
Originally Posted by
iceminers26
Browns/Chiefs Over 37 My biggest total play thus far this year was the Browns on the road in Detroit, I see a similar result here. There probably won't be as many points scored as in that shootout, but I still expect it to sail over 37. The Browns give up an average of 25 PPG on the road and the Chiefs surpass that by giving up an average of 26.7 PPG at home. These are 2 shitty defenses that will get picked apart come Sunday. I am a fan of playing overs in games pairing 2 poor squads, these games more often than not end up in shootouts because the struggling offenses finally find success moving the ball and are not going to stop until the final second is on the clock because they have not had this feeling much this season. If I have to side with either defense, I would choose the Browns, but I still expect Cassel to throw at least 2 scores against them. On the other side, I see Quinn having equal success and matching Cassel. That's at least 28 points there off of 4 TD throws, throw in a rushing TD on both sides, that puts us at 42. There will also be 2 or 3 FGs in this game, so I see the final number around 48. Prediction: Browns 27 - Chiefs 21