[Dexter]

A few plays booked yesterday:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...ml#post2616205

(3x) over packers - the last 3 meetings in detroit have all gone over the total and i see no reason for that trend not to continue. aaron rodgers and the packers are one of the more underrated offenses in football and the lions although banged up should be able to muster up some points at home on a day they are used to playing. GB 38-20

(2x) cowboys -14 - the raiders got it done at home last week, but this game has mismatch written all over it. the cowboys defense has actually been very solid this year and i cant see the raiders putting more then 14 points on the board. dallas knows how to deal with the short week and take care of business on the holiday. Dallas 37-14

(2x) broncos +7 - it looks like kyle orton will play and while the broncos are in a funk they should show enough pride at home on thanksgiving. the giants defense has been terrible the last 5 weeks and they will have their hands full with brandon marshall. NY 23-20

(2x) redskins +9(A5-Autobet) fade any team (eagles) who just won a nationally televised game.
(2x) under eagles 41 - the last 3 meetings in philly have all stayed to the low and the skins have that perfect type of run heavy offense with a good enough defense to make this a boring game in the teens. Philly 17-14

(2x) bills +3.5 - (A5-Autobet) fade any team (dolphins) who just won a nationally televised game. Buffalo 16-13

(3x) under sf 41.5 - 2 run oriented teams with defensive minded coaches - the clock should be moving quickly towards the low. the niners defense seems to be alternating good and bad perfomances. they bounce back at home vs the jags. SF 19-17

(4x) chargers -13.5 - (A1-Autobet) fade any team (kc) who beats the steelers in the previous week. SD 52-17

(3x) patriots +3
(2x) over saints 55.5 - brady cashed as a road dog a few weeks ago, and this time bellicheck wont ruin the outcome for his players. the party is over in new orleans. NE 37-31

[Dexter]

(2x) cards (A5-Autobet) fade any team (titans) who just won a nationally televised game. Tenn 24-23

[NJrookie]

Thanks for the early post dexter . And thumbs up for a nice week !

[jsmithj88]

do u have some sort of stat for fading national tv winners?

[blueghost]

ya love to see stat sheet

[Dexter]

i dont have the record with me but will provide it tonight. its def at least 60% this season.

[Dexter]

(3x) over packers 47

[FadeCommonSense]

I like most picks, but the Over Saints and Pats is too easy. Illogical bets win waayy too often and this is one.

[woody78]

I think that Pats/Saints o/u could go to 60 and the majority of people would still believe the over would be good, as I know I;m getting on this early before it goes up a few points. Like the Pack over and Eagles under as well. Washington will be lucky to get 10, so as long as Philly doesn't go off, which isn't likely against a good Skins D, that under looks like a great take as well. GL.

[lilgame]

how does the Min Vikes -10.5, -11, or -12 look?

[Dexter]

Originally Posted by FadeCommonSense

I like most picks, but the Over Saints and Pats is too easy. Illogical bets win waayy too often and this is one.

i hear ya - this is true but i think this is one of those games not to overthink. not indoors with ideal playing conditions.

[iceminers26]

Good luck Dexter

love the fact you have an AutoBet system on any team that beats the Steelers (prob most public team)

[Dexter]

Originally Posted by iceminers26

Good luck Dexter

love the fact you have an AutoBet system on any team that beats the Steelers (prob most public team)

its just because the steelers won the sbowl. next year will be to fade any team that beats this years sbowl winner. in the nba we fade any team that beats the lakers (nba champs last year)

[Dexter]

Originally Posted by jsmithj88

do u have some sort of stat for fading national tv winners?

Originally Posted by blueghost

ya love to see stat sheet

(A5 - Autobet) fade any team who just won a nationally televised game for a min of 1x (12-5)

[Dexter]

Originally Posted by iceminers26

Good luck Dexter

love the fact you have an AutoBet system on any team that beats the Steelers (prob most public team)

(A1-Autobet) fade any team who beats the steelers the next week at a minimum of 3x. (2-1)

[PingPong]

i like cowboys -14 too, and also looking at -7 1st half. you have to think they come out strong after last week's weak performance

[southpark79]

Dexter I know teasers are sucker bets, but what do you think of Packers -2. Over 37 1/2 pts in packers lions game, and chargers -4?

