03-18-07, 07:30 PM
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#1
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
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2007 Bracket Scenario Analysis
The following is a breakdown by player of the number of winning scenarios out of the 32,768 remaining. The first through fourth columns following the player's name correspond to the number of 1 st through 4 th place finishes finishes respectively. (Note that if for example, two players tie for first place, then in this analysis each would receive credit for half of both first and second places. The next closest place in the rankings would then only receive credit for third place.) The last column represents the number of scenarios in which the player places in ANY money position (either alone or jointly).
Code:
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Any
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Wade Wright 16,470 6,878 3,086 1,760 28,441
Mulinello 4,269 4,414 2,105 1,580 12,560
MAB 2,106 2,887 3,375 3,710 12,619
spliff 1,515 2,400 1,812 1,379 7,221
sonnythekid 1,467 1,088 844 747 4,240
kissthecup 1,425 601 211 263 2,556
nasdaq888 1,278 1,563 1,335 1,117 5,515
ryeguy 921 2,136 2,328 1,786 7,405
barn8306 704 891 1,318 1,248 4,303
eboppterp 556 674 926 984 3,238
Dead Money 391 549 382 245 1,580
dmariner 313 632 1,193 1,696 4,207
TboneJones 259 536 824 1,082 3,037
Timolyn 199 523 1,042 1,107 3,024
tbanaheimfan 142 265 405 591 1,557
sportsfreek 114 362 440 573 1,618
mathewvick 101 213 335 388 1,082
batlak 91 98 159 223 656
Ira Wilton 77 784 1,495 1,947 4,606
tomc2356 60 377 564 676 1,831
scavsiu8 46 181 501 682 1,471
Orange 46 237 482 614 1,448
BuddyBear 40 2,962 3,410 2,623 9,293
angeloperrucci 34 28 28 37 137
juuso 32 55 100 123 334
Razz 29 84 134 190 471
coasty163 28 83 204 373 736
Hilltopper 16 30 54 87 198
runningmark 14 46 90 142 323
topher79 12 74 127 224 487
astro219 5 22 61 64 167
patswin 4 9 11 22 48
fitchjr1 4 8 8 28 51
rezster 2 12 20 23 74
playaction 0 690 1,703 867 3,336
begolf25 0 138 670 1,078 2,112
Crayzee 0 88 231 431 783
thealgrod 0 48 219 646 953
awol256 0 24 103 227 369
woodyb97 0 24 22 19 69
Mr Nuts 0 13 50 100 170
Junkyard Dog 0 13 15 21 50
bigpino62 0 6 36 92 148
Pegasus 0 6 29 84 132
88159 0 5 21 60 97
tblues2005 0 5 8 26 41
yellowdragon 0 3 1 11 16
jfnoonan27 0 2 6 5 14
Willie Bee 0 2 2 6 11
Santo 0 1 2 27 40
romeydave 0 1 8 7 17
durito 0 0 97 372 523
DoctorJ 0 0 32 36 70
pags11 0 0 27 45 82
bearwins1 0 0 24 49 83
Nightwolfkicksa 0 0 11 53 69
Shooter 0 0 11 23 34
36crazyfists 0 0 10 24 38
moegreen 0 0 3 11 17
Razorbacks1 0 0 3 9 15
imgv94 0 0 3 4 7
goodyisgood 0 0 3 21 30
Rosemary 0 0 3 6 11
Illusion 0 0 2 15 17
madmaxx 0 0 2 3 7
Dbldown11 0 0 2 3 6
michiganfan08 0 0 2 2 4
BigD 0 0 1 4 5
Cigz68 0 0 1 3 4
locinator 0 0 1 2 3
belton 0 0 0 11 11
rm18 0 0 0 7 9
jaypor236 0 0 0 7 8
bigboydan 0 0 0 7 8
briguy42 0 0 0 5 7
gafl 0 0 0 3 3
tennis_balls 0 0 0 2 4
Lefty0829 0 0 0 2 2
Sam FT 0 0 0 2 2
planetplaytex 0 0 0 1 1
Tunes 0 0 0 1 2
32,768 32,768 32,768 32,768 135,974
A few observations: - Not all scenario are equally likely. Indeed some may beconsiderably more or less likely than others.
