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Old 08-25-09, 05:04 PM   #1
cocknocker
 
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Default CK & Sexymit's NFL Pre-Season Woodshed Jobs Week 3 8/24 through 8/30/09

Woodshed job is when you get whopped somethin fierce. The old thread had gotten packed with shit to the rafters so we had to start up some new-new thang right? Right. Well anyway I see some goodies for the week and here is where I'd like to go with my plays from what I have seen so far.

Thursday 8/27/09

The size of the line says it all for me. The Dolphins are the real deal and a force to be wreckoned with in the NFL. With this being the third week most of the regulars will play extended minutes. The Bucs are not in their league at this time as they are in full rebuild mode. This is the classic tale of two ships headed in opposite directions. The line indicates that the linemaker thinks that the Bucs aren't really a prohibitive favorite, and the truth is they really shouldn't be favored at all.

Dolphins+2.5


Friday 8/28/09

The Packers look to be able to both defend well and also score well when necessary. Aaron Rodgers is proving the naysayers wrong and excelling on the gridiron. The Cardinals are no slouch, but I do think that with Lienert seeing more time in this game the Packers will get a few picks or a few advantages in field position. Gotta roll with the sharp money on this game.

Green Bay+3


In what may turn into a laugher because of the coaching advantages the Patriots have, I suggest that this game be played early so as to get under the number. I don't anticipate Tom Terrific playing in the 2nd half, but it should be well over by then. I actually feel that the Redskins backup quarterback situation is better than the Patriots. So for this pick I am going with the Pats early. With there being a home dog in this game the rule of thumb is to roll with the under.

New England-2.5 1st half (Projected)
New England/Washington under 38


Saturday 8/29/09

The Panthers have no business being favored in this game. The Ravens defense is just as fast as their offense and more talented too. Any points given to the Ravens in this game are too many.

Ravens+3.5 -120 (Hook buy)

The Niners are getting a touchdown? No problem. I know what to do.

Niners+7

The Colts are going to play Peyton for the whole first half. A peek back at their previous results reflects that the Colts play their starters more in game 3, and as a result have a sterling 6-1 ats record.

Colts-2.5 1st half


Sunday 8/30/09

Broncos turn the tables on the Bears. End of story. I can't play against a winless team at home

Broncos-1
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Old 08-25-09, 05:50 PM   #2
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I like it. Hopefully these teams will play for real and not like baltimore.
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Old 08-25-09, 11:45 PM   #3
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Logging on and watchin you guys as always

I like both the Pats and Colts 1H picks and the Ravens pick
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Old 08-26-09, 08:25 AM   #4
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I like Denver the most!
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Old 08-26-09, 04:59 PM   #5
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Chicago will run into a booby trap in Mile High this weekend!
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Old 08-26-09, 05:21 PM   #6
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The Under in NE/WAS is golden.
Athough it's only preseason, Carolina has lost both games so far in preseason and their might be a sense of urgency for a coach on the hot seat in Fox plus two road games for them with this being their first home game. Baltimore is coming in on a short week.
Denver fits this scenario and they look good too.
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Old 08-26-09, 09:55 PM   #7
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CK, no love for the Rams tomorrow night. With the public all over the Bengals and the line staying stiff at -2.5. The Bengals have put up a measly 2 touchdown's in 2 games.
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Old 08-27-09, 04:39 PM   #8
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GOOD LUCK tonight gentlemen...!
Also like Mia +3 (bought the hook) & CINN -ML 1H

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Old 08-27-09, 05:17 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cocknocker View Post
Chicago will run into a booby trap in Mile High this weekend!
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Old 08-27-09, 06:16 PM   #10
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ADDED PLAY FOR SATURDAY

Chargers/Falcons over 42
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Old 08-27-09, 06:49 PM   #11
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mia is now at +1
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Old 08-27-09, 06:50 PM   #12
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MIAMI PK on bodog. Great call CK
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Old 08-27-09, 07:10 PM   #13
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I am on the fish thanks ck/sm also jags and both overs
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Old 08-27-09, 10:33 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cocknocker View Post
Woodshed job is when you get whopped somethin fierce. The old thread had gotten packed with shit to the rafters so we had to start up some new-new thang right? Right. Well anyway I see some goodies for the week and here is where I'd like to go with my plays from what I have seen so far.

Thursday 8/27/09

The size of the line says it all for me. The Dolphins are the real deal and a force to be wreckoned with in the NFL. With this being the third week most of the regulars will play extended minutes. The Bucs are not in their league at this time as they are in full rebuild mode. This is the classic tale of two ships headed in opposite directions. The line indicates that the linemaker thinks that the Bucs aren't really a prohibitive favorite, and the truth is they really shouldn't be favored at all.

Dolphins+2.5


Friday 8/28/09

The Packers look to be able to both defend well and also score well when necessary. Aaron Rodgers is proving the naysayers wrong and excelling on the gridiron. The Cardinals are no slouch, but I do think that with Lienert seeing more time in this game the Packers will get a few picks or a few advantages in field position. Gotta roll with the sharp money on this game.