[Pajda]

Denver Broncos +7
Dallas Cowboys -14
Green Bay Packers -11

Good luck all and happy turkey day

[BebeRebozo]

Packers -11 looks good

[ragiche]

Thanksgiving Special

Packers -11 ( 2x )

Cowboys -13.5 ( 2x )

Giants -6 ( 2x )

I know,I played all the favs today. But you know that the favs covers 9 out of 11 games on Thanksgiving in the last 5 seasons. So, i'm just following the trend here.Hopefully it continues. And by the way the cowboys are on a 4 game winning streak and the lions are in a 4 game losing streak on Thanksgiving. GL today guys and again Happy Thanksgiving .

[Dexter]

oh my god.....there was enough evidence to overturn that play? and mccarthy throwing the red flag up 25 with 2 min left? wow...

[Dexter]

giant line is dipping....love the fact that it got moved off 2 key numbers now this week (7, 6)....if i would have won that over, i would have put a few more bucks on denver.

[DIRTYDIRTY]

im tailin dex thanx

[machete]

Hey RAGICHE......... I have the same picks over here........ lucky parlay !!!!!!! two down one more to go!!!

[2daBank]

really like the card dex...think you could stop by my thread and tell me what you think..did pretty well with the dal/oak und 2day..and followed your train of thought w the den pick overall a real good day thnx in advance

[Dexter]

Originally Posted by Dexter

(2x) cards (A5-Autobet) fade any team (titans) who just won a nationally televised game. Tenn 24-23

still waiting to book this. up to 3 as expected and i likely can get 3.5-4 with how well the titans are playing right now. hate to bet against them, but the system says to.

[mikemac21]

weeeeeeeeeeeee

[2daBank]

was actually hopin you would go by my thread for sundays gm dex. think it called great turkey day on to sunday..wasnt tryin to get you to go look at post i made on a gm thats already over..thnx again

[2daBank]

once again bro love the card think only 1 im going against is the arz play ten steamrolling right now and im not the 1 to get in there way. on almost every other 1 looks like a real good week

[Dexter]

Originally Posted by Dexter

(2x) cards (A5-Autobet) fade any team (titans) who just won a nationally televised game. Tenn 24-23

(2x) cards +3

[ragiche]

11/29

Cardinals +2.5 ( 1.5x )

Colts -3.5 ( 1.5x )

Bengals -13 ( 1.5x )

Seahawks -4 ( 1.5x )

Panthers +3.5 ( 1.5x )

Bills +3.5 ( 1.5x )

GL today guys .

[Dexter]

(2x) over colts 48

[Dexter]

(3x) under ravens 35

[Dana4U]

Great job this weekend! Keep up the strong work and analysis.

[david09]

(3x) over packers - the last 3 meetings in detroit have all gone over the total and i see no reason for that trend not to continue. aaron rodgers and the packers are one of the more underrated offenses in football and the lions although banged up should be able to muster up some points at home on a day they are used to playing. GB 38-20

(2x) cowboys -14 - the raiders got it done at home last week, but this game has mismatch written all over it. the cowboys defense has actually been very solid this year and i cant see the raiders putting more then 14 points on the board. dallas knows how to deal with the short week and take care of business on the holiday. Dallas 37-14

(2x) broncos +7 - it looks like kyle orton will play and while the broncos are in a funk they should show enough pride at home on thanksgiving. the giants defense has been terrible the last 5 weeks and they will have their hands full with brandon marshall. NY 23-20

(2x) redskins +9(A5-Autobet) fade any team (eagles) who just won a nationally televised game.
(2x) under eagles 41 - the last 3 meetings in philly have all stayed to the low and the skins have that perfect type of run heavy offense with a good enough defense to make this a boring game in the teens. Philly 17-14

(2x) bills +3.5 - (A5-Autobet) fade any team (dolphins) who just won a nationally televised game. Buffalo 16-13

(3x) under sf 41.5 - 2 run oriented teams with defensive minded coaches - the clock should be moving quickly towards the low. the niners defense seems to be alternating good and bad perfomances. they bounce back at home vs the jags. SF 19-17

(4x) chargers -13.5 - (A1-Autobet) fade any team (kc) who beats the steelers in the previous week. SD 52-17

(3x) patriots +3
(2x) over saints 55.5 - brady cashed as a road dog a few weeks ago, and this time bellicheck wont ruin the outcome for his players. the party is over in new orleans. NE 37-31

Congarulations >>>>>>>> Dexter....... Won,W,W,W,W,W.... 2 games pending...........