[stocker08]

Houston Texans (-425) vs. Oakland Raiders
Tenn Titans (-2.5) (-125) vs. Jacksonville Jags
Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5) (-225) vs. Cleveland Browns Bought 3 points
NY Giants (-9) (+105) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Chicago Bears (-475) vs. Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) (-220) vs. St. Louis Rams Bought 4 points
Dallas Cowboys (-150) vs. Denver Broncos

Bet 1 unit. Pays a little over 18 units.

What do you think? A winner???

[Robust]

i like it!

as of right now, ten and cincy make me nervous.. but I haven't finished capping the game.. I can see the oddsmakers ****in with us with the line and they lose badly.. lol

more nervous about ten than cincy as of right now.. (i keep flip flopping.. lol)

good luck!

Robust

[stocker08]

Cincy should be able to handle the browns. Tennessee is better than they have been playing and I really think that they can get the win. If those two go the way I want them to, my chances are looking pretty good.

[BGboothA]

I don't know about a 7 team parlay that pays 18-1. So much in the NFL can change in a second. I like each individual play as an individual. But this is a big parlay to hit without getting the right odds, IMO. Good Luck. I am on a number of those games as well.

[Limey]

Sadly, I think the chances are that at least one of those 7 will fail.

[BGboothA]

Originally Posted by Limey

Sadly, I think the chances are that at least one of those 7 will fail.

This is deep, what do you think the chances are that one does fail.....maybe 18-1.

[stocker08]

Most likely one does fail. I just took a collection of picks I thought I would win. I was going to do like a 4 team parlay, but I kept seeing more and more matchups that were favorable.

Tennesse and Cincinnati are the only games there that I am kind of worried about. The rest should fall into place if these teams play the way they have.

[Limey]

Originally Posted by BGboothA

This is deep, what do you think the chances are that one does fail.....maybe 18-1.

I guess you're being sarcastic. If it was only 17-1 that only one team lost then the parlay wouldn't be a half-bad bet, but seven-selection parlays are a bloody miracle to pull off.

I reckon it's about 28 to 1 that all seven selections win, which would mean at least one will lose 28 times out of 29.....

I'd be most worried about Tenessee, NYG, 49ers and Dallas I think.

[Robust]

you know what.. lol

i like it so much, I am playing it on the spreads.. no buying points or using MLs.. woot!

but I am excluding chicago.. they f\*\*k me all the time.. with or against, they f\*\*k me.. lol

but not jinxing ya.. not playing, so you got your original shot

good luck!

Robust

[Robust]

Originally Posted by Robust

you know what.. lol

i like it so much, I am playing it on the spreads.. no buying points or using MLs.. woot!

but I am excluding chicago.. they f\*\*k me all the time.. with or against, they f\*\*k me.. lol

but not jinxing ya.. not playing, so you got your original shot

good luck!

Robust

wow! just did some math and came up with OVER 53-1 payout.. lol

all favorites.. I just hated the shit out of this parlay.. but I am doing it anyway.. lol

$5 to win ~$268

gotta fund the account.. went crazy with 2-teamers.. will place it tommorrow..

Robust

[stocker08]

Yeah, if these pan out, big payoffs. Not Likely, but shit, it could happen. With the points I bought on games i was questioning, I really think it has a 23% chance (pulled that number outta my ass).

[Robust]

Originally Posted by stocker08

Yeah, if these pan out, big payoffs. Not Likely, but shit, it could happen. With the points I bought on games i was questioning, I really think it has a 23% chance (pulled that number outta my ass).

HAHAHAHA

at LEAST have the skills to KNOW what the odds are bro.. COME ON!!

Robust

[Limey]

Unless I'm missing something, there's no way this 7-team parlay pays 53-1. Absolutely no way - most of the selections are heavy favourites.

[JGILL50]

add the night game for some hedging opportunity

[Timmay]

Originally Posted by Robust

you know what.. lol

i like it so much, I am playing it on the spreads.. no buying points or using MLs.. woot!

but I am excluding chicago.. they f\*\*k me all the time.. with or against, they f\*\*k me.. lol

but not jinxing ya.. not playing, so you got your original shot

good luck!

Robust

Lol what happens with you and Chicago that happens with me with NYG

[stocker08]

? Giants have been solid all year. Chicago should also get the win at home.... bet straight money line just in case.

[skydivr]

Originally Posted by Limey

Unless I'm missing something, there's no way this 7-team parlay pays 53-1. Absolutely no way - most of the selections are heavy favourites.

Yep, I checked and got just under 35-1 WITHOUT buying the points down.

I like the picks though.

[Robust]

Originally Posted by Limey

Unless I'm missing something, there's no way this 7-team parlay pays 53-1. Absolutely no way - most of the selections are heavy favourites.

if you mean my parlay, yes it does.. but mine is a 6-picker ALL on the spreads.. no ML's or buying points..

Robust

[Robust]

Originally Posted by skydivr

Yep, I checked and got just under 35-1 WITHOUT buying the points down.

I like the picks though.

check mine.. all spreads..

Robust

[Mr. Sanders]

A 7 teamer has a 1 of 128 odds or .781% chance of winning and so mathematically speaking you don't have a good chance of winning but GL to ya!

[stocker08]

Originally Posted by Mr. Sanders

A 7 teamer has a 1 of 128 odds or .781% chance of winning and so mathematically speaking you don't have a good chance of winning but GL to ya!

Those odds are probably calculated for coin flips. I bought points on games I thought were questionable. What do you think the odds are that my 3 money line bets win??? 2:1, if not higher. I think that 1:128 odds are off.

[Parligod]

I like Chicago wining straight up but I don't like the spread of +10 over the Lions. I think the Lions are a less-then-average team but there's like 4-5 I can think of that are worse. They'll lose but not badly.

[Mr. Sanders]

Originally Posted by stocker08

Those odds are probably calculated for coin flips. I bought points on games I thought were questionable. What do you think the odds are that my 3 money line bets win??? 2:1, if not higher. I think that 1:128 odds are off.

No those odds are not off they are true mathematical odds, there exist a 128 different combinations and you have to find the right one or 1 of 128. You are looking at it in your perspective but in a mathematical perspective the odds are 1 of 128 for a 7 teamer. Nothing is a sure thing, heavy favs do lose straight up from time to time and so you can't take it for granted that your fav ML picks will win for sure.

[dbniner]

I think 3 or 4 parley is less risk and payoff is high. Last week I did 3 parley and won over $300 and I was very confident of the games I picked.
I am thinking of 2 game parley NYG, and Dallas
or a 3 gamer with Cin over Clev

Any thoughts

[BGboothA]

Yeah I don't mind the 2 to 3 game parlays, but 7? Woo

[stocker08]

Originally Posted by Mr. Sanders

No those odds are not off they are true mathematical odds, there exist a 128 different combinations and you have to find the right one or 1 of 128. You are looking at it in your perspective but in a mathematical perspective the odds are 1 of 128 for a 7 teamer. Nothing is a sure thing, heavy favs do lose straight up from time to time and so you can't take it for granted that your fav ML picks will win for sure.

Yeah, there are 128 different possibilities, but some combinations have a much higher chance than others. I took the money line on several favorites. A .781% chance. Thats not right.