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  1. 09-30-09 10:04 PM #1
    taxman
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    Default TOTAL trend on NE/Balt

    Balt/NE- Play OVER road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 poins off a home win by 10 or more points, undefeated on the season.

    29-8 since 1997 (78.4%)

    Last week's trend play on the OVER in NYJ/Tenn was a winner also.


    Good luck to all for a winning Sunday!
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  2. 09-30-09 10:28 PM #2
    artist
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    Thanks for the info I also like this game going over
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  3. 09-30-09 10:35 PM #3
    LT Profits
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    Now THAT'S a useless stat.

    I am not saying game won't go Over, I am saying that trend is meaningless with no logical reasoning behind it.
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  4. 09-30-09 11:19 PM #4
    taxman
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Now THAT'S a useless stat.

    I am not saying game won't go Over, I am saying that trend is meaningless with no logical reasoning behind it.

    Granted the stat is vanilla but hitting at over 75% I choose not to ignore it LT
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  5. 09-30-09 11:33 PM #5
    LT Profits
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    Things like that are pure coincidence that tend more to revert to the mean than to keep winning. Trends with sound logic behind them have a longer lifespan (until the books starting incorporating them into the lines and then it's back to the drawing board).

    It's a tough game.
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  6. 10-01-09 08:28 AM #6
    taxman
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    Default Dallas/Denver TOTAL what's your play???

    Really looking to play the UNDER 42 1/2 in this one...Dallas travels on a short week of preperation and usually you focus more on the defensivw side of the ball...Dallas D looked good on Monday and Denver's D has looked pretty solid...granted not facing an O like Dallas though...looking for a tight game 21-17 or so...UNDER looks the play here..
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