- It's mathematically impossible for 212 of this year 293 contestants to finish in the money.
- All of last year's 3 money place finishers (pags, imgv, and Ganchrow) have been eliminated from contention for 1st place. Ganchrow has been eliminated from contention entirely.
- Mulinello is currently tied for 29th place with coasty163 and Nightwolfkicksaz. Nevertheless, the second highest number of possible final outcomes (about 13.0%) have him winning 1st place or 2nd place (about 13.0%) .
- Over half of the remaining possible outcomes have Wade Wright winning 1st place.
- The highest score still possible is 343, attainable by both Wade Wright and Mulinello. The highest number of correct picks still possible is 56, attainable only by Wade Wright.
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03-18-07, 11:06 PM
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#2
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I haven't even paid attention to my bracket, but I am stunned to still have a chance. Thanks for getting this done Ganch!
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03-18-07, 11:54 PM
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#3
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Razz essentailly stole my Jim Carrey line:
"So you're telling me there's a chance."
(Of course for Jay Edgar, there actually isn't.)
Great job as always, General.
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03-19-07, 03:21 PM
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#4
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Bill@SportsbookReview.com
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I would just like to thank Ganchrow for putting me out of my misery. The only thing more pathetic than a loser is a loser who doesn’t know he's a loser with a false sense of hope. Thank you Ganch for sparing me the time, the emotions and the embarrassment. I'm going home now.
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03-19-07, 05:52 PM
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#5
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Dozer
I would just like to thank Ganchrow for putting me out of my misery. The only thing more pathetic than a loser is a loser who doesn’t know he's a loser with a false sense of hope. Thank you Ganch for sparing me the time, the emotions and the embarrassment. I'm going home now.
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No problem. BTW, you also might want to start thinking about giving up that modeling career. |
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03-20-07, 06:03 AM
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#6
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
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These are estimated SBR contest win percentages given various national champions. The first four numerical columns represent probabilities of finishing in 1st through 4th places respectively. The final column represents the current expected value of the given position. In other words, this is how much a risk neutral would theoretically be willing for the player's bracket entry.
