Arizona @ new orleans -7 o/u 57.5

01-12-10 11:42 PM

Arizona @ new orleans -7 o/u 57

this game has 2 of the best offenses versus two very suspect defenses. Arizona is coming off a win at home against green bay in which warner threw more touchdowns than incompletions. The cards offense looked unstoppable (532 yds and 51 pts) against a defense that was ranked 2nd in the nfl. Boldin may or may not play but the other receivers have shown that they can more than make up for his absence. Breaston and doucet combined for 13 rec, 202 yds, and 3 scores in the wildcard game. And if that wasn't enough, it looks like beanie wells could be a major player against the saints. Wells put up 156 yds on green bay's #1 ranked rush defense. This week wells faces the saints defense which is 21st against the rush and has given up 19 rushing touchdowns(4th most in nfl). The saints will counter with the nfl's #1 offense. The saints have proven that they can be beat at home.(1-4 ats in last 5 home games and 0-5 ats in last 5 overall) with one loss being against the bucs in overtime. Maybe the week off will be enough time for the saints to regroup against the cards who are 6-2 on the road overall and 6-0 ats in their last 6 games as a road underdog. The saints will look forward to playing against a cardinals defense that gave up 493 yards and 45 points to green bay. The saints will need to score early and control the clock so they can make arizona one dimensional on offense. Arizona has been known to abandon the running game early in contest. The saints also want to keep their defense off the field, so they have to get the running game going. Which ever team can run the ball will be able to control the clock and limit the other team's offense from exposing their defense. There will likely be plenty of scoring but i don't think the total will be as high as everyone believes.(the under is 6-2 in the cards last 8 games and 4-0 in the saints last 4) this game will be about the defenses and which team will have the best game plan to limit the other's high powered offense. Im taking arizona to cover the spread and the under 57.5 in what i think will be a close game.

My picks: Arizona +7 and <57.5

01-13-10 12:11 AM

Good writeup!....I have to think that 7 is a fair spread in this game as if anything less I would be all over the Saints....At the same time I find the Saints still the better bet even @ 7....I hate to use the sentimental angle but in this case I have to go with Bree's leadership and his teams all out devotion to their QB....This teams warmups, sideline behavior, press conference showings (in wins and losses), is one of all out a showing of conviction that these guys believe that they can beat anybody on any day....And its not a cocky kind of belief, I dont think, its real and angry and loud and powerful....The inside stuff I've watched on these guys has me feeling that this team has a chemistry that only shows up once in a long time in the NFL...A bunch of millionaire atheletes really happy to be playing together.....For me its **** the stats!!!...at least for this game....

andywend · 01-13-10 12:18 AM

I agree with the line being 7 but the WRONG team is favored in this game.

Arizona is better on both sides of the ball and will show it on Saturday.

Final Score: Arizona 44, New Orleans 10

kidcd · 01-13-10 12:44 AM

Nice write up good luck.

texassoljaz · 01-13-10 12:53 AM

01-13-10 11:30 PM

Originally Posted by awhitejackson

good writeup!....i have to think that 7 is a fair spread in this game as if anything less i would be all over the saints....at the same time i find the saints still the better bet even @ 7....i hate to use the sentimental angle but in this case i have to go with bree's leadership and his teams all out devotion to their qb....this teams warmups, sideline behavior, press conference showings (in wins and losses), is one of all out a showing of conviction that these guys believe that they can beat anybody on any day....and its not a cocky kind of belief, i dont think, its real and angry and loud and powerful....the inside stuff i've watched on these guys has me feeling that this team has a chemistry that only shows up once in a long time in the nfl...a bunch of millionaire atheletes really happy to be playing together.....for me its **** the stats!!!...at least for this game....

i agree with you that brees is a class act, i hope he does well in the playoffs. He also happens to be a former texas high school football player, so i will be pullin for the guy.

01-13-10 11:33 PM

Originally Posted by andywend

i agree with the line being 7 but the wrong team is favored in this game.

Arizona is better on both sides of the ball and will show it on saturday.

Final score: Arizona 44, new orleans 10

i would be very surprised if arizona dominates them, but i do remember last years div playoffs when arizona went in to carolina as 10 point dogs. They put a serious whoopin on the panthers.

LT Profits · 01-14-10 01:06 AM

Don't forget that Saints have not had good offensive game in a month and may come out rusty initially.

tblues2005 · 01-14-10 02:20 AM

I think this game will come down to turnovers and that is what most playoff games are down to.

brandon m · 01-14-10 02:30 AM

Originally Posted by andywend

I agree with the line being 7 but the WRONG team is favored in this game.

Arizona is better on both sides of the ball and will show it on Saturday.

Final Score: Arizona 44, New Orleans 10

Gotta agree with you man. Looking for Warner and touchdown Larry to upset the Saints at home. Dunno about the over. I like the over on a teaser though.

aceking · 01-14-10 09:53 AM

under 56 points .

Eellsy27 · 01-14-10 10:00 AM

Final Score

Arizona- 31

New Orleans- 17

Muddy · 01-14-10 10:50 AM

Under for me

BigdaddyQH · 01-14-10 11:01 AM

Last weeks game was a complete and total freak. Arizona got every possible break, and still had to go to OT to win. That will not happen again. New Orleans has the best offense in the NFL. Arizona's defense was non-existant last week. New Orleans will score against that group.

Where Arizona has an advanteage is that they have been here before. They know exactly what to expect. New Orleans are the new kids on the block. Granted, it is their block, and they are certainly better than the Carolina team that the Cards played last year, but they need a fast start to put Arizona in their place.

