NFL Underground Leans - Week 6

Dexter · 10-12-09 06:13 PM

A few plays were booked already....

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handic...ml#post2370806

(4x) vikings -3 - i was dead wrong about favre. thought he would be a cancer to the vikings, but instead he has made them into legitimate super bowl contenders. the ravens arent playing great ball right now, and i had to jump on this line now as i see it at -4 by sunday. vikes continue to roll.

(5x) chargers -3.5 - letdown time for the broncos off the huge win vs bellichek and the pats. sd is coming off that televised loss to the steelers and has had 2 weeks to prep for this primetime game. sd is 4-1 su/ats the last 5 home games vs denver. denver can live with a loss here, while sd (at 2-2) should be much more hungrier for the W. if i am up going into this game, i will unload even more then 5x.

(2x) under panthers 37 - boy was i wrong thinking this line had value at 37. total has jumped up to 40, but i have a hard time thinking these 2 offenses will move up and down the field. both focus on the run, and neither has cracked >21 points all year. wish i had waited a day, but its booked and im fine with it.

(2x) under redskins 37 - any time i see a redskin total of 37 or > i may just play the under. this is a boring/run heavy team and the chiefs offense has not exactly clicked this year with cassell at the helm.

(2x) steelers -14 - pure historical play here as the steelers are 4-1 ats the last 5 home games vs this awful browns team. blowout city.

Dexter · 10-12-09 08:58 PM

(2x) over bengals 45

(3x) over packers 48

(3x) over falcons 46

Dexter · 10-14-09 08:34 PM

sweet handicapping guys!

are ya'll broke after 5 weeks??

Saluki09 · 10-14-09 09:14 PM

I like the Vikes and Steelers play. No Eagles -14? Easy cover IMO...

woody78 · 10-14-09 09:31 PM

Like the Steelers to cover easy and the Skins under. My pick of the week in KC ML in Washington. KC hasn't played horrible like the Rams or anything this year, outside of the Philly game where they were in it for a while. The Skins just lost their #1 O lineman and the offense has been putrid, even against the cellar dwellers this year.

GL on your bets.

10-14-09 11:29 PM

well from what i thought bal smashed cleveland when a lot of people here were saying they would

that was two weeks ago

you can't say the team is playing bad

i hate that divisional matchup with carolina and the bucs

only thing is the bucs are probably the worst team in the nfl

for whatever reason

but still that game is so hard for me. i wanted to take the bucs for some reason

i can't possibly think about an over or under here

but i do think it'll be a field position game so ya i guess an under might be a play here

the skins i don't even wanna look at right now. i haven't even been paying attention to them after they got smashed by some crap team

oh ya it was detroit. that was aweful so

i'm not big on that bandwagon

you can't predict a team like that

not in this kinda game

i love denver. just a second ago i said it's a for sure win for san d

and it's hard to really say that just 10 minuets later

like denver is good

but still i don't see them pushing over san diego

solobass · 10-15-09 01:52 PM

dex, lot of action for you brother i like it!

rezkoness69 · 10-15-09 02:21 PM

There's no reason Carolina should be getting 3-4 points in a road divisional game as bad as they're playing. They were down 17-2 last week....at home...to the redskins..yuck. People are gonna be jumping on them after that come from behind win and because john fox is clearly the better coach here. Still, I like TB if you're giving me a FG. This is their chance to get the first win, and I think they capitalize.

juggalowjo · 10-15-09 05:13 PM

What do you guys think bout this super parlay
I dont plan on keeping all teams, but I plan on at least keeping 4 to 5

I also might add the under for the skins and chiefs

Date:
Team:
Oct 18
NFL [212] CIN BENGALS -2½-170 (B+2)
Oct 18
NFL [214] PIT STEELERS -13½-120 (B+½)
Oct 18
NFL [219] NY GIANTS +3½-130 (B+½)
Oct 18
NFL [221] CAR PANTHERS -2½-150 (B+1)
Oct 18
NFL [224] GB PACKERS -13½-110
Oct 18
NFL [225] PHI EAGLES -13½-120 (B+½)
Oct 18
NFL [232] NE PATRIOTS -9-110
Oct 18
NFL [234] ATL FALCONS -2½-150 (B+1)
Risking 50 USD To Win 4730 USD

Serbone · 10-15-09 05:24 PM

Originally Posted by woody78

Like the Steelers to cover easy and the Skins under. My pick of the week in KC ML in Washington. KC hasn't played horrible like the Rams or anything this year, outside of the Philly game where they were in it for a while. The Skins just lost their #1 O lineman and the offense has been putrid, even against the cellar dwellers this year.

GL on your bets.

I like KC + 6.5 a LOT. Agree with your points, plus do not forget Cassel was out then took awhile to get timing back. Chiefs have some good young athletes that are improving.

Skins lost starting right guard earlier, now like you said top OT, and their OL was poor to begin with! QB Campbell is a wreck. Team falling apart, players asking if Zorn is staying, or not. WTF?

Dexter · 10-16-09 08:10 AM

(3x) under jets 38 - bad weather condiitons in ny all weekend. blitz city upcoming for trent edwards. the jets should look to play keep away vs the no huddle attack of buffalo. this game has 17-3 written all over it.

Dexter · 10-16-09 08:12 AM

Originally Posted by solobass

dex, lot of action for you brother i like it!

yeah, im finding myself playing more games this year in football. whats your thoughts on playing a higher amount of games? ive always felt your just giving away vig, but with the weighted approach i have to my bets it really comes down to hitting my larger plays.

