[TheNFLGuru3]

50* NO -3 (BUY IT, NO NEED TO RISK IT) A push is better than a loss.
I think the New Orlean Saints are Superbowl bound. Look for a continuation of how they played against the AZ Cardinals. Warner was knocked out for a while, couldnt keep his feet stable in the pocket, was inaccurate, rushed into decisions, and turnovered the ball. I see much of the same and we all know Farve is capable of throwing those picks, maybe not this season, but he has been. This Saints Defense is pretty good at causing turnovers and converting them to scores. The Vikings run game seems as though its been missing lately, anyone noticed? Drew Breez has excelled this year and should be on fire in this game. I love the home team here and would like to have it at -3. Injuries... nothing too big on Saints (Jenkins may be most significant), Vikings have Harvin with illness (didnt practice) and Antoine Winfield, Ray Edwards, Kevin Williams with injuries..... Berrian, Hutchinson, and Leber all are nursing injuries. Dont get me wrong, I like the Vikings and Farve a lot, but liking them doesnt mean you win with them.. wouldnt mind seeing them in the superbowl, but wouldnt bet it though. The cause of concern for me is the big play capabilities of the Vikings and possibly a run game... not very sure if it will exist.

15* NO/MINN UNDER 53
I think defenses will be far better and no one scores 45 here like against AZ. Looking for a well managed game with cautious play until the 4th Quarter. Maybe some 6-8 min drives, unlike the 2-3 min NO drives of last weekend, lol. Total is too high, but thats why they play the game.

Play your own units based on my ratio, I play bigger.... unit is a dime for me, others is a hundred.... bet accordingly. Lines will move unfavorably for us so get in.

7* PARLAY
IND -7 and NO -3

3* PARLAY
IND U 39
NO U 53

[peterw111]

Thanks Guru3

Im certain alot of people have been waiting for this brief.

Will certainly be tailing you.

GL with all your weekend bets!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[texassoljaz]

gl this weeek!

[THE PROFIT]

Sounds good guru, really rooting for Favre here though. Make sure you join that contest I started for sunday, just 5 points.

[gshock1]

Hey Guru,

My book hasn't brought down the Saints line (still at -4) and I can't buy a 1 pt. hook. I'll wait until the last second to see if things change, but what do you feel about -4?

Also, they have the Colts at (-8). That isn't moving any direction either.

[Brocc]

Like this one as well!
People overlook the rushing attack of the Saints with Thomas, Bush & Bell they've rushed for over 125 yds in 11 games this year. Minny is a different team on the road (4-4) with road wins at Det, Clev, St.L and the only marquee win at GB. Road losses at Pitt, Carl, Chic & Ariz.....We saw what happened to Arizona last week with probably the 2nd most potent passing attack in Warner getting shut down. The crowd at NO will be rabid for the city's first ever Super Bowl trip, making it EXTREMELY hard for Favre to play....Farve hasn't won a playoff game on the road in over a decade....The INTs start flowing this week.....Don't be afraid of the -4, the Saints get up early and don't look back!



2-0 on the sides this week

[veemister]

good luck guru

[Smogs]

Couldn't agree more with this pick and love that you have it so highly staked

[TheNFLGuru3]

-4 should be ok.... looking for NO to give a smackdown.

[thechaoz]

Could you detail your 10* vs 50* etc system. I had never seen anything other then from 6* to 10*. I don't understand if 6 is a small play (maybe 1 unit?) and 10 was really strong etc. Now this 50* throws me all off.

Thanks for your threads and great write ups.

[TheNFLGuru3]

Sure.... my stars of old are now units.... for you guys, I assumed you play hundred = 1 star. So 10 units is 1000 bet. 50 stars is 5000. Hope that helps.... if you dont like that much use a similar ratio like NO = 500 IND = 250 IND U = 75 NO U = 125. Make the bets to your taste.... I use dimes so 50 large on NO. I love NO... hearing Harvin may not play. NO at home = easy win. Min on road against good team = bad loss. Under looks good, but play more on the actual teams per my units.

[thechaoz]

Great thanks for the explanation, makes perfect sense now. BOL this weekend.

