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Old 12-04-09, 11:18 PM   #1
rain_e
 
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Default Why is the Saints line only 9.5?

Am I the only one that thinks these seems way to low?

The Redskins aren't really an offensive powerhouse and they aren't anything spectacular on defense either. They beat the Rams (9-7), Bucs (16-13), and Broncos (27-17). 107 points scored and 205 against where the Saints are 407 points scored and 221 against. There have only been 2 games that the Saints won by less than 10 points (against the Falcons and Rams). I believe (correct me if I'm wrong) but with a Saints with this week they clinch the division as well (something extra to play for on top of the 12-0 record).

Based on this basic information I'd think the Saints would be 14 point favorite. Is because they are on the road? Playing outdoors? Is Washington that tough?

Any advice is appreciated. Let me know if I'm way off on this one before I risk the house.
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Old 12-04-09, 11:27 PM   #2
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Redskins=#1 pass defense, at home, and have only lost by more than 9.5 twice this year.
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Old 12-04-09, 11:34 PM   #3
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classic letdown spot if there ever was 1. saints coming off big time mon night win short week going to play in the cold against a team with a good pass defense. im by no means telling you your wrong just pointing out the reasons i think this spread is not any higher
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Old 12-04-09, 11:54 PM   #4
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I do see the pass defence is ranked number one however they have let alot of big plays happen this year. I'm sure they will the Saints won't be putting up 40 points but can the Washington offence put up many points to keep it within 10? The outdoor/cold weather is definately an issue.
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Old 12-05-09, 01:37 AM   #5
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the only reason why i think the saints are not going to win by much is only because of the weather conditions up there. even though the redskins are the #1 pass defense, sean payton has proved that he can quickly come up with ideas to counter defenses.
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Old 12-05-09, 01:54 AM   #6
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Saint my lose this SU











-
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Old 12-05-09, 04:02 AM   #7
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This should definitely be at 12.5-13. Skins have played many teams close. The only way this goes over two scores is if Was turns the ball over. And if thats the case Saints 30-17 if not 28-20
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Old 12-05-09, 04:27 AM   #8
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Go Redskins!
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Old 12-05-09, 07:51 PM   #9
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Skins will cover, they play tough D and can score some now with Bingo calling the plays.
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Old 12-05-09, 08:00 PM   #10
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Letdown for New Orleans, they are 11-0 and proved themselves to the world Monday night by beating brand name team Patriots.
Skins have pretty strong D.
Ket Skins DT Haynesworth will play.
The Skins OL is getting better, adjusting to the injuries, new LT is doing OK.
Game is on grass.
Will be colder than the dome. The colder, the better for Skins.
If it is windy, that helps Skins, minimizes Brees.
Books keep it at 9.5 makes favorite a thousand percent more attractive than 10.
Take Skins + 9.5 for small play; if it is windy, cold, make a bigger bet.
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Old 12-05-09, 10:34 PM   #11
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No way the saints lose SU but it might be a trap they could eek it out by 4 or so or they could blow a hole in them the size of the superdome Im hoping for the latter
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Old 12-05-09, 10:39 PM   #12
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Letdown? I guess the Saints don't realize that the Vikings are only 1 game behind them? Saints roll easily, bad weather or not.
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Old 12-05-09, 11:48 PM   #13
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Saints aren't nearly the Road team that they are at home. A couple weeks ago the Saints went into ST LOUIS and it went down to the final play. Saints struggle to run when they can't establish the pass and Washington's pass D is very good. I like Washington plus the points to be honest.
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Old 12-05-09, 11:59 PM   #14
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saints are going to crush the skins. qb has been terrible so has thier run game. All they have his thier D.
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Old 12-06-09, 12:45 AM   #15
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Saints are on a mission this season and won't let down, both for the city of NO and also to wipe out so many seasons of futility there
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Old 12-06-09, 01:05 AM   #16
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Are you kidding me, you should be asking WHY THE HELL is the New England Patriots only 4.5 point favorites against the Miami Dolphins.. I don't even think I need to explain why that line seems off by about A TD and a FG
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Old 12-06-09, 01:07 AM   #17
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I would stay away from this one. Redskins pass defense is about the only thing the team has going for it. Then again they haven't faced a passing offense to the caliber of Brees and the Saints. Saints win but it may be close.
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Old 12-06-09, 01:10 AM   #18
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Originally I woulda probably stayed away, but the Saints have prooved way to much. I like the Saints
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Old 12-06-09, 01:20 AM   #19
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When there is a lot of argument always go with the dog
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Old 12-06-09, 01:26 AM   #20
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I just read the skins scored 21 past two games. I don't see them scoring more than that and thats a great game for them. With that said it's down to if the Saint score 30+
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Old 12-06-09, 01:28 AM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JMUplayer View Post
When there is a lot of argument always go with the dog


Robust
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Old 12-06-09, 01:49 AM   #22
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FootballJesus believes the Redskins may win this game outright but is saying take the skins plus the points.. The ML is to risky but 9.5, buy it to 10 and theres your winner
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Old 12-06-09, 01:54 AM   #23
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The Saints said Saturday that linebackers Marvin Mitchell and Scott Fujita, and cornerbacks Randall Gay and Jabari Greer will not play.
Mitchell and Gay have hamstring injuries, Greer has a hurt groin and Fujita is sidelined with a knee injury.
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Old 12-06-09, 03:16 AM   #24
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easy money
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Old 12-06-09, 03:22 AM   #25
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WATCH OUT FOR THE WEEK AFTER BIG WIN HANGOVER.
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Old 12-06-09, 03:28 AM   #26
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wash D makes every offense grind to a boring halt;; take the pts
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Old 12-06-09, 03:36 AM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BustedPretext View Post
Saints aren't nearly the Road team that they are at home. A couple weeks ago the Saints went into ST LOUIS and it went down to the final play. Saints struggle to run when they can't establish the pass and Washington's pass D is very good. I like Washington plus the points to be honest.
if i recall, that was the game that the back ups were starting for the first time. the defense was missing key players on defense in that game and still pulled through but now they've also signed mike mckenzie back and chris mcallister who did work against the patriots last week, where as they didnt have mckenzie or mcallister when playing the rams.

randall blows so i dont think he'll be missed in this game. i'm sure that the saint's defense can hold up against the skins even without those players starting.
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Old 12-06-09, 03:59 AM   #28
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tKL View Post
if i recall, that was the game that the back ups were starting for the first time. the defense was missing key players on defense in that game and still pulled through but now they've also signed mike mckenzie back and chris mcallister who did work against the patriots last week, where as they didnt have mckenzie or mcallister when playing the rams.

randall blows so i dont think he'll be missed in this game. i'm sure that the saint's defense can hold up against the skins even without those players starting.
after what i saw last week i doubt saints corners are the reason the line is what it is and imo saints are actually better with those 2 than guys they had starting the year. doesnt change that i like wash with the points but looking ahead those two signings will be big
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Old 12-06-09, 04:00 AM   #29
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Redskins moneyline juicyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
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Old 12-06-09, 12:24 PM   #30
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Well the lines down to -8.5 and I'm just going to take 1.5 units on NO.
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Old 12-06-09, 12:53 PM   #31
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I pounded WASH +9.5. If the Saints blow out they blow out but I like the play.
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Old 12-06-09, 05:25 PM   #32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheLock View Post
I pounded WASH +9.5. If the Saints blow out they blow out but I like the play.




If anyone was wondering why the Saints were only a 9.5 point favorite, we found out why.
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Old 12-07-09, 01:13 AM   #33
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hahah and why was that?
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