Deceptive · 10-16-09 10:19 AM

Hey i really like the k.c. Play myself they have moved the ball with cassel and portis just does not look good for wash. They show no emotion and no fight..

I am undecided about s.d. & den. I know the play is pointing all toward s.d. But how many years can you start being projected as a superbowl team then start off slow over and over again along with internal fighting with the g.m. And players, i think this might be the year s.d. Falls apart so i am leaning towards den and the money line.

thezzzone · 10-16-09 10:56 AM

Originally Posted by juggalowjo

What do you guys think bout this super parlay
I dont plan on keeping all teams, but I plan on at least keeping 4 to 5

I also might add the under for the skins and chiefs

Date:
Team:
Oct 18
NFL [212] CIN BENGALS -2½-170 (B+2)
Oct 18
NFL [214] PIT STEELERS -13½-120 (B+½)
Oct 18
NFL [219] NY GIANTS +3½-130 (B+½)
Oct 18
NFL [221] CAR PANTHERS -2½-150 (B+1)
Oct 18
NFL [224] GB PACKERS -13½-110
Oct 18
NFL [225] PHI EAGLES -13½-120 (B+½)
Oct 18
NFL [232] NE PATRIOTS -9-110
Oct 18
NFL [234] ATL FALCONS -2½-150 (B+1)
Risking 50 USD To Win 4730 USD

I like this play A LOT with the exception of the Panther game..not that it's not a really good pick, just I have not been able to figure that team out at all. In my mind neither of these teams deserve any confidence either way for winning or losing, i couldn't pick this game if my life depended on it...but who knows? I might just try this one myself but substitute the JETS for the panthers. As bad as the D played monday nite I expect a HUGE effort against the horrible Bills offence (who could score only 3 at home against the friggin Browns..(and yes I took a bath on that game and Balt.)..Sanchez is showing some "real" poise for such a young QB and Braylon is a MONSTER!!!

Good Luck man!!!

Dexter · 10-17-09 09:22 AM

Originally Posted by Dexter

(2x) over bengals 45

(3x) over packers 48

(3x) over falcons 46

added another 2x on over bengals now at 46

atlman_7 · 10-17-09 11:00 PM

GL on your plays this week Dexter, ive been reading your picks through out the season, this is my first week posting

i like all the picks except vikings, im even thinking about a ML play on Bal

twentyonekid · 10-18-09 09:19 AM

as always ,good luck dexter

Dexter · 10-18-09 11:15 AM

thanks atlman and 21kid.

AdaBarber · 10-18-09 11:31 AM

Jets -10
Philly -14.5
New England -9.5

marley33 · 10-18-09 11:35 AM

5-7-1 YESTERDAY. Bad Day for most of us. Looking to bounce back today.

Minnesota -3 Even (**)
Jacksonville -9 1/2 (***)
Tampa Bay +3 (**)
Buffalo + 91/2 (***)
Pittsburgh - 10 (10 STAR)
Det/ GB Over 49 (***)
Buf/ Jets under 35 1/2 (****)

Tampa Bay NL
Kansas City ML

AdaBarber · 10-18-09 11:38 AM

Pittsburgh -14 I gotta keep fading the bums because this year the bum teams are really, seriously bums. Bums with cardboard signs!

Dexter · 10-18-09 11:43 AM

Originally Posted by marley33

5-7-1 YESTERDAY. Bad Day for most of us. Looking to bounce back today.

Minnesota -3 Even (**)
Jacksonville -9 1/2 (***)
Tampa Bay +3 (**)
Buffalo + 91/2 (***)
Pittsburgh - 10 (10 STAR)
Det/ GB Over 49 (***)
Buf/ Jets under 35 1/2 (****)

Tampa Bay NL
Kansas City ML

pitt -10?

shoebox · 10-18-09 11:51 AM

Detroit 8u
Balt 3u
saints 3 u
pats 3 u
jets 3 u
san Diego 5u

Catching a flight here in a bit, these are all spreads, will post winners/losers after the game.

Gl guys........

shoebox · 10-18-09 11:58 AM

Originally Posted by shoebox

Detroit 8u
Balt 3u
saints 3 u
pats 3 u
jets 3 u
san Diego 5u

Catching a flight here in a bit, these are all Spreads, will post winners/losers after the game.

Gl guys........

detroit +13 had to buy 2 points .....
balt +3.5 bought hook
saints -3.5
pats -9
jets -9
chargers -3

Dexter · 10-18-09 01:30 PM

nice late fg by cincy end of the half.

Dexter · 10-18-09 02:32 PM

(2x) under pats 38

HoulihansTX · 10-18-09 02:37 PM

looking great soo far DEX

Dexter · 10-18-09 02:42 PM

god dammit slaton

10-18-09 02:44 PM

Dex,

I like ATL/CHI later to go over. gl

Dexter · 10-18-09 02:51 PM

cmon texans - give us a prevent defense

Dexter · 10-18-09 02:53 PM

kick the fg cincy....your down 11

Dexter · 10-18-09 02:57 PM

Originally Posted by HoulihansTX

looking great soo far DEX

not exactly.

you jinxed me!

Dexter · 10-18-09 02:59 PM

palmer you prick.....what a joke. not 1 point in the 4th qtr.

Dexter · 10-18-09 03:02 PM

lol - vikings collapse.

Dexter · 10-18-09 03:10 PM

haha - the vikings played for a fg. flacco will have 2 min to get a fg for the win.

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NFL Underground Leans - Week 6

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