[mmike032]

not to be an ass, I repect your record and picks but shouldnt you post the current line as of your post.

[kroyrunner89]

not to be an ass, I repect your record and picks but shouldnt you post the current line as of your post.

yeah i understand, and i always make an effort to do that. at 3:00 last night this still was the only line available though, so i had to go with it.

[kroyrunner89]

First of all, happy Thanksgiving everyone! We've had plenty to be thankful for so far, as we sit on a 31-16 ATS record. As always though, I'm looking to continue improving and I'd like to get a few more weeks in where we profit by more than one net win. Hopefully, this can be one of those weeks. I've got one play for tomorrow's Thanksgiving action, let's hope we get off to another fast start this week! I've got a few plays I'm liking for this weekend as well, we may have a five or six play week ahead of us. But let's not get ahead of ourselves, here's what I'm thinking about tomorrow:

* Raiders/Cowboys UNDER 40

Despite Gradkowski leading the Raiders to a rare win and putting 20 points up on the board against the Bengals last week, by no means do I believe that the Raiders' offensive woes are fixed. The Bengals shot themselves in the foot with a couple of turnovers, and the defense clearly was not playing with the same intensity as they had been all year. I expect to see a much better effort out of the Dallas defense on Thursday, as they should be fired up playing at home on Thanksgiving.

Feeling confident that we won't see much scoring out of Oakland, the question we're left with is how the Dallas offense will perform after two games of struggling. Although Dallas has been good at moving the ball down the field all season, they haven't excelled in turning their yardage into points. Oakland's defense falls into a similar category, you can move the ball on them, but they do a decent job of forcing opponents into field goals. I expect this to continue tomorrow, and for Dallas to come away with field goals just as much as touchdowns, keeping their scoring total down a bit. Also, given the fact that Witten may not play, and Romo is still banged up, the Dallas offense certainly could be at a bit of a disadvantage. With all of those factors, I like this to stay a bit lower scoring of a game, with a final along the lines of 24-10 Dallas.

Good luck to everyone who bets on any games tomorrow, everyone have a great Thanksgiving!

[dvb02]

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