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Old 01-31-07, 03:50 PM   #1
PaCKeRMaN
 
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Default Total Points scored and who Will Win

Hey guys,

Im new to this kind of stuff. I have notice there are som smart people involved in handicap betting. So my qustion is How may points will be scored and who will win?

I know this sounds noobish but it is. So any advice3 you guys can give me, that would be great.

Thanks,

Packer
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Old 01-31-07, 04:23 PM   #2
Ganchrow
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PaCKeRMaN
Hey guys,

Im new to this kind of stuff. I have notice there are som smart people involved in handicap betting. So my qustion is How may points will be scored and who will win?

I know this sounds noobish but it is. So any advice3 you guys can give me, that would be great.

Thanks,

Packer
The current spread is about 6½ and the current total is about 48.

As such I'd say Indy 27, Bears 21 is probably a decent enough quickie estimate.
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Old 01-31-07, 04:42 PM   #3
LT Profits
 
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Hey Ganchrow, have an opinion man!



Bears 24, Colts 23

Gould pulls a Vinatieri and wins this with a field goal as time expires. The Colts kick themselves for settling for three field goals as the Bears defense continuously stiffened deep in its territory.
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Old 01-31-07, 05:03 PM   #4
PaCKeRMaN
 
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Well I have chosen the colts to win taken a 45 pts scored total. Does this sound good?

Also thinks for some of your opions.

Packer
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Old 01-31-07, 05:12 PM   #5
LT Profits
 
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PacMan,

Well it depends on the rules of your contest. If it is a case where you pick the winner and whoever comes closest to the points wins, then I would take a figure that is further away from the posted total on this game. When you take a figure close to the posted total as you have, you virtually have to nail the total on the head to win it, as I am sure other guys would take 44 or 46.
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Old 01-31-07, 08:26 PM   #6
PaCKeRMaN
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LT Profits
PacMan,

Well it depends on the rules of your contest. If it is a case where you pick the winner and whoever comes closest to the points wins, then I would take a figure that is further away from the posted total on this game. When you take a figure close to the posted total as you have, you virtually have to nail the total on the head to win it, as I am sure other guys would take 44 or 46.

This is pretty much how it worked. Except it was a point base through the playoffs. (Ex. wildcard games were 2pts and division games. 4pts for championship games and 8 for the super bowl.) As of now there are 6 people tied for 1st I know of at least 2 chosing the different so that would leave 3 others that might pick the colts. Lt what would you do in this situation?

Please Advise,

Packer.
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Old 02-01-07, 02:38 AM   #7
LT Profits
 
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If you like the Colts, you would imagine it would be a higher scoring game. So I would take a shot with a higher total of say 52 or so. That could give you some leeway in terms of not needing to nail total exacly to come closest.
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Old 02-02-07, 01:41 AM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LT Profits
Hey Ganchrow, have an opinion man!



Bears 24, Colts 23

Gould pulls a Vinatieri and wins this with a field goal as time expires. The Colts kick themselves for settling for three field goals as the Bears defense continuously stiffened deep in its territory.
I agree 200% with you.
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Old 02-02-07, 02:24 AM   #9
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I have the Bears winning 27-23
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Old 02-02-07, 02:41 PM   #10
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I think the Colts will win and cover. I've been wavering on the total. My initial pick was to take the Under and then I started leaning towards the Over. Now I'm leaning back towards the Under because of the weather forecast.
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