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  1. #1

    Default djpremier36's NFL Week 8 (ytd +9.65)

    I'm going to go through every game this week and give some short thoughts on each match up.

    DEN vs BAL
    *** Call me crazy but I still don't believe DEN is this good. They have historically been crushed by BAL. STRONG LEAN towards BAL at -3(ideally).

    CLE vs CHI *** Can't trust the Brownies and can't trust Da Bears to cover 14 with their lack of run offense. NO PLAY/NO LEAN.

    HOU vs BUF *** The Texans have proven to me that they can score on any defense. The Bills have proven nothing this year but inconsistency. MEDIUM LEAN towards HOU at -3(ideally).

    SF vs IND *** Not too sure about this line. Originally I wanted to take the 11/12 points but something tells me that SF's offense doesn't show up. NO LEAN on this game.

    MIA vs NYJ *** I really think the Jets are overvalued here. The Fins can shut down the NYJ offense especially with no L. Washington. Slight LEAN towards MIA +3.5

    SEA vs DAL
    *** I'm not sold that the Boys should be favored by 10 over a solid Seahawk team that is looking for a huge bounce back week. DAL beat a poor road team last week but are not the Cowboys of 07. MEDIUM LEAN towards SEA +10.

    NYG vs PHI *** NFC East rivals clash in a game that is much needed for both squads. The line has moved 4 points towards the Giants with the public backing. NO LEAN so far on this game.

    OAK vs SD *** Bottom line is that SD dominates OAK at home. Slight LEAN towards SD at -14(ideally).

    JAC vs TEN *** Coin flip game IMO. TEN has no offense besides C. Johnson. At least JAC can move the ball. NO LEAN so far on this game.

    MIN vs GB *** Favre Bowl 09 is here. Too much hype around this game, going to stay away. NO LEAN on this game.

    CAR vs ARI *** The Panthers have beat TB and WAS which means nothing. ARI is motivated to take the NFC west with it's improving defense and strong offense. MEDIUM LEAN towards ARI at -9 (ideally).

    Feedback and thoughts are always welcome! GL this week.
    Last edited by djpremier36; 10-30-09 at 12:46 AM.

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  4. #4

    Default

    3. JAC +3 *** 1.56 to win 1.50
    Last edited by djpremier36; 11-01-09 at 02:30 PM. Reason: added 0.5 unit

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  6. #6

    Default

    5. GB -3(-125) *** 1.87 to win 1.50
    Last edited by djpremier36; 11-01-09 at 02:26 PM. Reason: added 0.5 unit

  7. #7

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by djpremier36 View Post
    1. BUF +3.5 *** 1.15 to win 1.00 LOSS
    Quote Originally Posted by djpremier36 View Post
    2. STL +4 *** 1.05 to win 1.00 WIN
    Quote Originally Posted by djpremier36 View Post
    3. JAC +3 *** 1.56 to win 1.50 LOSS
    Quote Originally Posted by djpremier36 View Post
    4. BAL/DEN under 19.5 2nd Half *** 1.07 to win 1.00 LOSS
    Quote Originally Posted by djpremier36 View Post
    5. GB -3(-125) *** 1.87 to win 1.50 LOSS
    YTD: +5.00 units

    Ugly week!

  8. #8

    Default

    6. NO -10 (B 1.5) *** 2.80 to win 2.00

    Blowout city is what I see and the line movement agrees.

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