Code:
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th $EV
Champ Prob
--ANY 100.00%--
Wade Wright 59.36% 17.48% 8.03% 4.74% $727.32
MAB 16.61% 16.88% 13.73% 11.09% $319.69
Mulinello 4.58% 10.26% 4.63% 4.01% $125.28
spliff 3.00% 2.49% 1.86% 2.04% $52.57
TboneJones 2.54% 3.80% 4.78% 5.15% $67.67
dmariner 0.83% 1.90% 4.94% 6.09% $40.65
BuddyBear 0.74% 14.16% 9.20% 8.34% $128.32
Ira Wilton 0.21% 3.35% 4.76% 5.86% $42.34
playaction 0.00% 10.20% 11.20% 2.89% $97.70
durito 0.00% 0.00% 6.21% 7.76% $26.38
--Butler(5) 1.08%--
Wade Wright 63.96% 16.12% 6.55% 4.54% $760.52
MAB 17.48% 21.97% 15.56% 11.74% $364.99
spliff 3.40% 3.09% 2.08% 1.75% $60.46
Mulinello 2.52% 7.43% 3.45% 1.85% $81.91
TboneJones 2.43% 4.51% 5.08% 5.03% $71.64
ryeguy 2.02% 4.01% 2.92% 4.11% $57.15
dmariner 1.91% 2.42% 8.89% 8.49% $68.74
tomc2356 0.00% 0.00% 7.25% 8.98% $30.72
Ira Wilton 0.00% 4.93% 5.00% 6.15% $50.72
playaction 0.00% 4.10% 6.69% 5.29% $49.95
begolf25 0.00% 0.29% 4.34% 4.26% $19.05
BuddyBear 0.00% 18.91% 10.95% 7.48% $153.75
--Florida(1) 22.02%--
Wade Wright 63.06% 19.86% 7.29% 4.54% $776.18
MAB 20.62% 25.27% 20.42% 11.97% $431.08
spliff 4.98% 4.45% 3.06% 2.54% $88.19
eboppterp 4.15% 3.00% 6.62% 4.36% $83.77
BuddyBear 3.37% 27.31% 16.02% 6.06% $251.71
88159 0.00% 1.64% 2.14% 5.51% $21.75
Ira Wilton 0.00% 4.47% 7.16% 9.79% $58.10
pags11 0.00% 0.00% 4.47% 2.24% $15.65
dmariner 0.00% 0.97% 6.06% 7.36% $31.34
--Georgetown(2) 9.29%--
MAB 65.10% 16.03% 13.00% 4.91% $791.11
Wade Wright 32.02% 45.34% 11.35% 5.00% $631.34
coasty163 1.28% 3.58% 6.95% 9.53% $64.62
Razz 0.69% 1.51% 4.04% 3.81% $31.94
scavsiu8 0.35% 2.45% 4.82% 5.57% $38.27
tomc2356 0.00% 0.41% 3.39% 12.17% $24.82
Pegasus 0.00% 1.46% 2.49% 6.74% $22.95
Shooter 0.00% 0.00% 4.39% 3.95% $17.11
dmariner 0.00% 1.03% 1.41% 6.19% $16.63
BuddyBear 0.00% 15.36% 20.58% 11.92% $165.85
--Kansas(1) 13.84%--
Wade Wright 53.91% 15.25% 9.25% 4.30% $662.60
MAB 13.26% 16.13% 16.98% 12.59% $292.95
barn8306 8.98% 7.65% 7.37% 6.70% $164.54
ryeguy 5.52% 5.65% 6.91% 6.58% $116.43
TboneJones 5.44% 10.43% 7.54% 8.59% $148.13
tbanaheimfan 4.05% 3.27% 5.83% 5.58% $83.24
spliff 3.68% 3.69% 1.98% 1.72% $66.62
Mulinello 2.13% 3.83% 2.84% 2.98% $55.77
dmariner 1.57% 1.55% 6.40% 5.20% $49.43
woodyb97 0.00% 6.38% 2.05% 2.38% $46.83
Ira Wilton 0.00% 6.04% 7.76% 6.09% $65.63
BuddyBear 0.00% 15.13% 7.44% 5.76% $118.86
--Memphis(2) 4.93%--
Wade Wright 32.79% 17.15% 10.10% 8.73% $469.89
MAB 15.78% 19.13% 19.18% 14.30% $344.46
sonnythekid 15.37% 6.02% 5.86% 8.41% $215.84
barn8306 8.33% 5.78% 6.52% 8.26% $145.85
eboppterp 7.32% 4.39% 9.00% 8.51% $135.13
TboneJones 6.75% 12.23% 11.97% 10.46% $187.30
spliff 5.36% 3.43% 1.56% 1.49% $80.28
Timolyn 1.20% 5.80% 3.36% 4.94% $61.81
dmariner 1.17% 6.35% 10.43% 5.08% $86.21
Ira Wilton 0.24% 0.93% 4.37% 2.60% $23.73
BuddyBear 0.00% 6.23% 2.45% 4.25% $49.00
--North Carolina(1) 13.54%--
Wade Wright 58.24% 14.88% 6.40% 5.99% $696.88
MAB 12.95% 19.04% 14.03% 14.93% $300.76
TboneJones 11.59% 13.88% 13.03% 11.03% $249.32
Mulinello 7.02% 4.19% 3.91% 2.39% $109.50
nasdaq888 2.10% 4.22% 2.46% 3.08% $56.80
