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Old 09-22-09, 09:33 AM   #1
taxman
 
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Lightbulb Solid TOTAL trend for week 3

play OVER any team where total is between 35.5 and 42 points off an upset win over a divisonal rival as a home underdog against oppt off a home loss 29-8 since 1997 78.4%

Statfox.com
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Old 09-22-09, 09:35 AM   #2
taxman
 
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Quote:
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play OVER any team where total is between 35.5 and 42 points off an upset win over a divisonal rival as a home underdog against oppt off a home loss 29-8 since 1997 78.4%

Statfox.com

Jets/Tenn OVER the play
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Old 09-22-09, 09:39 AM   #3
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Thanks for that, it is a very low total at 37
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Old 09-22-09, 12:40 PM   #4
Limey
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Stats like that are interesting. I can't for the life of me think of a logical reason why that should be a winning trend, but thanks for highlighting it.
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Old 09-22-09, 01:00 PM   #5
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That's a good numbers, I personally like TN win outright
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Old 09-22-09, 01:13 PM   #6
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Quote:
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Thanks for that, it is a very low total at 37
I like the idea, but in reality this one scares me.

Tennessee plays good d against a good Pittsburgh team.

Tennessee plays HORRIBLE d against an OK Houston team.

.....what comes next...my intuition says they bounce back to their normal strong defense against the rookie qb?

However...Tenneesee appears able to put up points this year which would could help validate the over. I'm thinking a 21-17 type game but that's a guess. Too close to the spread for me as it stands in my head.

Tennesee plays horrible d against an decent Jets team
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Old 09-22-09, 10:22 PM   #7
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Don't ask me why this trend is hitting at over 75%...sometimes the trend is your friend...Tenn needs this one badly to or fall to 0-3...
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Old 09-23-09, 12:07 AM   #8
BGboothA
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hmmmm...Thanks
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200pts

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Old 09-23-09, 09:17 AM   #9
bombCanada
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Quote:
Originally Posted by taxman View Post
play OVER any team where total is between 35.5 and 42 points off an upset win over a divisonal rival as a home underdog against oppt off a home loss 29-8 since 1997 78.4% Statfox.com
Try and figure that one out without an aneurysm. Curve fitting all the way. Simple systems are better... bet over any line under 37, bet under any line over 51. put them in teasers it's even better.

Good luck.
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