[tbird509]

love saints also,but im really liking colts also

[kjus1]

BOL

[kjus1]

I started out liking the jets but turned now and dont really know anymore (spread of course)

[TheNFLGuru3]

Go COLTS, NO and UNDERS... winner this weekend.

[bigbadbetter]

Rip this parlay as a stand alone for as much as you can handle.

IND U 39
NO U 53

No doubt

[bigbadbetter]

rollin:
Wager type : Parlay
Select #1 : NFL Football
New York Jets/Indianapolis Colts 1/24/2010 3:00 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 39½ -105 for Game
Select #2 : NFL Football
Minnesota Vikings/New Orleans Saints 1/24/2010 6:40 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 53 -103 for Game
Amount : Risking 2,000.00 To Win 6,030.42 USD

WAGER ACCEPTED

[regretz]

both under

[TheNFLGuru3]

You know I'm on unders as well... love unders here big time. I love going back and seeing my bets and then just loving them so much I add to them. I felt like doing this all year and it worked well, dont stop now, right? Good parlay on unders for me as well as IND and NO.

[thechaoz]

rollin:
Wager type : Parlay
Select #1 : NFL Football
New York Jets/Indianapolis Colts 1/24/2010 3:00 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 39½ -105 for Game
Select #2 : NFL Football
Minnesota Vikings/New Orleans Saints 1/24/2010 6:40 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 53 -103 for Game
Amount : Risking 2,000.00 To Win 6,030.42 USD

WAGER ACCEPTED

BOL!

[Dexter]

you bet $50,000 on the saints?

[TheNFLGuru3]

I did and I pushed at 50k, on day up 65 units... won 25 units on parlay with Indy and NO push, won 75 units on INDY lost on unders and parlay on unders.... ahead for day due to INDY... NO couldnt stop Minn and a hurt farve... couldnt believe it 5 TO and tied. Refs did help Vikings though a lot.

[ol'Tex]

you stack up on indy yet at -4 Guru?

[ranman92]

Guru thanks for indy pick and i decided to go with Vikes plus 3 and a half so I won 400 dollars for the day. One thing I disagree with your post that the refs were for the Vikes. That late pass interference call on Vikes was BS. Also on that 4th and 1 Pierre Thomas fumbled and should have only gotten forward progress to where he recovered the fumble which would have made him short of the 1st down. And on Reggie Bushes TD he lost control of the ball going out of bounds and the ball hit the ground before he re controlled it which should have been a touchback. And on the play Favre got hurt he was hit in the knees which is supposed to be a 15 yard penalty which would have overturned an interception, and it was a blatant shot right on his knees. So at best you could say the officiating was a wash, but I say it was way in the favor of New Orleans. But thanks for the picks man. Also you win your parlays when you get a push on 1 of the 2 bets that is amazing I have never heard of that.

[BIGRED12]

nobody is guru. good weekend

[Dexter]

I did and I pushed at 50k, on day up 65 units... won 25 units on parlay with Indy and NO push, won 75 units on INDY lost on unders and parlay on unders.... ahead for day due to INDY... NO couldnt stop Minn and a hurt farve... couldnt believe it 5 TO and tied. Refs did help Vikings though a lot.

nice call on the colts and sharp move buying the saints down to 3.

[zagat]

rollin:
Wager type : Parlay
Select #1 : NFL Football
New York Jets/Indianapolis Colts 1/24/2010 3:00 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 39½ -105 for Game
Select #2 : NFL Football
Minnesota Vikings/New Orleans Saints 1/24/2010 6:40 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 53 -103 for Game
Amount : Risking 2,000.00 To Win 6,030.42 USD

WAGER ACCEPTED

welp, see ya round buddy

[TheNFLGuru3]

Ranman, it turns into a single bet win for 25 units instead of paying 62.5 units... my bet was raised to 25 units if you didnt see that sorry.

[TheNFLGuru3]

seen NO +6, buy to 7 or play wait game on line movements.. so far NO and OVER

[ol'Tex]

was hoping youd be on the colts! only way ill go to NO is if i can see +8 buy it to 9, and middle... but i know thats just a wet dream

[woody78]

I think you can wait it will trickle a little more to the Colts side, if you're a Saints backer. Over 56.5, while obviously insanely high, makes me want to crush that over now before it's pushed up even more.