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  1. #1

    Default Raiders (+6) VS Jets

    The line opened up at Raiders(+6.5), but after news that NT Jenkins is out, the line had dropped to (+6). Here is my thoughts on why I am going to side with the Raiders this week.

    1) Raiders play better at home.

    2) Raiders play better at home as underdogs.

    3) Sanchez is struggling bad. Playing in a hostile environment in Oakland will not help against a defense that will apply a lot of pressure.

    4) Oakland has recorded 10 sacks compared to Jets 5. Without Jenkins(who demands to be double teamed), Russell has more time to throw, more gaps to run,
    and less likely for him to **** up.

    5) Raiders Duo of DE R. Seymour & DE G. Ellis have recorded 4 sacks each are playing great.

    6) Raiders finally have momentum to work with and that is huge for this team. They definitely needed a morale booster and this will give them more confidence against the Jets.

    7) WR Jerricho Cotchery hopefully stays hurt, but if he plays won't be completely healthy.

    With Jets losing 3 straight and Sanchez finally taking his slice of humble pie, why are they still +6 favorites?

    1) J. Russell sucks, but I would rather bank on him this game then this Rookie Sanchez, playing on the road, who threw 5 picks last game and will be pressured all game.

    2) Raiders have been susceptible to blow-outs.

    3) The public likes Jets more than Raiders.

    4) People are still thinking Jets will be like the team who beat Texans, Patriots, and the Titans. They are just in a funk and who better to play then the Raiders to get out of a funk.

    We need a reality check of how bad the Raiders are and how good the Jets are and what direction they are going in.

    In this case, let's specifically look at how the Raiders fair at home, since this is where the game is taking place

    1st game: First game against the Chargers, they easily cover and Chargers barely escaped with a win.

    2nd game: Losing 3-23 against Broncos. Well ****, Broncos are ****ing good. It took 5-6 games for everyone to finally believe it, but they are top notch.

    3rd game: Oh yesss, the game that you probably needed to finish that parlay or teaser you had. Upset city as the Raiders Beat the Eagles 13-9.

    How do the Jets fair when compared to these teams?
    Maybe even with Chargers
    Worse than Broncos
    Worse than Eagles

    Jet's only wins were against teams that had bad defense/or had something missing on offense.

    1st win: Texans has shitty defense. They improved slightly since.
    2nd win: Patriots without Brady's main guy during blitzes, Wes Welker
    3rd win: Titans, no need to say more.

    Raiders have good defense and will keep them in the game. The offense will do better now since Jenkins is out and that will be huge. I only bet on underdogs if I think they have a good chance of winning outright, and in this game I will gladly take +6 and home field advantage.

    Good Luck and God Speed
    Points Awarded:

    Dexter gave Sharkl11 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  2. #2

    Default

    Way to much to read, but you obviously did your homework.

    I already played it Raiders +6.5. Raiders are more talented than they have shown, just JaMarcus sucks so bad he brings down morale of team. But at home, Raiders are a live DOG.
    1381pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    05/21/2012


  3. #3

    Default

    jenkins being out for the year kills the jets who were overrated anyway that 3-4 doesnt have nearly the same feel w/o a bigtime disruptive force in the middle

  4. #4

    Default

    just hope oak keeps that stuff gmen said about them on the locker room wall 1 more week

  5. #5

    Default

    Underdogs against a rookie QB is enough reason. That is disrespect.

  6. #6

  7. #7

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Sharkl11 View Post
    3rd game: Oh yesss, the game that you probably needed to finish that parlay or teaser you had. Upset city as the Raiders Beat the Eagles 13-9.
    Man did you hit that right on the money. I was chillin the Sportsbook, while Eagles were killing everyone teaser. I've never heard soo many four letter words, and ripping of tickets.
    1381pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    05/21/2012


  8. #8

    Default

    Majority on Jets, I will wait til game time to hopefully get better line. Was I dreaming or did R. Seymour said Raiders are gonna make it to the playoffs? **** the playoffs, make sure you just whoop Sanchez and the Jets this week.

  9. #9

    Default

    you can write hundreds of lines of analysis, but the oakland raiders are NOT worthy of anyone's backing ATS just based on their recent history of the last 3 season and how they looked THE THREE WEEKS prior to philly get blown at hm by denver, blown out at houston, and blown out at the ny giants. taking less than 7 w/a shitty team is not a way to make money betting football, sir

  10. #10

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by hoopster42 View Post
    you can write hundreds of lines of analysis, but the oakland raiders are NOT worthy of anyone's backing ATS just based on their recent history of the last 3 season and how they looked THE THREE WEEKS prior to philly get blown at hm by denver, blown out at houston, and blown out at the ny giants. taking less than 7 w/a shitty team is not a way to make money betting football, sir
    It is still the NFL, and everyone covers a few times a season.

    Raiders at home

    Raiders a foot outside of their field
    1381pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    05/21/2012


  11. #11

    Default

    HEY SHARK opinions dont win or make solid predictions for games facts do, we are still talking about the raiders here j. russell no passing game no run game and by the way the raiders did not win last week as much as philly flopped, i will take rex ryan his blitzing defense and the jets superior run game vs a raider team that is undisciplined and will as any bad teams does not show up after they win the week before stats count not opinions look it up run offense vs run defense avg yds per run vs avg yds given up per run

  12. #12

    Default

    Nice analysis, but wagering on the most dysfuntional teamin the NFL with the worst QB is way too much of a risk. I do not see any value in wagering this game at all. Both of these teams are 3-3 ATS, and that spells loser.

  13. #13

    Default

    By my rescored rankings, it's the Jets' #3 rush offense versus the Raiders' #29 rush defense, and the Raiders' #27 rush offense versus the Jets' #13 rush defense, so even without Jenkins Sanchez won't have to do much for the Jets to win by 7-10. 20+mph winds not forecast in Oakland either, lol, so don't expect him to throw 5 interceptions again.

  14. #14

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Way to much to read, but you obviously did your homework.

    I already played it Raiders +6.5. Raiders are more talented than they have shown, just JaMarcus sucks so bad he brings down morale of team. But at home, Raiders are a live DOG.
    russell is exaclty the kind of qb you dont want in the nfl- one thats not accurate. and its not to say he cant connect with the deep ball but it hurts on those 10 -20 yard patterns.

  15. #15

  16. #16

    Default

    All the facts in the world are cool n all, but shouldn't be heavily considered in factoring your ultimate decision. Lots of intangibles to account for.

  17. #17

    Default

    Like the Jets at -less than a td.

  18. #18

    Default

    I see both teams playing very conservative and keeping the ball on the ground. It will be a tight defensive game, I'd lean under.

  19. #19

    Default

    good points but the raiders are a bad team. beat the eagles, kept it close with the chargers....beat the chiefs if you wanna count that.......thomas jones is a bad bad boy- and now they got braylon edwards.....their defense can hold it down and i think the jets have a linebacker core that can control russell from running all over.

    this game came down to the wire last year.....hope the jets win, think they will....they Can lose.
    65pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/23/2012

    8,567

    SBR POKER TOP 100

    47th Place 11/1/2011

    325pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/17/2012


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