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Old 09-30-09, 11:04 PM   #1
taxman
 
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Default TOTAL trend on NE/Balt

Balt/NE- Play OVER road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 poins off a home win by 10 or more points, undefeated on the season.

29-8 since 1997 (78.4%)

Last week's trend play on the OVER in NYJ/Tenn was a winner also.


Good luck to all for a winning Sunday!
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Old 09-30-09, 11:28 PM   #2
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Thanks for the info I also like this game going over
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Old 09-30-09, 11:35 PM   #3
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Now THAT'S a useless stat.

I am not saying game won't go Over, I am saying that trend is meaningless with no logical reasoning behind it.
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Old 10-01-09, 12:19 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
Now THAT'S a useless stat.

I am not saying game won't go Over, I am saying that trend is meaningless with no logical reasoning behind it.

Granted the stat is vanilla but hitting at over 75% I choose not to ignore it LT
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Old 10-01-09, 12:33 AM   #5
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Things like that are pure coincidence that tend more to revert to the mean than to keep winning. Trends with sound logic behind them have a longer lifespan (until the books starting incorporating them into the lines and then it's back to the drawing board).

It's a tough game.
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Old 10-01-09, 09:28 AM   #6
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Default Dallas/Denver TOTAL what's your play???

Really looking to play the UNDER 42 1/2 in this one...Dallas travels on a short week of preperation and usually you focus more on the defensivw side of the ball...Dallas D looked good on Monday and Denver's D has looked pretty solid...granted not facing an O like Dallas though...looking for a tight game 21-17 or so...UNDER looks the play here..
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