[bigboydan]

I just now seen a few minutes ago that the vig is moving at a few places right now on this game. A few places have moved from Indy -3 -110 to Indy -3 -120.

I know the Colts are the home team here, but I still feel theres a lot of value with the Patriots in this game.

[nevadaside]

Really more of a PK matchup IMO....other than homefield & all but:
NE road record 8-1 ATS
kind of tempting to take +3 for +105 here.

NE seems to be "getting by" and as usual has been pulling it out when it counts, but INDY seems to have put a lot of the pieces of their puzzle together lately to become sort of "polished", for lack of a better word. Obviously Manning knows this could lead to the game of his life. Both he & Brady should put on Quarterback clinics that not even Theisman would try to pick apart.

I think (and hope) we'll be treated to a kind of bonus SB game here.....barring a bunch of idiotic decisions or actions by players.

[slacker00]

Pats & Indy IS the Super Bowl this year. Same as the 49ers/Cowboys NFC Championship games during the early '90s. Whoever wins between the Saints/Bears will not beat the AFC winner unless something bizarre happens, such as Colts winning with Manning sustaining a season ending injury, etc.

As for the line moves, isn't this par for the course, with typical betting on the favorite moving the line? Honestly, I think the play here is taking a POLISH MIDDLE, with Pats +150 ML and Colts -8 +???. Either Pats win a squeaker or Colts win big. I don't see the Colts winning in a tight game.

[AC1318]

Originally Posted by slacker00

Pats & Indy IS the Super Bowl this year. Same as the 49ers/Cowboys NFC Championship games during the early '90s. Whoever wins between the Saints/Bears will not beat the AFC winner unless something bizarre happens, such as Colts winning with Manning sustaining a season ending injury, etc.

As for the line moves, isn't this par for the course, with typical betting on the favorite moving the line? Honestly, I think the play here is taking a POLISH MIDDLE, with Pats +150 ML and Colts -8 +???. Either Pats win a squeaker or Colts win big. I don't see the Colts winning in a tight game.

[prickbeater101]

Can't help but to think NE wins this one because this time of the year is Belichick time and he is twice the coach Brian Billick is and will actually have a gameplan. The Colts offense is not clicking on all cylinders right now and the Pats will make them pay for that

[bigboydan]

Looks like it's not Colts -3 -125 at TheGreek right now.

I guess we will be seeing a few 3.5's out there in a few days.

[Peyton2MarvinN06]

Originally Posted by prickbeater101

Can't help but to think NE wins this one because this time of the year is Belichick time and he is twice the coach Brian Billick is and will actually have a gameplan. The Colts offense is not clicking on all cylinders right now and the Pats will make them pay for that

PB, just wait and see Manning pick apart the Patriots secondary on Sunday with the comeback routes to Marvin and Reggie! Peyton is due for a breakout game and Sunday will be it... The Colts line has been doing a phenomenal job of protecting him... The ravens blitzed a ton last week and the patriots will try as well... He was only sacked once last week and I look for the line to block well again, give him time to set his feet, and make strikes downfield... The Colts WILL WIN on Sunday! Let's Go Horse!

[nosuzieno]

I already played Indy -3. For Colts bettors, I would suggest getting down now. As already seen, Books are more likely to raise price than line which is common in 3 pt openings.

In event line does move, and granted this is pretty basic: to -3.5, difference is between push and a loss so costs you money to wait worse case. if it moves to -2.5 (which is highly unlikely IMO), diff is between win and push so costs a push in worse case (in a colts 3 point victory). In other words, more risk than reward to wait.

Of course option of buying the hook available as well, but that is more than I care to get into at the moment.

[PaCKeRMaN]

I think this year will be differnt. Payton has played this team number of times. Earleir this year played and colts pulled it out. Also last years meeting when they won with 41 points. Yes they are not shown there stuff in the playoffs, I think Manning will go in knowing about the pats. There fore I will take the colts for this game...

Packer

[Peyton2MarvinN06]

Packerman,
First off, I would like to welcome you to the forum... Secondly, I like your Colts play... I feel as though this may be the Colts year... I know I keep saying this, but the odds have been stacked against them for a few weeks now... Not as talented this year, but have the heart and it seems destiny may be on their side this year as well... I know I'm partial because I am the biggest Colts fan in the world, but I truly believe that the Colts WILL WIN on Sunday! I see Peyton having a huge game even if Rodney Harrison plays... I think the Patriots would be worse off having him play since he hasn't had game play in the last 3-4 weeks! Look for Wayne and Harrison to have big games and Clark as well with the seam route! Let's Go Horse!

[PaCKeRMaN]

Thanks for the welcome. But ya, I totally agree with them winning this weekend, even now that they will have the fan support.

Packer

[bigboydan]

Looks like public money has finally pushed this line up to Colts -3.5 in some places.

[bigboydan]

You can still get the Colts -3 at Cascade right now if you hurry guys.

[gummo]

Lots of Colts money coming in now.

[bigboydan]

I've noticed that myself gummo.

I know Bodog deals the dual lines and all. However, according to sbrodds they refuse to move that game off of 3. Currently on there I see Colts -3 -140

[EaglesPhan36]

I'm still on the Pats +3.5 and Pats ML