dmariner 0.70% 3.92% 9.90% 8.55% $68.76
topher79 0.46% 3.81% 2.10% 3.78% $37.46
Ira Wilton 0.00% 5.54% 6.91% 5.92% $59.89
begolf25 0.00% 1.45% 7.75% 3.04% $34.96
BuddyBear 0.00% 16.21% 7.42% 7.94% $127.48
--Ohio St(1) 9.75%--
Wade Wright 39.39% 17.95% 19.32% 10.05% $569.65
MAB 24.88% 26.85% 17.31% 14.85% $476.71
dmariner 16.98% 17.57% 27.29% 13.25% $370.37
Ira Wilton 5.78% 19.48% 12.05% 11.71% $222.49
spliff 5.22% 4.31% 2.14% 3.78% $88.29
Timolyn 2.15% 3.38% 4.91% 4.84% $61.37
ryeguy 0.92% 4.30% 3.36% 2.37% $47.42
--Oregon(3) 2.88%--
nasdaq888 40.40% 23.26% 20.04% 5.42% $609.03
Wade Wright 20.45% 15.48% 21.06% 12.54% $373.12
Mulinello 20.11% 21.31% 6.44% 8.53% $356.78
MAB 11.09% 17.69% 18.73% 15.24% $288.48
barn8306 3.67% 6.36% 8.93% 8.08% $109.74
dmariner 0.06% 2.54% 3.78% 9.13% $36.26
playaction 0.00% 1.17% 2.34% 6.87% $20.89
--Pittsburgh(3) 2.88%--
sonnythekid 59.37% 27.32% 11.42% 1.62% $793.55
Wade Wright 37.32% 25.59% 6.54% 8.20% $554.61
Mulinello 3.15% 5.15% 7.55% 4.80% $89.85
spliff 0.15% 3.05% 2.95% 2.06% $30.69
Timolyn 0.00% 19.35% 26.81% 17.96% $214.50
MAB 0.00% 6.36% 14.18% 16.66% $97.39
Ira Wilton 0.00% 1.69% 5.71% 7.02% $34.28
TboneJones 0.00% 2.07% 5.02% 8.34% $35.83
topher79 0.00% 0.05% 5.06% 3.19% $18.66
BuddyBear 0.00% 6.04% 6.52% 7.14% $62.95
--Southern Cal(5) 1.43%--
Wade Wright 55.64% 14.22% 11.09% 7.33% $682.31
spliff 35.22% 31.71% 16.68% 9.14% $601.64
Mulinello 3.86% 4.32% 2.75% 1.89% $74.68
barn8306 1.60% 4.01% 2.41% 4.65% $51.96
MAB 1.31% 18.05% 21.52% 15.10% $201.07
dmariner 0.88% 3.28% 3.42% 18.70% $57.40
Ira Wilton 0.00% 5.91% 6.47% 5.02% $59.89
begolf25 0.00% 1.75% 5.42% 6.03% $32.80
BuddyBear 0.00% 8.47% 8.82% 8.26% $85.51
--Southern Illinois(4) 1.34%--
Wade Wright 73.66% 18.87% 4.14% 2.10% $864.38
Mulinello 14.01% 23.39% 11.32% 7.00% $321.41
nasdaq888 4.85% 8.96% 14.05% 12.79% $157.24
MAB 4.38% 16.23% 17.58% 14.85% $208.79
TboneJones 0.51% 2.45% 3.07% 5.67% $34.63
Ira Wilton 0.00% 3.68% 3.97% 5.69% $39.64
awol256 0.00% 1.12% 2.91% 7.47% $22.91
playaction 0.00% 4.63% 12.11% 4.55% $68.64
BuddyBear 0.00% 10.14% 10.45% 9.05% $101.24
--Tennessee(5) 2.19%--
Wade Wright 44.94% 16.60% 18.02% 9.16% $612.24
Dead Money 36.94% 22.00% 20.28% 11.27% $573.49
MAB 7.21% 21.33% 21.84% 16.09% $281.63
Mulinello 5.78% 7.46% 3.97% 2.91% $117.37
barn8306 1.26% 3.99% 6.76% 5.52% $62.34
dmariner 0.45% 0.22% 0.61% 9.58% $17.20
Ira Wilton 0.00% 0.00% 1.98% 11.49% $17.44
BuddyBear 0.00% 20.87% 13.85% 12.84% $179.65
--Texas A&M(3) 6.33%--
Wade Wright 88.95% 5.94% 2.37% 1.42% $933.71
Mulinello 4.85% 31.19% 11.60% 6.23% $276.66
dmariner 3.01% 2.65% 3.06% 6.92% $62.08
MAB 0.78% 2.14% 2.44% 3.36% $31.36
thealgrod 0.00% 10.44% 24.79% 14.05% $151.06
durito 0.00% 0.00% 9.01% 28.90% $55.94
playaction 0.00% 36.62% 32.28% 17.45% $334.00
BuddyBear 0.00% 7.06% 4.52% 3.66% $59.57
begolf25 0.00% 0.00% 5.50% 4.32% $20.80
--UCLA(2) 7.36%--
Wade Wright 62.14% 9.98% 3.96% 5.91% $699.07
MAB 14.87% 8.90% 16.43% 11.14% $262.50
mathewvick 7.42% 14.01% 21.35% 15.49% $237.79
tomc2356 5.84% 28.01% 16.65% 8.83% $285.18
batlak 2.45% 2.50% 5.22% 5.97% $61.09
dmariner 0.00% 6.34% 12.75% 21.01% $97.32
