn't much. You (seaborne) make a good point--These two teams, especially playing each other, are going to base the win off of fewer turnovers, as statistically, the team who turns it over the least wins. Seeing as both of these teams aren't very turnover-prone, with two great quarterbacks and some big receivers, I think it's a decent play. If anyone puts the ball on the ground, it will be Reggie Bush. A tipped Manning pass would probably be the only interception on the Colts side. Not sure about Brees in a big situation like this--hell it's the Saints in the superbowl! No trends yet for them..

  16. #16

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    This reminds me of all the people ridiculing those who posted the Nets ML as a play last night...

  17. #17
    durito's Avatar SBR PRO
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    1) How many turnovers do you project in this game?

    2) What does that then make the fair value on O/U .5?

  18. #18

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    Quote Originally Posted by durito View Post
    So why aren't prop limits higher and game limits lower?
    Oh really? Are you telling me that you can wager 50K on a prop, because that is done all the time in Vegas on games. Now maybe no one in here can wager that much, but the sharps can, and do all the time. Even The Greek has a 25K limit on a superbowl spread wager. Please show me where you can put 25K on a prop wager. The fact of the matter is that if you know ANYONE who works for a book in VEgas, they will tell you that prop wagers are their biggest money makers, percentage wise.

  19. #19

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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Looks pretty tempting. Colts are great at not fumbling and Peyton does not throw INT's, and Saints will probably drop more passes and run very little in the game. Feedback. Any other good props out there?
    Peyton threw 2 INT's in the Baltimore game. The Ravens just screwed themselves on both. You can most definitely count on a fumble and if you say the Saints will rely on passing not running then one could assume that the chances increase that an INT will happen. Less chance of turnovers when it's a balanced attack. GL tho.

  20. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    Oh really? Are you telling me that you can wager 50K on a prop, because that is done all the time in Vegas on games. Now maybe no one in here can wager that much, but the sharps can, and do all the time. Even The Greek has a 25K limit on a superbowl spread wager. Please show me where you can put 25K on a prop wager. The fact of the matter is that if you know ANYONE who works for a book in VEgas, they will tell you that prop wagers are their biggest money makers, percentage wise.
    Can you read?

    I said:

    So why aren't prop limits higher and game limits lower?
    Try again.

  21. #21

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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    Oh really? Are you telling me that you can wager 50K on a prop, because that is done all the time in Vegas on games. Now maybe no one in here can wager that much, but the sharps can, and do all the time. Even The Greek has a 25K limit on a superbowl spread wager. Please show me where you can put 25K on a prop wager. The fact of the matter is that if you know ANYONE who works for a book in VEgas, they will tell you that prop wagers are their biggest money makers, percentage wise.
    Just to be clear, you're contending the following:

    1. Props are a more efficient market than spreads and totals.
    2. Sportsbooks want "sharps" wagering a lot more money than "squares."


    Really?

  22. #22
    durito's Avatar SBR PRO
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    What book has this wager?

  23. #23

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    Quote Originally Posted by durito View Post
    What book has this wager?
    id assume carib or sportbook
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  24. #24

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    Opening kickoff fumbled +3600!
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  25. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by UntilTheNDofTimE View Post
    id assume carib or sportbook
    Nope. But, sbook did just put up all their props.

  26. #26
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    I'll conservatively put the total expected turnovers at 3.1 (i actually made it higher at first).

    That would make over/under .5 -2120/2120.

    The # of expected TO's would have to be less than 2.225 for this wager to have value. Average # of TO's in an NFL is about 3.5.

  27. #27

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    Quote Originally Posted by durito View Post
    What book has this wager?
    TheGreek.
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  28. #28
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    TheGreek.
    thanks I somehow missed it during the 45 times i've checked their prop page today

  29. #29

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    durito whats the line for over 0.5 turnovers?

    i dont wish to scroll threw the props section, haha
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  30. #30

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    5dimes is only charging -101 for coin flip props, not bad.
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  31. #31

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    Looks like the prop is a 3 way choice for first turnover of the game, not a yes/no or o/u .5 prop.

  32. #32
    durito's Avatar SBR PRO
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    i still don't see said prop

  33. #33
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    Quote Originally Posted by donjuan View Post
    Looks like the prop is a 3 way choice for first turnover of the game, not a yes/no or o/u .5 prop.
    ah ok, too bad

  34. #34

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    Quote Originally Posted by donjuan View Post
    Looks like the prop is a 3 way choice for first turnover of the game, not a yes/no or o/u .5 prop.
    can you post the prop?
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  35. #35

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    Quote Originally Posted by durito View Post
    thanks I somehow missed it during the 45 times i've checked their prop page today
    My mistake D, it is 5Dimes.
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