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Old 09-17-09, 06:58 PM   #1
Robust
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Default Baltimore Raven +3 at chargers.. What Am i missing?

did their D line all die in a plane crash?

wtf??

Robust
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Old 09-17-09, 07:05 PM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robust View Post
did their D line all die in a plane crash?

wtf??

Robust

Can't see it either. they outgained the chiefs with 313 yards!
And the Chargers was outgained by the raiders! I'm on the Ravens as one of the biggest plays for this week.

Good luck if you follow
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Old 09-17-09, 07:17 PM   #3
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im on ravens. biggest play of the year so far +3 and ML.ravens are way unerated, they will reach their potential in the next few games, imo they will be the team to beat
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Old 09-17-09, 07:26 PM   #4
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yeah i also like this play a lot, chargers maybe the most overrated team in NFL
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Old 09-17-09, 11:30 PM   #5
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Chargers win and cover!
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Old 09-18-09, 12:15 AM   #6
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Like ravens but might not play this
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Old 09-18-09, 02:04 AM   #7
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leave this game alone if anything take the ravens ml flacco 5-1 on rd inc areer
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Old 09-18-09, 02:14 AM   #8
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East/West travel coast factor reflected in odds.
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Old 09-18-09, 02:16 AM   #9
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Chargers in a double digit win
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Old 09-18-09, 02:20 AM   #10
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Ravens win !!!!
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Old 09-18-09, 02:39 AM   #11
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Too good to be true. When everyone you've never heard of is posting how much they love one team you need to run the other way.
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Old 09-18-09, 03:11 AM   #12
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I like SD here but might not play it
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Old 09-18-09, 03:53 AM   #13
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Raiders can make Good teams look worse than they are.. Chargers are not as bad as they seemed..
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Old 09-18-09, 03:59 AM   #14
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It is the NFL. Outside of the Lions, every team plays well a few weeks a year.
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Old 09-18-09, 04:04 AM   #15
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You guys are nuts. You have the Chargers who are/will be one of the best teams inthe NFL this year, they just so happened to have one bad game playing against a team who is really not that great. Chargers win by about 13 points. It cant go any other way. This is free money
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Old 09-18-09, 04:21 AM   #16
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ravens it is
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Old 09-18-09, 04:26 AM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pico View Post
ravens it is


Robust
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Old 09-18-09, 04:35 AM   #18
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Look up stats on SU wins traveling from E to W. West teams fair very well in the situation. It's a toss up game most realistically. Baltimore to San Diego is a stretch. But, Best of luck to everyone.
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Old 09-18-09, 04:55 AM   #19
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Chargers is the play.

Ravens looked good against WHO last week? This week, it's a reality check for Baltimore.

It always amazes me when a team shows up a stumble bum team then everyone goes gaga over them.
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Old 09-18-09, 05:19 AM   #20
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These athletes aren't super hero's either. They are human but fortunate and talented human beings, they need rest, they tire and they feel jet lag and altitude affects.
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Old 09-18-09, 09:34 AM   #21
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I have to take balt on this one
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Old 09-18-09, 09:58 AM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The General View Post
These athletes aren't super hero's either. They are human but fortunate and talented human beings, they need rest, they tire and they feel jet lag and altitude affects.
not at the first 3-4 weeks, the same was going on the chargers last year, that they were one of the top teams in the nfl, they were 8-8, same will happen this year, they are overrated.
The call is on the ravens
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Old 09-18-09, 10:25 AM   #23
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the line is right

the teams are even

but chargers at home

leave the game alone
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Old 09-18-09, 10:46 AM   #24
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Baltimore looked like shit against a bad Chiefs team, at home. Who'd the Ravens ever beat!?
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Old 09-18-09, 10:48 AM   #25
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There's a disproportionate amount of carryover from week 1 to week 2 in the line movements. Unfortunately, if you like dogs. I have three week 1 games, involving six teams, where the favorite according to my numbers played 'against the stream'. This gave the impression that PIT, SD, and NE are less good that they really are, and that TEN, OAK, and BUF are better than they are. All these three dogs covered, but we can cross out carryover (in the week 2 line) for PIT and TEN, because they were involved in a dog fight. But look at the remaining four teams. SD from -4.5 to -3. NE from -6.5 to -3.5, OAK from +4.5 to +3. Only BUF was overlooked, but that can be attributed to their last minute meltdown. If they had beaten NE, the line would be a TD at least.

I would normally like BAL in this spot, but with 76% at SBR lines on BAL it means joining the kneejerking crowd. That in itself doesn't bother me too much, but it does bother me that they've been gobbling up some valuable points. Won't decide until tomorrow. Final injury report will factor in big for this one.
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Old 09-18-09, 11:21 AM   #26
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What are you missing?

This is the NFL and anything can happen, Rivers a very capable QB also.
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Old 09-18-09, 12:23 PM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
What are you missing?

This is the NFL and anything can happen, Rivers a very capable QB also.
come on jj.. way to no-answer..

by this reasoning, the linesmakers just put up a number and waited to see what happened..

if they did this, don't you think they would get fvcked long term? someone thought this out and made baltimore a dog.. the east to west coast early game stat is the only thing I can think of.. got any useful info other than this?

or riddle me this.. (lol).. what would the line be if it was SD @ Baltimore? -7? -9? -10?

then do the math backwards.. what points is SD getting for being at home in the west coast? i think -9, so they are getting +12.. too much! baltimore is the play..

thoughts?

Robust
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Old 09-18-09, 12:29 PM   #28
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i thought baltimore was the play but now im liking the chargers. if it was in balt the line would be ravens -4.5 max
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Old 09-18-09, 12:32 PM   #29
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this is a pretty good line in my opinion
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Old 09-18-09, 12:40 PM   #30
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I lean ever so slightly to Baltimore right now, but this game is not playable. The line is right where it should be with San Diego at home, books can't make them favored by less than a field goal.
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Old 09-18-09, 12:42 PM   #31
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In other words, if line goes to 2.5, Chargers become a play. At 4+, Ravens would be a play. At 3 or 3.5, Ravens are just a lean.
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Old 09-18-09, 12:54 PM   #32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
In other words, if line goes to 2.5, Chargers become a play. At 4+, Ravens would be a play. At 3 or 3.5, Ravens are just a lean.
wow!

i listen when you speak bro (or type at least).. woulda thought you were on the ravens for sure..

check this out:

Cut/Paste from Nick Bogdanovichs article this week:
Quote:
BALTIMORE AT SAN DIEGO: Another big move here on the total, as 42½ dropped down to 40. San Diego is capable of playing very high scoring games when the offense is clicking. It didn't click much Monday Night against Oakland, and is running into a much better defense here. An early line of San Diego -3½ is now -3. Sharps were happy to get the hook with a championship caliber defense that had an extra day of preparation.


still taking baltimore.. but now I am thinking maybe a smaller amount..?

Robust
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Old 09-18-09, 12:58 PM   #33
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a lot of tough games this week, this one included
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Old 09-18-09, 01:26 PM   #34
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I like the Ravens and the points, but the only thing that concerns me is the lack of pressure and blitzes the Ravens had against KC until late.
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Old 09-18-09, 01:33 PM   #35
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I'm taking the OVER

Both defenses are overrated. SD's secondary is highly suspect. The Ravens have opened up the passing game much more this year. I don't see many stops at all.
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