begolf25 0.00% 6.95% 9.68% 9.75% $80.51
BuddyBear 0.00% 11.45% 4.87% 9.64% $92.96
--UNLV(7) 1.14%--
kissthecup 71.67% 27.81% 0.52% 0.00% $885.10
Wade Wright 28.26% 66.88% 4.62% 0.24% $697.94
Mulinello 0.08% 0.53% 3.09% 3.72% $16.94
Timolyn 0.00% 0.00% 0.31% 2.37% $3.32
Crayzee 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 6.32% $6.32
MAB 0.00% 0.00% 15.50% 13.94% $60.43
Ira Wilton 0.00% 0.00% 11.57% 12.58% $47.30
playaction 0.00% 0.00% 1.68% 5.25% $10.28
TboneJones 0.00% 1.21% 5.06% 5.29% $27.72
ryeguy 0.00% 1.60% 10.00% 5.98% $45.58
begolf25 0.00% 0.00% 0.69% 10.28% $12.34
BuddyBear 0.00% 0.00% 38.65% 19.12% $135.06
--Vanderbilt(6) 1.08%--
Wade Wright 55.71% 17.84% 7.02% 4.43% $689.65
Mulinello 15.53% 9.36% 5.54% 3.68% $231.70
MAB 10.43% 19.87% 13.67% 17.23% $281.75
eboppterp 7.53% 5.95% 7.58% 9.81% $143.59
ryeguy 2.97% 16.87% 8.21% 7.98% $163.58
tbanaheimfan 2.16% 2.04% 4.94% 7.34% $56.00
dmariner 0.94% 3.68% 12.15% 8.33% $76.21
Ira Wilton 0.00% 3.45% 8.25% 5.16% $50.60
BuddyBear 0.00% 11.13% 11.78% 6.30% $108.42
begolf25 0.00% 1.26% 4.40% 6.71% $27.46
Note: - Percentages are based solely on Pinnacle money lines current at about 8AM EDT Monday morning and ignore specific match-up dependent criteria.
- Technically speaking, the "probabilities" are actually the share of the given place the player expects (which in most cases this will be very close to the probability). This means that if two player had locked up ties for first and second places, each player's "share" of first place would be 50% as would each player's share of seconds place. In this manner the "probability" for any given scenario will all sum to 100%.
- The final column represents the current expected value or "fair price" of the given position. In other words, this is the maximum dollar amount a risk neutral individual would theoretically be willing for the player's bracket entry.
- Because no Pinnacle money were available for national semi-final results, all 16 remaining schools were judged equally probable of winning that round should they make it that far. This means that stronger teams will be judged with relatively too low a conditional probability of making the finals, and relatively too high a conditional probability of winning the finals.
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03-20-07, 03:44 PM
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#7
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I think I am starting to understand... I am not going to win   |
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03-21-07, 04:24 AM
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#8
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jonathan
I think I am starting to understand... I am not going to win |
You could win some other contest ... you just need to pay attention to the weather report. |
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03-22-07, 11:39 PM
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#9
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
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And spliff takes the lead ...
