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  1. 11-14-09 08:54 PM #36
    Totolover1409
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    Quote Originally Posted by Abrcrom12 View Post
    Toto, don't buy into that. The books want you to see RLM even though it isn't there. Please see my post right above yours.

    Either way, GL to all.


    ****Edit: I just checked Bookmaker and they have Den -3 -130. While this is technically RLM, it's very very small RLM. Buying from -3.5 to -3 takes you from -110 to -135, therefore showing RLM of a nickle. Once again, I think the books are playing mind games with everyone.

    Abrcrom...your opinion is very much appreciated.

    From what I know, there IS RLM on that game.


    Now, the reason why this game looks so funny is because if the line opened at -4.5 for denver, and then moved DOWN to -3.5, then something clearly isn't right. This is how Vegas likes to tempt those who at first didn't want to bet the game but with the spread of -3.5, can take that half point and can easily think that Denver will win by 3.

    Now, I'm not claiming the Skins will win for sure, but based on the RLM, I think they can cover that spread and Denver perhaps just wins by a field goal.

    Although Washington at times just Boo's their own teams, I still cannot confide in Kyle Orten.


    BOL and thank you for your opinions
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  2. 11-14-09 09:18 PM #37
    Abrcrom12
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    Good stuff man.
    GL with it!
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  3. 11-14-09 09:26 PM #38
    2daBank
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    i just cant do it and i usually would be all over was in this spot but fuk i cant matter of fact if im being set up screw it im still riding den they can kneel punt all gm and win 5-0 wash doesnt put the pressure needed to really cause orten problems he limits mistakes and den rolls!
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  4. 11-15-09 01:48 AM #39
    Rig
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    Denver is hungry and learned a lot last 2 games
    Run game should roll
    No way they cover should be a minus 7-10 line
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  5. 11-15-09 06:37 AM #40
    DeluxeLiner
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    Quote Originally Posted by Abrcrom12 View Post

    Incorrect statement my friend. That line moved on Tues. morning. There was nowhere near that amount of bets yet, and for the bets that were currently there, over 60% were on the Skins. Sorry, but there was no RLM there.
    Not trying to be an ass, just clarifying for others so that they're not mislead.
    I understand the line moved before there were 18k bets...being over 10k bets is the generally accepted criteria for validating RLM. If for example we are at 4k bets and the game has moved a full point there isn't valid RLM. The books are not going to make a game "look" like RLM that is ridiculous.

    This game is RLM...i am not misleading anybody here.
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  6. 11-15-09 04:39 PM #41
    Totolover1409
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    I hope you guys took that Redskins pick.

    Rig, I'll be looking for your 66 SBR points, but I don't care too much about your soul.

    Abrcrom, DeluxeLiner, thank you for your opinions...but I think I know what I was talking about.



    As EaglesPhan says (something like this), giving a few points for a good call won't hurt you. Give points where they are deserved.
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  7. 11-15-09 04:50 PM #42
    G's pks
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    great call out of 35 posts just about everyone was wrong but you!
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  8. 11-15-09 04:55 PM #43
    rdrunner466
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    Het Toto I wish I had read this earlier I was all over Washington with that line. Don't people realize vegas knows what they are doing by now!!! Anyway looks like you shut everyone up NICE JOB
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  9. 11-15-09 09:05 PM #44
    Abrcrom12
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    I will eat my words here.
    I was definitely off and congrats to Toto on making the right call.
    I was heavy on Den and got burned. Oh well, movin on to the next game..

    Anyway, I know I posted in here a bunch and just wanted to come back and to you and everyone that took the Skins.
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  10. 11-15-09 09:08 PM #45
    Totolover1409
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    I want Rig's sbr points. haha.

    Abr, I always like other's opinion, but not when people believe in their picks so much where they start insulting others.
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  11. 11-15-09 09:22 PM #46
    Abrcrom12
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    Did I insult anyone?
    If I did, that was never the intention and apologize for doing so.
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  12. 11-15-09 09:26 PM #47
    Totolover1409
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    No not at all. You held strongly to your beliefs and that is great. I was just saying that people tend to do that a lot on SBR
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  13. 11-15-09 11:01 PM #48
    slacker00
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    Good call. Although, it's tough to predict key injuries such as the starting QB. Heck, I'd have liked Simms coming in that spot. Nice call.
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  14. 11-16-09 06:40 AM #49
    DeluxeLiner
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    Quote Originally Posted by Totolover1409 View Post
    I hope you guys took that Redskins pick.

    Rig, I'll be looking for your 66 SBR points, but I don't care too much about your soul.

    Abrcrom, DeluxeLiner, thank you for your opinions...but I think I know what I was talking about.



    As EaglesPhan says (something like this), giving a few points for a good call won't hurt you. Give points where they are deserved.
    ...I was arguing the same thing you were...I brought up the RLM, and was responding to abrcrom who quoted me.
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  15. 11-16-09 01:19 PM #50
    Totolover1409
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    My bad...lol. Good call Deluxe.
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