1. 09-23-12 07:31 AM #36
    cmdyrds
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    interesting concept. just checking in.
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  2. 09-23-12 09:30 AM #37
    playr101
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    System went 24-11-1 yesterday in ncaafb. FYI

    -playr101
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  3. 09-23-12 09:39 AM #38
    Andy Vix
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    Quote Originally Posted by playr101 View Post
    System went 24-11-1 yesterday in ncaafb. FYI

    -playr101
    Refreshing to see a "system" that is based off of price action, this looks promising, back test results will be interesting...

    Is anyone going to try to post today's plays on here as they potentially develop?
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  4. 09-23-12 09:44 AM #39
    catt0025
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    I'm sure someone will be on here trying to post them as they come along, but if not, it's not too hard to calculate. Just be ready when each games halftime comes around! Let's make some money everyone! BOL!
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  5. 09-23-12 10:08 AM #40
    nrok2118
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    Im going for it today, going to play every qualifier for a full unit! BOL today boys
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  6. 09-23-12 10:12 AM #41
    doin
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    will keep up w you men. add what i can as we go along. i like this. obviously have to watch the game tho and todays other agenda keeps me away. good luck (good strategy) to all users.
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  7. 09-23-12 10:19 AM #42
    Andy Vix
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    I am going to back test this.... probably go back five seasons and I will only be counting
    12+..... Anyone object or see any fallacy with just testing those results as plays under 12 we aren't going to play by what I can gather....
    Points Awarded:

    Sandwich gave Andy Vix 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

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  8. 09-23-12 01:21 PM #43
    Sandwich
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    I'll try to rapid fire the plays out at halftime. BOL
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  9. 09-23-12 01:24 PM #44
    Catchn_Picks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sandwich View Post
    I'll try to rapid fire the plays out at halftime. BOL
    TY Sandwich
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  10. 09-23-12 01:27 PM #45
    Go State
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    I am guessing that the Vikings are a play for this at +6.5 2nd half is that right?
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  11. 09-23-12 01:28 PM #46
    nrok2118
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    Quote Originally Posted by Go State View Post
    I am guessing that the Vikings are a play for this at +6.5 2nd half is that right?
    Yes vikings are the first play of the day. I was lucky enough to get 7
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  12. 09-23-12 01:29 PM #47
    morri1962
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    San Francisco @ Minnesota
    Full Game odds were 49'ers -7 and 43
    At the half, Vikings lead 17-3
    2H lines should be 49'ers -21 and 23
    2H lines are 49'ers -7 and 21
    Thus we have
    Vikings +7 2H as a play
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  13. 09-23-12 01:29 PM #48
    Sandwich
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    Minnesota +6.5
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  14. 09-23-12 01:29 PM #49
    Catchn_Picks
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    BEt US got +7.5
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  15. 09-23-12 01:32 PM #50
    morri1962
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    Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
    Full Game odds were Colts -3 and 42
    At the half, Colts winning 14-3
    2H lines should be Jags -8 and 25
    2H lines are PK and 21
    Thus we have
    NO PLAYS!!!
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  16. 09-23-12 01:35 PM #51
    morri1962
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    Detroit @ Tennessee
    Full Game odds were Lions -3.5 and 47
    At the half, Titans winning 20-9
    2H lines should be Lions -14.5 and 18
    2H lines are Lions -4 and 23
    Thus we have Titans +4 2H as a play
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  17. 09-23-12 01:35 PM #52
    GChild
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    How about rest of games?
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  18. 09-23-12 01:35 PM #53
    morri1962
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    Kansas City @ New Orleans
    Full Game odds were Saints -9 and 51.5
    At the half, Saints winning 10-6
    2H lines should be Saints -5 and 35.5
    2H lines are Saints -3 and 25
    Thus we have
    UNDER 25 2H as a play
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  19. 09-23-12 01:36 PM #54
    morri1962
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    New York Jets @ Miami
    Full Game odds were Jets -2.5 and 40.5
    At the half, Dolphins 10-3
    2H lines should be Jets -7.5 and 27.5
    2H lines are Jets -3 and 20.5
    Thus we have
    NO PLAYS!!!
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  20. 09-23-12 01:36 PM #55
    mbs4
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    Quote Originally Posted by morri1962 View Post
    Detroit @ Tennessee
    Full Game odds were Lions -3.5 and 47
    At the half, Titans winning 20-9
    2H lines should be Lions -14.5 and 18
    2H lines are Lions -4 and 23
    Thus we have Titans +4 2H as a play
    That's not a 13 point difference.
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  21. 09-23-12 01:37 PM #56
    mbs4
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    Quote Originally Posted by morri1962 View Post
    Kansas City @ New Orleans
    Full Game odds were Saints -9 and 51.5
    At the half, Saints winning 10-6
    2H lines should be Saints -5 and 35.5
    2H lines are Saints -3 and 25
    Thus we have
    UNDER 25 2H as a play
    Neither is this.
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  22. 09-23-12 01:37 PM #57
    morri1962
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    St. Louis @ Chicago
    Full Game odds were Bears -7 and 42
    At the half, Bears 10-3
    2H lines should be PK and 29
    2H lines are Bears -2.5 and 20
    Thus we have
    NO PLAYS!!!
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  23. 09-23-12 01:37 PM #58
    Catchn_Picks
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    +5s are out there everywhere if that helps
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  24. 09-23-12 01:38 PM #59
    morri1962
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    sorry I was doing 10+
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  25. 09-23-12 01:38 PM #60
    nrok2118
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    Yeah using the 13 point rule I only have the vikings and bengals as plays
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  26. 09-23-12 01:41 PM #61
    mbs4
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    Quote Originally Posted by morri1962 View Post
    sorry I was doing 10+
    That's ok. I appreciate the posts anyway.
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  27. 09-23-12 01:42 PM #62
    GChild
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    Is that it?
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  28. 09-23-12 01:43 PM #63
    Catchn_Picks
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    Funny...I would have thought you would have more total plays than pointspread plays
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  29. 09-23-12 01:43 PM #64
    Sandwich
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    Bengals +4
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  30. 09-23-12 01:43 PM #65
    Andy Vix
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    Thanks guys for posting the plays thus far.....

