[Dexter]

(3x) over colts 45.5 - the rams give up 28ppg and in roles a no huddle attack led by arguably the best/hottest qb in the game. at home, i also feel the rams will be able to put up a few td's to help contribuite. i actually would be surprised if the colts dont put up 40 points.

(2x) bears +2.5 - the bears are a better team then the bengals and should be hungry to get back in the win column off a monday night game they should have won. carson palmer is having a terrible season, and that starts to catch up with the bengals now.

(2x) browns +7 - (A4 - Autobet) play any home dog getting 7-13 points off a game in which they scored 6-27 points, and are facing a team that is coming off a home win as a favorite for 2x min.

(3x) over pats 45 - the bucs give up 28ppg - basically, see my analysis for over colts as i have the same feeling about this game.

(2x) 49ers +3 - frank gore returns for a sf team coming off a loss (and a bye). i have respect for what singletary has done with mediocre talent, and expect him to come up with a solid game plan for the texans offense.

(4x) over saints 47 - the dolphins are avg'ing 31ppg in 3 home games, while the saints offense is lethal home or away - just ask the eagles.

(2x) cowboys -4 (A5 - Autobet) fade any team who just won a nationally televised game for a min of 1x

(6x) giants - 7 - the giants will not be a happy bunch off of that embarassment in new orleans. the cards have historically struggled on the east coast vs good teams. i wish this game were at 1pm eastern - regardless, the giants should roll on sunday night.

(3x) over giants - the giants will have no trouble scoring on arizona, and the g-men have played to the over in 4 of 5 this year. last year these 2 teams hooked up for 66.

(3x) under eagles 38 - i think ive bet under skins for 3 weeks in a row now. historical trends from philly @ wash last 5 games point low as well (4-1 to the under)

[rezkoness69]

Like the bears a lot this week Dexter..lets see how things move

[taxman]

Dex reallly watching the teams coming off there bye week the last few weeks....I love SF off the bye after a horrible loss and two weeks to prepare...I hopped on Miami here getting 7 points at home after a bye and playing good football..NO was skyhigh vs G-men last week..I don't think they match that intensity again...live home dog here...

[Dexter]

nice call on mia....

[tblues2005]

I haven't had a chance to get a real good look at next week yet. I will be looking this over this week no doubt.

[Dexter]

anyone else with week 7 plays/analysis?

[Dave ATS]

Quick FYI...the flu is running wild in the Clev. complex this week

[Poulsbo]

I seem to be 180 out from everyone else...
i took the Falcons on the ML
small parlay vikes & Falcs on the ML
NO @-6.5
Colts @ -13.5
pipe dream bet/parlay
Falcs. Cowboys over 47.5
Falcs. ML
Vikes over 45
vikes ML
I placed $25 on this one i'll skip Starbucks for a couple days to make my $25.00 back.

[docrocker]

What site do you have the Bears +2.5???

[Dexter]

What site do you have the Bears +2.5???

i play with a few locals...

[duke4s907]

Cleveland Browns announced today that twelve people showed up for practice with the flu today. Of those twelve, more than six where starters and three where backups to the starters. Their not saying if its that H1N1 strain.

Good news tho. Of those twelve none of them where receivers. Not that they could catch anything anyway.

[TUDINH]

GOOD LUCKY ALL

[atlman_7]

like this weeks card a lot.

[Dexter]

Cleveland Browns announced today that twelve people showed up for practice with the flu today. Of those twelve, more than six where starters and three where backups to the starters. Their not saying if its that H1N1 strain.

Good news tho. Of those twelve none of them where receivers. Not that they could catch anything anyway.

ha

[minet123]

Cash"em BIG on the Bears play

[solobass]

nice work dex, and using locals is a great way to get some oddball lines once in awhile. quick question, and i will hang up and listen to your response. do you have a spreadsheet where you keep the accuracy of your autobet categories and then weight the more successful ones with more money?

[AdaBarber]

I like New England and Atlanta so far. The program plays are coming soon. To be continued....

[Parligod]

Good Picks: I like the Colts, Pats and Saints OVERS. I see all these games being VERY high scoring, so I think they'll cover.

Dangerous Picks: The 49ers game I lean to the 49ers for the same reasons, but have some concerns that this might be a tricky game. Same goes for the Giants/Cards - I could easily see the cards pulling off a sick win, they're just very unpredictable sometimes with hot-cold extremes. Last, I'm unsure on the Pitt/Minn. game. Both are solid teams and I'm unsure right now how their game will turn out.