Code:
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
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spliff 32.69% 25.48% 16.17% 11.44% $539.74
Wade Wright 27.05% 13.37% 8.93% 19.08% $396.65
MAB 13.03% 19.37% 20.77% 11.61% $320.42
eboppterp 7.18% 12.44% 12.92% 11.79% $196.98
ryeguy 4.70% 13.67% 14.07% 3.48% $174.76
Mulinello 4.52% 6.37% 1.94% 0.35% $89.57
tbanaheimfan 2.91% 1.56% 6.43% 9.07% $66.81
nasdaq888 3.05% 2.78% 3.15% 2.31% $58.97
barn8306 2.51% 2.26% 5.34% 3.36% $58.03
kissthecup 2.13% 0.41% 2.20% 1.57% $31.90
Ira Wilton 0.00% 0.15% 3.68% 12.45% $24.41
Orange* 0.00% 0.92% 1.39% 1.80% $11.50
dmariner 0.17% 0.35% 0.57% 4.49% $10.03
TboneJones 0.05% 0.45% 0.59% 3.11% $8.17
BuddyBear 0.00% 0.15% 1.43% 2.35% $7.56
Razz 0.00% 0.23% 0.23% 0.27% $2.37
DoctorJ 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.54% $0.54
fitchjr1 0.00% 0.03% 0.10% 0.02% $0.49
88159 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.38% $0.38
scavsiu8 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.23% $0.23
bearwins1 0.00% 0.00% 0.04% 0.04% $0.16
Crayzee 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.07% $0.13
sonnythekid 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.13% $0.13
tomc2356 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% $0.04
Shooter 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% $0.02
*SBR Employee
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03-22-07, 11:54 PM
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#10
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Looks like I have been officially eliminated.  |
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03-24-07, 07:45 AM
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#11
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
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There's a new Sheriff in town, and his name is MAB:
Code:
--ANY 100.00%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 88.94% 7.47% 2.92% 0.67% $943.69
Wade Wright 0.00% 39.32% 30.62% 15.15% $342.95
eboppterp 0.00% 19.20% 9.58% 8.65% $152.58
TboneJones 3.22% 10.39% 6.48% 10.57% $124.57
dmariner 0.16% 8.97% 13.57% 20.36% $116.50
barn8306 3.32% 3.94% 5.64% 3.35% $77.16
nasdaq888 3.60% 2.56% 2.05% 2.10% $59.63
88159 0.00% 1.39% 5.70% 7.82% $33.28
mathewvick 0.55% 2.16% 1.37% 1.65% $24.19
sonnythekid 0.00% 0.00% 5.07% 4.06% $19.25
spliff 0.00% 1.94% 1.20% 2.75% $17.99
tbanaheimfan 0.00% 0.37% 3.21% 2.62% $14.47
DoctorJ 0.00% 0.00% 4.39% 0.67% $13.83
36crazyfists 0.00% 0.00% 3.56% 2.47% $13.15
tomc2356 0.00% 1.15% 0.40% 0.62% $8.73
batlak 0.20% 0.50% 0.57% 0.64% $7.35
Shooter 0.00% 0.00% 2.14% 0.00% $6.41
Nightwolfkicksa 0.00% 0.00% 0.20% 5.42% $6.01
BigD 0.00% 0.00% 0.88% 0.34% $2.99
rezster 0.00% 0.27% 0.39% 0.11% $2.91
Sam FT 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.42% $2.42
patswin 0.00% 0.36% 0.00% 0.15% $2.32
Pegasus 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.06% $2.06
gafl 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.73% $1.73
Santo 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.55% $1.55
jaypor236 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.85% $0.85
Razz 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.83% $0.83
Hilltopper 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.28% $0.50
michiganfan08 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.10% $0.10
--Florida(1) Nat Champion 24.00%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% $1,000.0
Wade Wright 0.00% 55.09% 22.06% 22.84% $419.59
eboppterp 0.00% 25.62% 19.09% 0.00% $211.02
88159 0.00% 6.54% 16.74% 11.56% $101.02
dmariner 0.00% 3.64% 16.68% 10.19% $82.06
spliff 0.00% 9.11% 5.64% 4.99% $76.54
36crazyfists 0.00% 0.00% 7.05% 10.90% $32.06
DoctorJ 0.00% 0.00% 8.69% 3.13% $29.20
Sam FT 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 11.38% $11.38
Santo 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 7.28% $7.28
--Georgetown(2) Nat Champion 9.92%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% $1,000.0