    Back Test

    Just for everyone's information I will be back testing this method back to and including the 2006 NFL Season.
    My Back test will include win/loss records for games that meet 12+ only! If anyone feels that I should include results lower than 12+ please let me know immediately, I just feel comfortable with playing 12+....

    I will update this thread ASAP once this is completed; I suspect this will take a couple of days, fortunately I am away from work for a couple of days.

    I am hopeful to get this method in action with full units ASAP, so fingers will be crossed that the back test shows us results that have been similar to what we have seen for the 2010 season that was posted by On3.

    Good Luck on the early games I have these three for the 1pm est lot for 2012-09-23

    1. Minnesota +6.5 2h
    2. Tennessee +4 2h
    3. Bengals +4 2h
    Last edited by Andy Vix; 09-23-12 at 01:47 PM.
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  31. 09-23-12 01:46 PM #66
    Catchn_Picks
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    Thank you Andy for doing this and posting it for us. That is generous of you.

    I played Tenn +4.5 also but I am not sure it is a play. Vikes and Cincy for sure.
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  32. 09-23-12 01:57 PM #67
    nrok2118
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    Im definitely interested in seeing the backtest results on this one. I fear with all this hype and everyone jumping on board (including myself), it may not perform as hoped.

    Andy, could you backtest using 13 as your magic number? On3 had some kind of stat that showed 13+ had the best results.
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  33. 09-23-12 02:03 PM #68
    Andy Vix
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    Quote Originally Posted by nrok2118 View Post
    Im definitely interested in seeing the backtest results on this one. I fear with all this hype and everyone jumping on board (including myself), it may not perform as hoped.
    Nrok:

    I agree! It does not take much to get hopes up. I think what is interesting is that if this turns out to show similar profit projections to the 2010 season, is that it still will require good/strict money management to be successful.

    It would be cool if we could get someone to start a running 2012 record just for information purposes, I would volunteer but I know I couldn't keep it up to date based on my schedule.

    I will have time to get a good back test up, I believe this sample size should get us 1000+ results, so hopefully that is big enough to make some educated deductions about how profitable this method could potentially be.
    Last edited by Andy Vix; 09-23-12 at 02:07 PM.
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  34. 09-23-12 02:19 PM #69
    Andy Vix
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    Rough start to our second halves!!
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  35. 09-23-12 02:27 PM #70
    bigant78
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    what a bullshit system. i cant believe idiots followed. im just looking and laughing.
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