Additional Picks: I like picking Pats and Colts on the spread. The Colts should crush the rams especially off a bye week, and the lines can't be placed high enough. Same goes for the Pats, with less certainty of covering but still good odds IMO. Again I thought the biggest steal this week was the Colts game even at -14. You said yourself Dex that you see the colts pounding 40 points in this game, how can they NOT cover vs. the Rams? This is one of the best teams vs. one of the worst teams, AND the colts are coming off a bye week. Just my thoughts...

[Dexter]

im on the giants for opposite reasons dex.Mostly, this very talented team got shown up last week, this team will be angry and focused here.

thats exactly my reasoning for backing the giants. i think they play with fire in their eyes off the blowout in NO

[Dexter]

nice work dex, and using locals is a great way to get some oddball lines once in awhile. quick question, and i will hang up and listen to your response. do you have a spreadsheet where you keep the accuracy of your autobet categories and then weight the more successful ones with more money?

yeah, i have 1 local that always jacks up the favorites and the overs. the other guy is the more legit one who moves with vegas.

lol - i have a spreadsheet at home and will post the YTD results thus far later tonight. i do already heavily weight one that i have had success with over the years (one were you play a home team off a road win etc etc). most of the autobets i have created are new, so i will adjust the weighting next year to best get the proper returns. hopefully they all will be making money.

[Dexter]

I like New England and Atlanta so far. The program plays are coming soon. To be continued....

the program plays - love it.

[cgars1]

Dex I LOVE THE CARD THIS WEEK!!!! Great selections!!!!

[taxman]

Hey Dex really liking KC plus the points vs SD....KC is 8-3 ATS in there last 11 at home vs the Bolts...KC is improving each week...SD has a porous D to say the least and think KC can build on there W last week....Sd travels after a Monday Nighter to...hmmmm I'll grab the points with a small ML on the Chiefs....

[solobass]

dex, 49ers look like a good play there too, i am not on it but i will pull for you to cash.

[solobass]

i am on the vikings, waited for the line to move and got it at +6. favorites early, dogs late. also i am doing my 2/3 and 1/3 bet on this. when i can figure an underdog has a good chance of winning SU i split my bet 2/3 ats and 1/3 ml (+240).

[AdaBarber]

Here we go Dex. You asked for it you got it. It has not been tested fully so tread lightly. We should be alright.

NFL
Falcons will win straight up. Take any pts.
Take Jets up until -7.5
Vikings take any points. They should win straight up by 6.
Take Patriots blowout.
Colts will win by 20.

[AdaBarber]

And Washington is an autobet for the fade and the under. Hell, the OC just got pulled from a bingo game.

[AdaBarber]

My plays official for tomorrow:

Colts by at least 22
Patriots by at least 22
Jets by at least 18
Falcons by at least 6
Cards win by 2

This is the NFL. Play at your own risk!

[twentyonekid]

good luck dexter,some plays i don't like are..SF,CLEV.....like all the others

[darkenergy]

Eagles -7.
Andy Reid is 14-10 ATS record after loosing as a favorite. 12-8 as a favorite in following game, 2-2 as dog.
Jim Zorn is 1-2 ATS record after loosing as a favorite. 0-2 as a favorite in following game, 1-0 as a dog.
Skins are beatable, they won two home games to Rams and Tampa

[ragiche]

Bears +1 (3x) Tailing Dexter.

Chargers -5 (3x)

Saints -6 (3x)

Vikings +6 (3x)

GL today guys .

[darkenergy]

There you are rag.......welcome back.
GL today
Play #1: KC + 5.5 this line jump out of me is because why only open @4.5 KC is no body???
I'm not booking yet, hope to get around 6 or 6.5 by game time (but I doubt it)
This is third SD road trip....first one won Chockland by 4, second game lost to Pitt by 10. KC always play tough against charger. KC took 3 out of 4 ATS against Chargers in their last 4 match up.
Line open @ 4.5 several books went up to 5 or 5.5. BUT some books start to drop back to SD -4.5 +109 (books begging you to take SD and pay no juice) with 75% on spread and 76% on ML backing up Chargers.
KC 1.5 units.

[jayc88]

(2x) browns +7 - (A4 - Autobet) play any home dog getting 7-13 points off a game in which they scored 6-27 points, and are facing a team that is coming off a home win as a favorite for 2x min.


dexter