View New Posts
12
  1. #1

    Default NFL the easiest sport tp predict?

    I am convinced in this after seeing some of the guys having a genuine record of up to 80%, and that's not just a unique case, noone has such stats in NBA or hockey or baseball. What do ya think guys? Has anyone done better in anything else rather than Football?

  2. #2

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by bozeman View Post
    I am convinced in this after seeing some of the guys having a genuine record of up to 80%, and that's not just a unique case, noone has such stats in NBA or hockey or baseball. What do ya think guys? Has anyone done better in anything else rather than Football?
    I can kind of agree. NFL is a little easier to follow because there aren't nearly as many games as there are NBA, MLB, and NCAA per season.

  3. #3

    Default

    I DO MUCH BETTER in basball Iplay a money line in baseball maybe thats why but I DEFINATELY HAVE MORE WINNERS

  4. #4

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by bozeman View Post
    I am convinced in this after seeing some of the guys having a genuine record of up to 80%, and that's not just a unique case, noone has such stats in NBA or hockey or baseball. What do ya think guys? Has anyone done better in anything else rather than Football?
    theirs nobody with a 80% record,the elite nfl cappers are 65%.....look it up,if you could capp games in any sport at 80% you would be rich

  5. #5

  6. #6

    Default

    nfl is easiest. nba the hardest! take cowboys another easy nfl winner!

  7. #7

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by marabdl86 View Post
    I want to personally meet the guy hitting 80% in NFL
    When you do, ask him when his Son is coming back.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 12/14/2005


  8. #8

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by marabdl86 View Post
    I want to personally meet the guy hitting 80% in NFL

    I have been following dwayne bryant last few months and he really was over 80% in college bowls and over 70 in NFL for sure.

  9. #9

  10. #10

    Default

    somtimes it seems easy. but if I had to guess i'd say I only get it right half the time going back to when I first started really following football

  11. #11

    Default

    If the NFL was year around that would be perfect cause my net profits would be at least 100% higher because of the ass pounding I get in the other sports hell it's tough just to stay above 50% in NBA NCAAB NHL ETC. You see the NFL has a lot more of the luck factor taken out of the equation where as opposed to the other sports the teams&players are to inconsistent to cap properly half the time it's a coin flip or worse

  12. #12

    Default

    College Foootball is the easiest, if you do not insist on playing 100 games a week. Sharp gamblers will pick two or three college games a week, out of the 40-50 games played. The line moves much more in the college game in an average week. It is also easier to middle college games. And I have yet to see anyone who has gone 80% over a season in any sport. If you believe that, I have some lovely beach front property to sell you in Kansas.

  13. #13

    Default

    the only reason some touts hit 60 or 70 % is because there aren't nearly as many games as in every other us sport,
    going 24-7 over the course of a season is quite possible and since there are hundreds of touts/players posting their plays on a weekly basis, some of them have to hit at that rate.Unfortunately he might only hit 30 % the following year, nfl is the hardest of all sports to beat , so don't follow any touts , make some small bets for entertainment purposes only and focus on other sports if you want to make money.

  14. #14

    Default

    If your good at it, which I am not and don't know much about, I think nhl is one of the easiest.

  15. #15

    Default

    Not seeing anybody hitting 80% NFL except maybe for a small sample size timeframe.

    College basketball is best IMO.

    The thing about football is 7 points for a score: so a bad ref pass interfernce call, a deflected pass, a stupid penalty, a fumble, whatever, and there is 7 points, sometimes a 14 point swing, a huge % of final score, all because of LUCK or one BIG play.

    Ballgame over (like end of GB-AZ).

    In hoops, there are breaks, too, of course but only 2 points, some 4 point swings, a small % of the total score.

    SO if you do a good job with handicapping, team strengths/weaknesses, matchups, timing, trends, conference strengths, SOS, motivated team vs team that is not motivated, etc, etc, you should have less chance of losing because of bad luck.

  16. #16

    Default

    College hoops is the easiest game to rig. I am not saying flat out losing, but point shaving. If a team is favored by 22 and wins by 21, no one is going to bat an eye. There will not be a huge drop in the polls. But some people are going to win money. Point shaving is nearly impossible to stop, unless someone sings, or the player(s) involved to such a terrible job that it becomes obvious as to what happened. If you are a 12 point favorite, you are suppose to win by less than 12, but still win, not lose outright. Missing free throws is the easiest way to accomplish this.

