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Old 09-22-09, 10:53 AM   #1
Chance Harper
 
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Default Off Monday night win, Colts now head to Arizona

Off Monday night win, Colts now head to Arizona

Dallas Clark's early 80-yard TD catch set the tone for a wild contest in Miami on the 39th anniversary of Monday Night Football. Indianapolis scored last to top the Dolphins 27-23, and now have a short week to prepare for a trip to Arizona. Peyton Manning and the Colts' offense were on the field less than a quarter of Monday's game while the defense was left gasping for air, unable to stop the Dolphins' ground game.


There might not be enough oxygen in the atmosphere to help the Indianapolis Colts defense right now.

The Colts had their hands full Monday night with the Miami Dolphins and the Wildcat offense, who held possession of the ball for over 45 minutes and racked up over 400 total yards. And yet Peyton Manning still had enough time to throw two deep touchdown passes in a 27-23 victory. Indianapolis cashed in as a 3-point road favorite; the final score eclipsed the posted total of 41 points which made a lot of Beat the Prick contestants very happy.

All those weary defenders now have to make the short turnaround and play again next Sunday night, not to mention their long flight west to visit the Arizona Cardinals in Week 3 (8:20 p.m. Eastern, NBC). The Cardinals’ offense just got finished putting the boots to the Jacksonville Jaguars 31-17 in Jacksonville. Kurt Warner had a near-perfect day at quarterback, completing 24 of 26 pass attempts and finding the end zone twice. Tim Hightower (4.8 yards per carry, one TD) and Beanie Wells (6.3 yards per carry) were impressive on the ground. And Arizona had no trouble getting to the pay window as a 3-point puppy.

The very early betting odds for Sunday night have the Colts as 1.5-point favorites with a total of 49.5. Each team in this matchup is 1-1 ATS (Indianapolis has two SU wins) and the over/under is also split down the middle. This is the first time the Colts and Cardinals have done battle since the 2005 season finale; the Colts (-7.5) won 17-13, but that’s hardly of any use to us. Jim Sorgi was the quarterback for Indianapolis as Manning rested for the playoffs, and Josh McCown was playing what turned out to be his last game for Arizona. Head coach Dennis Green had also yet to be replaced by Ken Whisenhunt.

So we return to the overworked Colts defenders. They had almost no answer for Ronnie Brown, who picked up 62 of his 136 rushing yards in the Wildcat formation and scored twice. Ricky Williams tacked on another 69 yards as the Dolphins ran the ball 49 times. The Colts weren’t all that great at run defense in 2008, ranking No. 18 in the league in terms of efficiency. That appears to be the case again in 2009 with Larry Coyer taking over as defensive co-ordinator. Although Indy won its season opener 14-12 over the aforementioned Jaguars, it was mostly on the strength of Coyer’s blitz packages. The Jags still managed to rush for 114 yards on 4.4 yards per carry, most of that by Maurice Jones-Drew, who is no longer splitting carries with Fred Taylor (now with the New England Patriots).

The Cardinals have so much more to offer on offense than both the Jaguars and the Dolphins. Hightower and Wells are moving the chains as a 1-2 combo, and Warner remains world-class at age 38. WR Steve Breaston returned to action this week and caught five passes for 83 yards, joining Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin in an embarrassment of riches for Warner to enjoy.

That’s just one side of the ball, of course, although that’s the side we’re more concerned with given the added workload Indy’s defenders had to endure Monday night. Manning will be very fresh after a light day of work with zero sacks; the Colts’ offensive line is still very good at keeping their meal ticket healthy (Manning was sacked just once in the opener), even if the run blocking leaves much to be desired at this point. Without Anthony Gonzalez (sprained knee) in the slot, Manning was nonetheless able to find TE Dallas Clark seven times for 183 yards, including an 80-yard TD on the first offensive play of the game.

That was against a Miami secondary with some holes to fill. The Cardinals can also be beaten downfield; they made the Super Bowl last year despite placing 25th in the league in pass defense according to efficiency. That justifies Sunday night’s large total and gives Indy a puncher’s chance on Sunday – like every other Sunday with Manning in uniform.
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Old 09-22-09, 11:02 AM   #2
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The cardinals are usually tough to beat at home. I think they should be favored in this game especially with Indianapolis playing on Monday night.
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Old 09-22-09, 05:45 PM   #3
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Colts DBs are beat to hell...hard to back the Colts unless Hayden, Jackson, and friends are ready to roll off the short week? I'm from Indy and predicted the Fish would be a tougher run oriented matchup of the 2 primetime games but Larry Fitz/Bolden/Warner is no day at the beach either? Manning will torture their secondary too and the Colts have better pass rushers if it comes down to Manning vs Warner in a shootout!
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Old 09-22-09, 05:46 PM   #4
jjgold
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My line is cards -9
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Old 09-22-09, 07:10 PM   #5
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The Cards are a barely above average regular season goign back to the beginning of last year. The Colts are arguably the most dominant regular season team in the NFL currently. Warner loves a letdown after just about every spectacular performance. Indy covers and wins here.
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Old 09-22-09, 07:14 PM   #6
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Cards win easy.
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Old 09-22-09, 07:22 PM   #7
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Short week...

Traveling west...

Defense on the field for 85 plays last night...

Like the Cards at home in this one...

Doc
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Old 09-22-09, 08:01 PM   #8
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their will be tons of points scored in this game
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Old 09-23-09, 02:22 AM   #9
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I see this game going over 50 with ease

love the cards team total prop to go over

Last edited by illmatick; 09-23-09 at 02:27 AM.
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Old 09-23-09, 03:50 AM   #10
Vincepcion
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yes im going with the over too
cards seem like a good pick too
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Old 09-23-09, 08:56 AM   #11
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Agreed, was thinking during the Monday night game who are the Colts playing next week as the defense is for sure fatigued and with a short turn around it could spell trouble.

Cards for me too

As for total points, I tend to look for the under here

The Colts will want their offense on the field for chunks of time with plenty of ball control. They certainly will want to shorten the game for their D.
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Old 09-23-09, 09:12 AM   #12
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Like the Cards here with Indy on a short week and Arizona back home where they disappointed the home crowd in week 1 with a poor performance.

Plus Arizona has a bye week 4 and would like to go in with a W.Points will be the order on the day here...OVER
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Old 09-24-09, 05:12 AM   #13
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Zona ML sounds right. It should be a great game to watch. Whoever has the ball last? We might see an NBA score. -
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