[Dark Horse]

Last week's record for this tool: 10-4 ATS, 13-1 SU.

Starting with power rankings at twominutewarning, I take the ratings in points per drive for offense x1 + defense x1.5 + red zone x2. I then show the positive or negative units against the league average. (no longer dividing by number of games played; won't change results for last week).

For my personal use I divide the numbers below by 4. So for CHI @ ARI, instead of a 66 unit edge, I have a 66/4 = 16.5 edge for CHI. I find this easier for record keeping purposes.


1) Chi +60.75
2) Jax +51.75
3) Phi +44.75
4) Bal +43.75
5) Sd +38.25
6) Ne +37.25
7) Den +34.75
8) Kc +31.25
9) Cin +25.25
10) Stl +21.75
11) Car +15.25
12) No +10.75
---------------------------------------------------
13) Atl +2.25
13) Ind +2.25
13) Tb +2.25
16) Sea -2.75
17) Dal -4.25
18) Ari -5.25
----------------------------------------------------
19) Mia -11.75
20) Hou -12.75
21) Det -16.75
22) Nyg -17.25
23) Cle -18.25
24) Min -18.75
25) Was -19.75
26) Gb -26.25
27) Ten -32.75
28) Buf -38.75
29) Pit -41.25
30) Nyj -43.25
31) Sf -51.25
32) Oak -60.75

[bigboydan]

Interesting DH

[Jay Edgar]

Ravens were the SU loser last week, I presume?

Many thanks, DH.
This is the SBR forum at its best.

[Dark Horse]

You were on the Ravens? I presume...

Glad you like it.
Look forward to your basketball numbers.

[rta21]

You were on the Ravens? I presume...

Glad you like it.
Look forward to your basketball numbers.

how do you make your picks from these numbers. im trying to make sure im doing this right

[Dark Horse]

I'm not basing bets directly on these numbers. Just using it as a tool in the toolbox.

Take the difference between the teams that play each other. I divide that number by 4, just to make it more managable. For instance (after dividing by 4), teams with an edge of less than 15 went 7-4 ATS; teams with edge of 15 or more went 3-0 ATS. Sample size too small to base any conclusions on.