Wade Wright 0.00% 83.01% 16.99% 0.00% $549.03
dmariner 0.00% 6.16% 3.60% 35.56% $83.30
DoctorJ 0.00% 0.00% 27.16% 0.00% $81.48
Shooter 0.00% 0.00% 22.85% 0.00% $68.54
36crazyfists 0.00% 0.00% 22.04% 1.57% $67.70
barn8306 0.00% 8.41% 4.03% 2.42% $64.98
nasdaq888 0.00% 2.42% 1.93% 1.96% $22.27
Pegasus 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 22.04% $22.04
tomc2356 0.00% 0.00% 1.40% 6.68% $10.88
TboneJones 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 10.24% $10.24
Razz 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 8.91% $8.91
gafl 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 7.55% $7.55
batlak 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.86% $0.86
--Kansas(1) Nat Champion 15.92%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 72.82% 20.05% 5.56% 1.56% $866.80
barn8306 19.17% 8.89% 30.18% 10.75% $346.30
TboneJones 8.01% 26.84% 9.25% 19.63% $288.48
Wade Wright 0.00% 31.36% 21.09% 8.39% $259.83
dmariner 0.00% 8.86% 8.94% 16.62% $96.57
tbanaheimfan 0.00% 4.00% 15.43% 20.81% $91.13
BigD 0.00% 0.00% 9.55% 3.73% $32.39
sonnythekid 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 11.92% $11.92
--Memphis(2) Nat Champion 17.59%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 85.60% 14.40% 0.00% 0.00% $942.41
dmariner 4.03% 28.12% 8.03% 0.00% $233.17
Wade Wright 0.00% 24.49% 17.39% 28.40% $227.48
TboneJones 0.00% 26.58% 10.36% 22.76% $213.31
barn8306 10.36% 6.42% 3.22% 14.05% $165.85
eboppterp 0.00% 0.00% 39.55% 10.36% $129.03
sonnythekid 0.00% 0.00% 16.45% 6.42% $55.77
Nightwolfkicksa 0.00% 0.00% 4.99% 9.68% $24.64
batlak 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 3.22% $3.22
--North Carolina(1) Nat Champion 18.53%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 81.39% 12.65% 3.99% 1.96% $903.78
TboneJones 14.23% 39.30% 24.92% 13.46% $466.28
Wade Wright 0.00% 29.40% 18.93% 25.23% $258.43
dmariner 0.00% 9.59% 20.58% 22.05% $141.33
nasdaq888 4.38% 3.50% 0.00% 4.92% $69.73
barn8306 0.00% 3.99% 6.88% 2.42% $47.01
88159 0.00% 0.00% 12.25% 10.24% $47.00
tbanaheimfan 0.00% 0.00% 10.24% 3.99% $34.70
eboppterp 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 9.79% $9.79
--Ohio St(1) Nat Champion 10.63%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 95.45% 4.55% 0.00% 0.00% $981.80
dmariner 2.46% 64.25% 33.29% 0.00% $509.94
Wade Wright 0.00% 29.11% 55.77% 7.24% $349.20
Nightwolfkicksa 0.00% 0.00% 3.04% 54.44% $63.55
nasdaq888 2.09% 2.09% 5.94% 0.00% $51.30
spliff 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 26.14% $26.14
batlak 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.59% $0.59
--Oregon(3) Nat Champion 4.19%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
nasdaq888 72.71% 27.29% 0.00% 0.00% $890.85
MAB 27.29% 54.42% 18.29% 0.00% $654.28
barn8306 0.00% 18.29% 15.76% 23.76% $180.80
Wade Wright 0.00% 0.00% 34.23% 31.96% $134.65
dmariner 0.00% 0.00% 18.38% 18.49% $73.61
eboppterp 0.00% 0.00% 11.38% 7.12% $41.26
Hilltopper 0.00% 0.00% 1.96% 7.51% $13.39
TboneJones 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 11.17% $11.17
--UCLA(2) Nat Champion 8.93%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 85.55% 2.14% 8.86% 3.45% $898.37
mathewvick 10.58% 41.63% 26.45% 14.96% $449.95
dmariner 0.00% 8.86% 40.66% 25.67% $200.78
tomc2356 0.00% 22.19% 5.21% 0.00% $148.79
batlak 3.86% 9.63% 11.07% 8.26% $137.94
Wade Wright 0.00% 8.57% 7.75% 29.02% $103.73
patswin 0.00% 6.97% 0.00% 0.00% $41.82
eboppterp 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 13.85% $13.85
Nightwolfkicksa 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 4.78% $4.78
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03-26-07, 06:12 AM
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#12
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Texans +9, ML
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Congrats, MAB. I'm glad a forum regular will take down 1st place in all likelyhood.