  17. #17

    Default

    If the NFL is so easy, why was almost everyone in here on the Packers & Eagles? Only a few guys had the other side.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 10/6/2005


  18. #18

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by slacker00 View Post
    If the NFL is so easy, why was almost everyone in here on the Packers & Eagles? Only a few guys had the other side.
    I don't mean the crowds are good at nfl, but the experts. Seems to me when you read most of the write-ups to the games, almost always guys in NHL or NBA use stats and nothing else. Meanwhile, in Football their analyses go further than just "Cobe is on a hot streak last 5 games at home, and whoever on the opposite side sucks last 3 games. Conclusion: hosts -10." It seems they understand indeed which factors do really impact the result of the game, and which don't. I see the only reason in this.

  19. #19

  20. #20

    Default

    Hope baseball to be easy though

  21. #21

  22. #22

    Default

    if you're hitting 80% you're passing on a ton of value

  23. #23

    Default

    unless you are a incredibly hardcore professional, capping games is a waste of time... nobody hits 65% let alone 80% lifetime. Professionals don't even need to hit 55% to be profitable.

  24. #24

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by bozeman View Post
    I don't mean the crowds are good at nfl, but the experts. Seems to me when you read most of the write-ups to the games, almost always guys in NHL or NBA use stats and nothing else. Meanwhile, in Football their analyses go further than just "Cobe is on a hot streak last 5 games at home, and whoever on the opposite side sucks last 3 games. Conclusion: hosts -10." It seems they understand indeed which factors do really impact the result of the game, and which don't. I see the only reason in this.
    Nice job of explaining but the best thing to do is save your breath
    cause there are people who get it and people who don't and the ones who don't well they never will

  25. #25

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by bozeman View Post
    I don't mean the crowds are good at nfl, but the experts. Seems to me when you read most of the write-ups to the games, almost always guys in NHL or NBA use stats and nothing else. Meanwhile, in Football their analyses go further than just "Cobe is on a hot streak last 5 games at home, and whoever on the opposite side sucks last 3 games. Conclusion: hosts -10." It seems they understand indeed which factors do really impact the result of the game, and which don't. I see the only reason in this.
    You are comparing Apples and Oranges. In the NFL and College Football, games are played once a week. In every other major sport, games are played daily. The alleged "experts" in those sports have little time to go into a great deal of analysis because they have another game to analyze the next day, while football "experts" have much more time to analyze upcoming games, allowing them to go into greater detail.

  26. #26

  27. #27

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by bradthebloke View Post
    baseball easiest. just play the right dogs
    yes just pick some winners,
    there is nothing easier than that

  28. #28

    Default

    I would quit my day job if I was at 80% or even 65%

  29. #29

  30. #30

  31. #31

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by tjlampe View Post
    I would quit my day job if I was at 80% or even 65%

    when you suddenly lose 5-6 in a row you might start to seek one

  32. #32
    durito's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-03-06
    Posts: 13,083
    SBR Points: 1078
    Message Me

    Default

    You guys are nearly as sharp as sbrjohn

  33. #33

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by bozeman View Post
    I don't mean the crowds are good at nfl, but the experts. Seems to me when you read most of the write-ups to the games, almost always guys in NHL or NBA use stats and nothing else. Meanwhile, in Football their analyses go further than just "Cobe is on a hot streak last 5 games at home, and whoever on the opposite side sucks last 3 games. Conclusion: hosts -10." It seems they understand indeed which factors do really impact the result of the game, and which don't. I see the only reason in this.
    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Nice job of explaining but the best thing to do is save your breath cause there are people who get it and people who don't and the ones who don't well they never will
    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    You are comparing Apples and Oranges. In the NFL and College Football, games are played once a week. In every other major sport, games are played daily. The alleged "experts" in those sports have little time to go into a great deal of analysis because they have another game to analyze the next day, while football "experts" have much more time to analyze upcoming games, allowing them to go into greater detail.
    Perfect example

  34. #34

    Default

    The NFL is more of a chess game for handicappers because just 32 teams to deal with six degrees of seperation of the key elements such as coaches,coordinators,players,more consistency ETC. understanding how each one of these coincide with each other and opponents is the key to success in the NFL as a handicapper; yes it is the easiest for this fact but those who can't do this effectively and accurately will not understand the argument because of their own personal experience with it period because of their reliance on the luck factor.

  35. #35

    Default

    NFL is hardest of all (unless you're playing Moneylines) and it's Vegas' Moneymaker. Anyone who claims a record over %70 ATS is a liar.
    Second is NBA.

    Both NBA and NFL are very popular, you noticed?

    Which sports are easier to cap?

    Baseball and hockey of course.. Books feel happy for getting break-even after baseball season..

12 Last
Top