This is a game where I can not get a good read on. It can go either way. I will probsably pass on this game. I think that the game will end up as a shoot out, no matter how it starts.

pokerpro44 · 01-14-10 11:16 AM

saints 27
arizona 24

alex81 · 01-14-10 11:23 AM

Arizona ML +250

Cards are THE TEAM to play as an underdog!

blue chip · 01-14-10 11:48 AM

Originally Posted by awhitejackson

Good writeup!....I have to think that 7 is a fair spread in this game as if anything less I would be all over the Saints....At the same time I find the Saints still the better bet even @ 7....I hate to use the sentimental angle but in this case I have to go with Bree's leadership and his teams all out devotion to their QB....This teams warmups, sideline behavior, press conference showings (in wins and losses), is one of all out a showing of conviction that these guys believe that they can beat anybody on any day....And its not a cocky kind of belief, I dont think, its real and angry and loud and powerful....The inside stuff I've watched on these guys has me feeling that this team has a chemistry that only shows up once in a long time in the NFL...A bunch of millionaire atheletes really happy to be playing together.....For me its **** the stats!!!...at least for this game....

What the h... are you talking about? Brees' leadership and his teams all out devotion to their QB? Did you ever flip the coin to realize that Warner has some (lol) leadership qualities and that his teamates respect him also? After all he's won a super bowl, man, and nearly won another one with a team nobody ever imagined had a shot to even get there.

The team's (NO) warmups and sideline behavior show conviction? Where do you think you're at, the race track scoping out a horse prior to post time.

If that's all you can bring to handicap this game, then I feel sorry for you.

Jonah · 01-14-10 04:09 PM

Will Michael Adams be on the field this week? If so -watch out.

01-14-10 09:41 PM

Does anybody have any good info on whether boldin will play or not? Im reading reports he wont play and other reports saying he will. Is anyone in the forum heard anything from a reliable source?

01-14-10 11:43 PM

Originally Posted by blue chip

What the h... are you talking about? Brees' leadership and his teams all out devotion to their QB? Did you ever flip the coin to realize that Warner has some (lol) leadership qualities and that his teamates respect him also? After all he's won a super bowl, man, and nearly won another one with a team nobody ever imagined had a shot to even get there.

The team's (NO) warmups and sideline behavior show conviction? Where do you think you're at, the race track scoping out a horse prior to post time.

If that's all you can bring to handicap this game, then I feel sorry for you.

I knew I was going to take some shit for this cause its not an attractive angle to look at EVER when handicapping (to squares)....But this is my take on this NO team....I wont apologize or even consider your idea that I am somehow ignorant in my capping....This is not only NFL football, but NFL PLAYOFF football.....There are no easy picks or lock wins...The bigs have studied these teams all frickin year and own your money unless you find an angle that works and then you go in with a fighting chance (or so you believe enough to make a considerable wager)....This is my angle on this particular game and its sharper in my opinion than any other attempt hoping to find an edge on this particular line....

And when did looking at the human/psychological aspect of a game become amateur???? I'm assuming you look at numbers only or something???This is fukking NFL playoffs!!!!!! I mean I dont know how you could view looking at personal motivation and team chemistry when capping as not one of the huge/paramount concerns during the postseason.... Wheres your argument????? Gimmie something better to consider....The human element here is HUGE here!!!!

Mr. Peepers · 01-14-10 11:44 PM

AZ and under

BigAL · 01-14-10 11:47 PM

I really hope Arizona can win. By brother is a big saints fan, and i want him to shut up

raiders72002 · 01-14-10 11:58 PM

Saints cover easily. Take action points.

01-15-10 05:08 AM

its going to be close to the over but the under should be the bet

01-15-10 05:10 AM

i ttok all the dogs in a ml parlay for $10/815

01-15-10 08:16 AM

i only under now

mikemac21 · 01-15-10 08:25 AM

Saints please

01-15-10 10:28 PM

I read that this game has the second highest playoff total in the last 20 years or so. Everybody is taking the over, which makes me want to take the under.

01-15-10 10:29 PM

If the special teams or defense score this could go over

SexyMit · 01-16-10 12:13 AM

Originally Posted by texashighroller

I read that this game has the second highest playoff total in the last 20 years or so. Everybody is taking the over, which makes me want to take the under.

Bingo!

01-16-10 01:02 PM

My picks for this weekend
colts -6
cards +7
vikes -2.5
jets +9

MStein12 · 01-16-10 01:10 PM

i bet the cards as well solely based on them actually having playoff experience and i think the saints are gonna be rusty

Mac4Lyfe · 01-16-10 01:31 PM

I like the Cards 1st half +4, +7 game and ML... Let's cash this bitch. The Aint's will be rustoleum.

PAULYPOKER · 01-16-10 01:38 PM

If you look at the Saints season as a whole it is not impressive at all in fact it is deceiving to those who don't use their head when wagering you see the only quality team they beat all season was the Patriots and even the patriots are not the Pats of the past anymore Yes they beat the Eagles&Giants but Eagles was 2nd game of season rule #1 1st 4 games of regular season are still an extension of preseason plain and simple Giants was 4th game and we all know the embarrassment they developed into by seasons end. The Saints last 5 games of the season the only quality team they played was Dallas and they lost actually they almost lost all 5 ! so what I'm trying to say is the Aints woud not even be in the playoffs if it wasn't for their weak schedule

01-16-10 01:59 PM

So what seems to be the concensus on the over under? I was leaning toward the under just because it is so high and i tend to like the under in most games. Although i could see the score easily being 28-35, or somewhere around there.

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Arizona @ new orleans -7 o/u 57.5

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