Week 9 has been a great week for me and judging by the forum, for a lot of us. Already up a pretty decent amount so thinking about hedging. Anyway I have 3 different tickets left on Bet365 with the MNF gm left on all 3:
#1 8 game parlay, last leg New Orleans Moneyline, $25 returns $490
#2 11 game 6pt teaser, last leg New Orleans +3, $15 returns $465
#3 14 game 7pt teaser, last leg Philadelphia Eages +10, $10 returns $510
Anyone wanna do the math and find out whats the best way to hedge this. Essentially if I do nothing, the least I'll be up is $460 on these 3 plays. Small chance of hitting all 3 if NO win by under 10 (up $1465). If NO wins by more than 10 ill be up $965. Pushes make this more complicated. Anyway, thoughts or ideas?
It really depends on where you want your position to be. Are you just trying to guarantee the largest amount, risk free? You can lock up about $730 with zero risk by just adding $230 on the PHI ML @ +125.
I initially liked New Orleans because they coming home off a blowout loss but now feel like its a coin toss. Debating whether to take PHI ML (+130) or PHI -3.5 (+185). Leaning towards the latter. Even if PHI wins by 3, the push from 11gm to a 10gm will only cost me $75. I think my best bet is to throw $100 or so on PHI-3.5 or wait for a good live line.
Last time I was in a situation like this was when I had SD+7.5 a few weeks back, they were up 24-0 and I still lost because I thought hedging would be a waste haha, fkn Broncos!!
Finally Bet365 went to PHI+10.5. Was stuck at +9.5 for a while. Put $130 on it for a hedge/middle. Today could work out epic if NWO wins by 10 or less!!!!!!
Love bet365's parlay bonus ($140) extra. Really wish PHI scored at the end, woulda added another $750. Oh well, made $915 on these 3 tickets. Over $1100 this Sunday. I see no-one really cares, so I'll just let this thread disappear now.
Not as complicated as a few weeks ago but I'm open to any advice, I have two plays left this week:
1) BAL +10, last game of a 6.5pt 8gm teaser ($40 returns $480)
2) Winning Margin play with BAL 1-12 ($16 returns $220)
Ideally I think I should bet PIT-10 but Bet365 doesnt have it, so I'm debating whether to pound PIT-3.5 or take winning margins:
7-12 (+600), 13 to 18 (+1000), and 19 to 24 (+2000). I don't think PIT gonna win by 25+ or else that would really suck. Ideas? wait for a good live bet?
No suggestions as usual, cool, I took WM 13-18 and 19-24 for a tiny hedge. Really hoping BAL scores so I can get a good number on PIT, worst case if PIT scores, I'll wait till half and take them minus whatever at -110 for a 50-50 hedge.
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