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  1. #316
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    got some on the Patriots...though it's tough to tell. More money is falling on the Pats, more bets are falling on the Ravens. Line moved from -4 to -3

    What do you consider a RLM play? Last week you mentioned a bunch of games I did not even consider like the Lions, Rams, etc. Plus Houston did not cover they were favored by 8-9 points and only won by 7 points. But again like the Wash game you could have gotten them at 7 at some point but that still would have been a push. The strongest RLM plays I saw were Buf, Hou, Was and NYJ. No idea how you came up with some of the other games other than at some point during the week they showed RLM. But I thought we determined you really have to wait up till almost game time to call it. Just curious if we're looking at different angles or if I'm missing something.

    For this week the way I'm seeing NE/Balt is..........

    Balt opened at +4 (30,000 bets) 48% market average on them and the line is now +3. That is not a large enough % to say it's a RLM play.

  2. #317

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    I look at them all through out the week. I consider RLM any time the line moves in favor of the public. It's up to you to consider it a play. Everyone has their own thing, but I like looking at it early in the week because (in theory) that is when the "sharp" money is bet. Your leisure and recreational betters tend to place their bets closer to the weekend. With less bets in, its easier to see what could have triggered the line movement.

    Depending on the site used, you are going to get a different percentage. NE and Balt are almost split down the middle, but it is RLM none the less. You aren't going to find that much of it in the playoffs. Sometimes if the public is pounding a line (70% +) and it holds strong, it is just as good as RLM.

    I was wrong & typo'ed on the Rams as a winner btw. The rest were legit depending on when you took them during the week. I mostly used the lines as they were Sunday morning for this thread.

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  3. #318

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    Hey everyone,

    I do not believe the Pats are a play for RLM simply because there is only a half point movement with 48%/52%. There isnt a large discrepancy of betting, therefore I will not be betting that game.

    I will be taking Philly +4, not because of RLM, but just because I think Philly will take this game or cover.


    BOL

  4. #319

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    Quote Originally Posted by Totolover1409 View Post
    Hey everyone,


    I will be taking Philly +4, not because of RLM, but just because I think Philly will take this game or cover.


    BOL
    I like this play also. Good luck.

  5. #320

  6. #321

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    Disappointing first half. Sorry guys but this play looks like a bust.

  7. #322

  8. #323

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    Quote Originally Posted by Totolover1409 View Post
    No evident RLM this week guys.
    Oh well. Who are you liking this weekend, total?

  9. #324

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    Quote Originally Posted by Totolover1409 View Post
    No evident RLM this week guys.
    not yet, but huge games as these should see a lot of action sunday morning. i have no idea where the line goes, any ideas? if i had to guess, bet % would be coming in on colts and vikes.

  10. #325

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    I kinda like the Under 40 on the Colts game.

    Kinda worried that Vikings D line is gonna make life pretty rough for Drew Brees. But at the same time, I can see Brees, in the dome, to perform the same way he has been.

    If i had to pick that game, I would take Saints -4.

  11. #326

  12. #327

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    Quote Originally Posted by Totolover1409 View Post
    I kinda like the Under 40 on the Colts game.

    Kinda worried that Vikings D line is gonna make life pretty rough for Drew Brees. But at the same time, I can see Brees, in the dome, to perform the same way he has been.

    If i had to pick that game, I would take Saints -4.
    Total, I hope you are right about the Saints!!! Heading to the game (tailgating first of course) in a few minutes!!!!

    GO SAINTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  13. #328

  14. #329

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    Quote Originally Posted by dvb02 View Post
    Total, I hope you are right about the Saints!!! Heading to the game (tailgating first of course) in a few minutes!!!!

    GO SAINTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Best of luck brother.

  15. #330

  16. #331

  17. #332

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    Total, who do you like in the Superbowl?

  18. #333

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    Hey DVB. Sorry for the late post.

    Wasn't sure if I wanted to stay away from this game or not.


    I like the U 57.5 today.


    Also, I hope this RLM thread has been favorable for you guys this season. I was overall in the green but I didn't keep a record of my wins/loses.

    Best of luck brother.

  19. #334
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    Quote Originally Posted by Totolover1409 View Post
    Hey DVB. Sorry for the late post.

    Wasn't sure if I wanted to stay away from this game or not.


    I like the U 57.5 today.


    Also, I hope this RLM thread has been favorable for you guys this season. I was overall in the green but I didn't keep a record of my wins/loses.

    Best of luck brother.

    Yeah it was a good season with the RLM. Enjoyed it...let's do it again next year. I had a tough time with this game too so I did a 3 team teaser yesterday with NO (NBA), SA and the Saints +14.5. If they keep it within 2 TD's I win my teaser! Who Dat!

  20. #335

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    Quote Originally Posted by GGPLAYER View Post
    Yeah it was a good season with the RLM. Enjoyed it...let's do it again next year. I had a tough time with this game too so I did a 3 team teaser yesterday with NO (NBA), SA and the Saints +14.5. If they keep it within 2 TD's I win my teaser! Who Dat!

    Was going for the Colts. Really disappointed with that pick.

    Oh well, hope you guys cashed on the under.

  21. #336

  22. #337

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    Cashed on the under and the saints!!! and yes, this thread worked out very nice. I look forward to it next year.

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