[TheNFLGuru3]

Guys, we are doing units via popular request. Each number in front represents how many units should be based on the games this weekend. Anyhow, lets get started.

25* IND -7 1/2 (I bought mine on a favorable cost to -7) If you can get -7, do it.
This game represents a top notch Defense against a top notch offense led by MVP Manning. Manning looked decent against Balt, a defense similar to the Jets. Manning is not the reason for this pick though, he helps, its their Defense. They contained the Ravens run game and made Flacco throw. Sounds very similar to how this game will be played. I link the Jets of this year to the Ravens of last year. They are very similar teams. Sanchez has looked great this playoff season, but I dont expect this to continue at Indy. I think the Colts will play great defense and once again try to control the clock with a precise short passing attack. I love the Colts at -7, but to some people that cant happen, so I'm releasing this as a big play, but not the biggest of the weekend.

8* IND/JETS UNDER 39
I cant say enough about the defenses here... Jets are phenominal and INDY has and will play great against a one dimensional conservative Jets offense. They nearly blanked a good offense beating Baltimore 20-3. I see the same score here UNLESS turnovers become a big factor. I dont anticipate that here with great coaches and conservative play styles.


More to come, but wanted to give a bonus out to who read this early.....
Loyola Marymount +11 1/2 in college hoops
Cal ST Fullerton OVER 126
I played 10 and 8 units trying to start weekend off the right way.... by no means am I the expert, love the line movement and heard through the grapevine.

[Brocc]

I like the play here, the overlooked aspect of this game is Indy's defense. They shut down the Ravens potent attack & forced Flacco to beat them...same thing happens here...Jets move the ball between the 30s but are going to be settling for FGs, while Peyton score TDs.




Now I'll check game 2 thread..

[veemister]

Thanks guru i like INDY in this game 31-9 jets wont see the endzone except for feild goals

[aceking]

indy 24
Jets 10

[slacker00]

Jets 20
Indy 17

What do we get if we predict the correct score?

[tblues2005]

good luck on these plays. I like the Colts.

[TheNFLGuru3]

You get a cookie, lol..... 23-6 INDY of course

[Serbone]

Guys, we are doing units via popular request. Each number in front represents how many units should be based on the games this weekend. Anyhow, lets get started.

25* IND -7 1/2 (I bought mine on a favorable cost to -7) If you can get -7, do it.
This game represents a top notch Defense against a top notch offense led by MVP Manning. Manning looked decent against Balt, a defense similar to the Jets. Manning is not the reason for this pick though, he helps, its their Defense. They contained the Ravens run game and made Flacco throw. Sounds very similar to how this game will be played. I link the Jets of this year to the Ravens of last year. They are very similar teams. Sanchez has looked great this playoff season, but I dont expect this to continue at Indy. I think the Colts will play great defense and once again try to control the clock with a precise short passing attack. I love the Colts at -7, but to some people that cant happen, so I'm releasing this as a big play, but not the biggest of the weekend.

8* IND/JETS UNDER 39
I cant say enough about the defenses here... Jets are phenominal and INDY has and will play great against a one dimensional conservative Jets offense. They nearly blanked a good offense beating Baltimore 20-3. I see the same score here UNLESS turnovers become a big factor. I dont anticipate that here with great coaches and conservative play styles.


More to come, but wanted to give a bonus out to who read this early.....
Loyola Marymount +11 1/2 in college hoops
Cal ST Fullerton OVER 126
I played 10 and 8 units trying to start weekend off the right way.... by no means am I the expert, love the line movement and heard through the grapevine.

Excellent. I like Indy BIG, too! One of my favorite plays of the yr!

Jets are a nice disciplined team, but incredibly fortunate. SD blew it last week, sloppy, not just missed FG's but sloppy WR play and poor game plan. Jets backed into playoffs, how about that loss at home to Atlanta w/o QB or RB's? In way over their heads, 3rd straight road game. If Jets get behind and Sanchez has to throw.... could be absolute blowout. Sacks, INT's, etc!

Some myth out there about Indy not stopping the run... look at games vs Balt and Tenn! Stopped them cold. Indy "D" most underrated unit in the playoffs IMO. Very fast "D" against the run and the pass. Manning will not let Indy let this slip out of their hands. Leadership matters. Indy, BIG!

(Hey, I almost NEVER deal with over/unders).

[Brocc]

Jets 20
Indy 17

What do we get if we predict the correct score?

Don't worry, you're not even close

27-13 Colts

[iceaxe56]

can you iimagine the jets in the super bowl--ugh--i can't see it happening altjough the cards were in last year--got to be colts versus vikings/saints either one ok--but hope favre has his day

[TheNFLGuru3]

Guys, IND is early game... success in early game is crazy for me.... making IND a 50* game now... follow if you like. Love anything below 8, especially 7 if possible.... may raise this up even more depending on info coming in..... in addition, huge parlay guys.... NO AND IND buying to 3 and 7 on parlays is easy... do it!!! I'm up to 25 units on this parlay. HUGE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Samhain]

In my opinion I don't think the Jets will sniff over 10, but I'll give them the benefit of the doubt.