Green Bay+3


In what may turn into a laugher because of the coaching advantages the Patriots have, I suggest that this game be played early so as to get under the number. I don't anticipate Tom Terrific playing in the 2nd half, but it should be well over by then. I actually feel that the Redskins backup quarterback situation is better than the Patriots. So for this pick I am going with the Pats early. With there being a home dog in this game the rule of thumb is to roll with the under.

New England-2.5 1st half (Projected)
New England/Washington under 38


Saturday 8/29/09

The Panthers have no business being favored in this game. The Ravens defense is just as fast as their offense and more talented too. Any points given to the Ravens in this game are too many.

Ravens+3.5 -120 (Hook buy)

The Niners are getting a touchdown? No problem. I know what to do.

Niners+7

The Colts are going to play Peyton for the whole first half. A peek back at their previous results reflects that the Colts play their starters more in game 3, and as a result have a sterling 6-1 ats record.

Colts-2.5 1st half


Sunday 8/30/09

Broncos turn the tables on the Bears. End of story. I can't play against a winless team at home

Broncos-1
Also want to add for Saturday Cleveland PK
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Old 08-28-09, 02:29 AM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SexyMit View Post
Also want to add for Saturday Cleveland PK

Does Ck think bad of me?
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Old 08-28-09, 02:31 AM   #16
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i asked you what http//sexymit.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/ this and how you got it?
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Old 08-28-09, 02:36 AM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SexyMit View Post
Also want to add for Saturday Cleveland PK
Quote:
Originally Posted by chaseman View Post
MIAMI PK on bodog. Great call CK
Whers that counter yoiu alway asking me about G LOL
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Old 08-28-09, 02:37 AM   #18
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Call me Ill give you some winners. LOLLL
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Old 08-28-09, 12:35 PM   #19
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We've already got winners. But I will give you a call in a little while homie. It's harvest time right now and yu already know what that entails
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Old 08-28-09, 01:35 PM   #20
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on the ne 1st half. I think brady will want to get his rhythm going against a horrible team just for kicks
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Old 08-28-09, 03:32 PM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigMoneyMan View Post


Whers that counter yoiu alway asking me about G LOL
Lay off the sauce, man.
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Old 08-28-09, 07:02 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cocknocker View Post
Chicago will run into a booby trap in Mile High this weekend!
I also think Coach McNutt might play his starter a little longer to get the W, and not let Cutler get the best of him. And Cutler will be sitting by half time, with nothing to play for!
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Old 08-28-09, 09:38 PM   #23
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god dam new england!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
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Old 08-28-09, 11:40 PM   #24
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Packers are pouring gasoline all over the Cardinals' backs as prescribed!
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Old 08-29-09, 10:42 AM   #25
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Is the Denver game reverse line movement? Opened at -1 now -3 and 55% consensus on the Bears. Do you still like the Broncos at -3?
Thanks for your insight and sharing...JJ
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Old 08-29-09, 11:32 AM   #26
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I have my Lions +10 on a teaser already but, I do like that Indy 1st half play. I see Indy getting a few scores against the DAUNTING LION D, however, I also see the Lions competing and moving the ball as well. In short:

1st half plays: Indy -3 -125
Over 21 even
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Old 08-29-09, 03:38 PM   #27
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CK I haven't been reading this thread lately mostly so as to keep away from the temptation of betting preseason.
I was wondering what you suggest for each play in units.


Also I see that bet365 isn't letting me buy points in the preseason. I don't know if they won't let me in the regular season either. I hope they do. I wasn't using them last year. If anyone knows I would appreciate it if they told me.
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Old 08-29-09, 06:16 PM   #28
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1 unit at the most unless we specify otherwise. But since its preseason and you have to have action, then maybe just a half a unit would be fine as well. But once the regular season starts we will start with a bankroll and keep running record.
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Old 08-29-09, 11:36 PM   #29
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Nice night boys. Good call on Baltimore. I had Carolina thinking they would play stronger. Looks like Baltimore is the real deal this year!
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Old 08-30-09, 12:11 AM   #30
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Niners poured the gas on the Cowboys' backs and are throwing matches at them. Ravens got it done, and the Falcons and Chargers went over as prescribed. Now time for next weeks action. Couple a juicers on the schedule. Most teams won't be playing the starters too long. So the teams where ain't shit decided yet are where the money is. I like

Bengals
Jags
Bears
Rams
Pitt/Carolina under anything
Seahawks

And Friday I like

Tampa Bay
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Old 08-30-09, 01:34 PM   #31
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Rolling with Denver 2.5 tonight too!


GL
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Old 08-30-09, 02:45 PM   #32
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loving denver tonight guys...
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Old 08-30-09, 04:18 PM   #33
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Jumped on the Broncos bandwagon at -2 on Bodog
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Old 08-30-09, 05:01 PM   #34
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no chris simms = disaster brewing for you guys in the second half. no brandon marshall= 1 less escape goat for kyle orton

jay cutler is going to shit on denver

the play is bears first half.

generally find that i usually agree with many of your picks though prior to this one cockknocker. good luck though none the less
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Old 08-30-09, 05:07 PM   #35
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http://www.urbandictionary.com/defin...=Escape%20Goat
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