__________________
Give a hoot — don't pollute!
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03-26-07, 09:17 AM
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#13
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
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Congratulations to MAB on clinching a share of first place in the 2007 SBR NCAA Tournament Bracket contest with (so far) 52 wins and 264 points
For each specific remaining outcome:
Code:
--ANY 100.00%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 95.84% 4.16% 0.00% 0.00% $983.37
Wade Wright 0.00% 62.59% 7.44% 11.99% $409.84
dmariner 4.16% 11.60% 43.37% 22.57% $263.83
mathewvick 0.00% 11.03% 10.63% 0.00% $98.07
DoctorJ 0.00% 0.00% 30.25% 0.00% $90.74
tomc2356 0.00% 10.63% 0.00% 3.72% $67.49
Nightwolfkicksa 0.00% 0.00% 8.31% 39.74% $64.68
36crazyfists 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 18.30% $18.30
--Florida over Georgetown in Finals 18.30%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% $1,000.0
Wade Wright 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% $600.00
DoctorJ 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% $300.00
36crazyfists 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% $100.00
--Florida over Ohio St in Finals 19.00%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% $1,000.0
Wade Wright 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% $600.00
dmariner 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% $300.00
Nightwolfkicksa 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% $100.00
--Georgetown over Florida in Finals 11.94%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% $1,000.0
Wade Wright 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% $600.00
DoctorJ 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% $300.00
dmariner 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% $100.00
--Georgetown over UCLA in Finals 7.44%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% $1,000.0
dmariner 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% $600.00
Wade Wright 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% $300.00
Nightwolfkicksa 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 50.00% $50.00
tomc2356 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 50.00% $50.00
--Ohio St over Florida in Finals 13.35%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% $1,000.0
Wade Wright 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% $600.00
dmariner 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% $300.00
Nightwolfkicksa 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% $100.00
--Ohio St over UCLA in Finals 8.31%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 50.00% 50.00% 0.00% 0.00% $800.00
dmariner 50.00% 50.00% 0.00% 0.00% $800.00
Nightwolfkicksa 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% $300.00
Wade Wright 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% $100.00
--UCLA over Georgetownin Finals 10.63%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% $1,000.0
tomc2356 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% $600.00
mathewvick 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% $300.00
dmariner 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% $100.00
--UCLA over Ohio St in Finals 11.03%--
Player 1st 2nd 3rd 4th EV $
MAB 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% $1,000.0
mathewvick 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% $600.00
dmariner 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% $300.00
Nightwolfkicksa 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 33.33% $33.33
Wade Wright 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 33.33% $33.33
batlak 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 33.33% $33.33
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04-02-07, 09:12 AM
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#14
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
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Regardless of the outcome of tonight's game, contest winners are:
- MAB $1,000
- Wade Wright $600
- dmariner $300
- Nightwolfkicksa $100
Congratulations to all. |
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Linear Mode