Colts 24
Jets 10

(Sanchez will be good for at least 3 INT's)

[woody78]

Good luck with these, I'm really thinking about the under hard here. Might be my one and only play of the weekend.

[msec512]

Not sure about the under. But, I love Indy and NO on a parlay.

[coloradobuff]

Agree on buying it to -7..good luck bro.

[tabasquito]

I like the Under on the Colts. And I like NO to win.

Might be time for a big teaser to get NO some points and go under a Colts mid-40's score.

[chickenwang]

I hate to bet against ya Guru, but I can see the NFL setting up a Jets vs. Vikings Superbowl

[RayzHELL]

Indy COLTS!!!!!!!!

[no1here]

Jets ain't scared and they believe that they can win besides their defense is #1 as well as running game. Best team will win but don't disrespect NY. The under seems to be best play here.

[Frosh]

I think Indy NO parlay is not all that soilid. No way both the favorites cash this weekend.

[tgunn11]

Kind of surprised that last week the "sure thing" play was SD/NY over 42 and it was only a 10*, now Indy started out a 25* and up to a 50*. Quite a difference in units for both being big plays.

[slacker00]

Better buy that damn hook..I just cant see Sanchez doing a damn thing to keep them in the game..

There are 52 other players helping him. Namely, defense, o-line, RBs, etc.

Kind of surprised that last week the "sure thing" play was SD/NY over 42 and it was only a 10*, now Indy started out a 25* and up to a 50*. Quite a difference in units for both being big plays.

He's using what's called a Martingale scheme. It is the last step before bankruptcy for a gambling addict.

[TheNFLGuru3]

I already explained the star vs units- this week units so you get the actual value of my plays because people were betting too little on certain games that I loved through the year. Its all in the post, 25 units now 50 on IND.... is 5k bet for 100 dollar player... if you cant do it, play a ratio favoring the bigger plays.
I just gone and did it... COLTS added more. I cant imagine what this bookie will do if I win. I'm taking his free and clear house this weekend, lol.
IF you bet like me, I'm up to 75 on this bad boy. Liking under more and more too. Dont get crazy like me, I'm up huge on year and its not hurting me to give back a little. At one point this year I hit my 2 majors 6 consecutive weeks... had round robbins on them hitting at 75%, then having huge parlays on the majors like this week with NO and IND... that stretch would easily cover triple my bets this weekend so no big deal... as always bet what you can stand to lose... no more than that.

[eMdOtkay]

Dont sleep on the jets.. The line is gunma jump another .5-1.. Take the jets

[bigbadbetter]

Listen, my opinion is no different than an assho*e. 6 posts so take it for what it's worth BUT I have a STRONG feeling that the kickers for the Bengals (have it on good authority) and an online post I found BEFORE the game http://thedirty.com/2010/01/09/graham-does-it-again/ and the Chargers were paid to shave points. Worked out well for those who bet I guess....so...could someone who favours the jets be able to get to the right players? who knows. I'm taking both underdog's heavy on the business angle backed up but injuries. Stats only go so far and I think with only 4 teams left were beyond stats. Good luck.

[TheNFLGuru3]

Man, I dont know about being paid off but I do know they did miss some kicks they have nailed time in and time out. I hate for that to be a thought, but I've seen it first hand on a betting side.... Toledo and Fresno ST 3-4 years ago, my money was on Toledo before Gradkowski missed the game... indications and investigations went on to conclude a guy paid him to sit and some others.... on top of that that guy paid some Toledo BB players off too. I lost big because I didnt know and was ill prepared because my info had him starting that game. Bet too early in that one and in that NE game recently with Moss being a decoy.

[RayzHELL]

Parlay Bet

Description

Risk

Win

Jan 24 03:00 PM EST - Football NFL - 302 Indianapolis Colts -6 buying 2 points -170 for Game

Jan 24 03:00 PM EST - Football NFL - 302 New York Jets / Indianapolis Colts Under 44 buying 4 points -220 for Game

Jan 24 06:40 PM EST - Football NFL - 303 Minnesota Vikings +7 buying 3½ points -220 for Game

3 Team Parlay

Bet Slip Total

Risk

Win

$300.00 USD

$713.07 USD

[texassoljaz]

very nice write up

[ttwarrior1]

lol you really went out a limb on that one saying colts will win, pff

[Wheell]

I don't like the Vikes as a road team. I feel the Saints are the play there.

[S.K.M.]

Colts are laying 8.5 at my book. I would have a hard time laying that many points in a game with a total set below 40. 8.5 points is a shitload in a low scoring game. At 8.5 I like the Jets. I just don't get why they are still getting no love. Are the colts that much better than the Chargers? I don't think so. The Chargers were the hottest team in the league along with the Cowgirls

[bballs84]

[Skidcom]

I just hate following the public on the Colts and the Under. Guess it doesn't matter if it is the right play