2007 Bracket Scenario Analysis

Ganchrow · 03-18-2007, 07:30 PM

The following is a breakdown by player of the number of winning scenarios out of the 32,768 remaining. The first through fourth columns following the player's name correspond to the number of 1^st through 4^th place finishes finishes respectively. (Note that if for example, two players tie for first place, then in this analysis each would receive credit for half of both first and second places. The next closest place in the rankings would then only receive credit for third place.) The last column represents the number of scenarios in which the player places in ANY money position (either alone or jointly).

Code:

Player  	1^st	2^nd	3^rd	 4^th	 Any
------------------------------------------------------						
Wade Wright	16,470	6,878	3,086	1,760	28,441	
Mulinello	4,269	4,414	2,105	1,580	12,560	
MAB     	2,106	2,887	3,375	3,710	12,619	
spliff  	1,515	2,400	1,812	1,379	7,221	
sonnythekid	1,467	1,088	844	747	4,240	
kissthecup	1,425	601	211	263	2,556	
nasdaq888	1,278	1,563	1,335	1,117	5,515	
ryeguy  	921	2,136	2,328	1,786	7,405	
barn8306	704	891	1,318	1,248	4,303	
eboppterp	556	674	926	984	3,238	
Dead Money	391	549	382	245	1,580	
dmariner	313	632	1,193	1,696	4,207	
TboneJones	259	536	824	1,082	3,037	
Timolyn 	199	523	1,042	1,107	3,024	
tbanaheimfan	142	265	405	591	1,557
sportsfreek	114	362	440	573	1,618
mathewvick	101	213	335	388	1,082
batlak  	91	98	159	223	656
Ira Wilton	77	784	1,495	1,947	4,606
tomc2356	60	377	564	676	1,831
scavsiu8	46	181	501	682	1,471
Orange  	46	237	482	614	1,448
BuddyBear	40	2,962	3,410	2,623	9,293
angeloperrucci	34	28	28	37	137
juuso   	32	55	100	123	334
Razz    	29	84	134	190	471
coasty163	28	83	204	373	736
Hilltopper	16	30	54	87	198
runningmark	14	46	90	142	323
topher79	12	74	127	224	487
astro219	5	22	61	64	167
patswin 	4	9	11	22	48
fitchjr1	4	8	8	28	51
rezster 	2	12	20	23	74
playaction	0	690	1,703	867	3,336
begolf25	0	138	670	1,078	2,112
Crayzee 	0	88	231	431	783
thealgrod	0	48	219	646	953
awol256 	0	24	103	227	369
woodyb97	0	24	22	19	69
Mr Nuts 	0	13	50	100	170
Junkyard Dog	0	13	15	21	50
bigpino62	0	6	36	92	148
Pegasus 	0	6	29	84	132
88159   	0	5	21	60	97
tblues2005	0	5	8	26	41
yellowdragon	0	3	1	11	16
jfnoonan27	0	2	6	5	14
Willie Bee	0	2	2	6	11
Santo   	0	1	2	27	40
romeydave	0	1	8	7	17
durito  	0	0	97	372	523
DoctorJ 	0	0	32	36	70
pags11  	0	0	27	45	82
bearwins1	0	0	24	49	83
Nightwolfkicksa	0	0	11	53	69
Shooter 	0	0	11	23	34
36crazyfists	0	0	10	24	38
moegreen	0	0	3	11	17
Razorbacks1	0	0	3	9	15
imgv94  	0	0	3	4	7
goodyisgood	0	0	3	21	30
Rosemary	0	0	3	6	11
Illusion	0	0	2	15	17
madmaxx 	0	0	2	3	7
Dbldown11	0	0	2	3	6
michiganfan08	0	0	2	2	4
BigD    	0	0	1	4	5
Cigz68  	0	0	1	3	4
locinator	0	0	1	2	3
belton  	0	0	0	11	11
rm18    	0	0	0	7	9
jaypor236	0	0	0	7	8
bigboydan	0	0	0	7	8
briguy42	0	0	0	5	7
gafl    	0	0	0	3	3
tennis_balls	0	0	0	2	4
Lefty0829	0	0	0	2	2
Sam FT  	0	0	0	2	2	
planetplaytex	0	0	0	1	1	
Tunes   	0	0	0	1	2	
		32,768	32,768	32,768	32,768	135,974

A few observations:

Not all scenario are equally likely. Indeed some may beconsiderably more or less likely than others.
It's mathematically impossible for 212 of this year 293 contestants to finish in the money.
All of last year's 3 money place finishers (pags, imgv, and Ganchrow) have been eliminated from contention for 1^st place. Ganchrow has been eliminated from contention entirely.
Mulinello is currently tied for 29^th place with coasty163 and Nightwolfkicksaz. Nevertheless, the second highest number of possible final outcomes (about 13.0%) have him winning 1^st place or 2^nd place (about 13.0%) .
Over half of the remaining possible outcomes have Wade Wright winning 1^st place.
The highest score still possible is 343, attainable by both Wade Wright and Mulinello. The highest number of correct picks still possible is 56, attainable only by Wade Wright.

Razz · 03-18-2007, 11:06 PM

I haven't even paid attention to my bracket, but I am stunned to still have a chance. Thanks for getting this done Ganch!

Jay Edgar · 03-18-2007, 11:54 PM

Razz essentailly stole my Jim Carrey line:

"So you're telling me there's a chance."

(Of course for Jay Edgar, there actually isn't.)

Great job as always, General.

Bill Dozer · 03-19-2007, 03:21 PM

I would just like to thank Ganchrow for putting me out of my misery. The only thing more pathetic than a loser is a loser who doesn’t know he's a loser with a false sense of hope. Thank you Ganch for sparing me the time, the emotions and the embarrassment. I'm going home now.

Ganchrow · 03-19-2007, 05:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill Dozer

I would just like to thank Ganchrow for putting me out of my misery. The only thing more pathetic than a loser is a loser who doesn’t know he's a loser with a false sense of hope. Thank you Ganch for sparing me the time, the emotions and the embarrassment. I'm going home now.

No problem. BTW, you also might want to start thinking about giving up that modeling career.

Ganchrow · 03-20-2007, 06:03 AM

These are estimated SBR contest win percentages given various national champions. The first four numerical columns represent probabilities of finishing in 1st through 4th places respectively. The final column represents the current expected value of the given position. In other words, this is how much a risk neutral would theoretically be willing for the player's bracket entry.

Code:

Player  	1^st	2^nd	3^rd	 4^th	 $EV    
  Champ Prob
--ANY 100.00%--
Wade Wright    	59.36%	17.48%	8.03%	4.74%	$727.32
MAB            	16.61%	16.88%	13.73%	11.09%	$319.69
Mulinello      	4.58%	10.26%	4.63%	4.01%	$125.28
spliff         	3.00%	2.49%	1.86%	2.04%	$52.57
TboneJones     	2.54%	3.80%	4.78%	5.15%	$67.67
dmariner       	0.83%	1.90%	4.94%	6.09%	$40.65
BuddyBear      	0.74%	14.16%	9.20%	8.34%	$128.32
Ira Wilton     	0.21%	3.35%	4.76%	5.86%	$42.34
playaction     	0.00%	10.20%	11.20%	2.89%	$97.70
durito         	0.00%	0.00%	6.21%	7.76%	$26.38

--Butler(5) 1.08%--
Wade Wright    	63.96%	16.12%	6.55%	4.54%	$760.52
MAB            	17.48%	21.97%	15.56%	11.74%	$364.99
spliff         	3.40%	3.09%	2.08%	1.75%	$60.46
Mulinello      	2.52%	7.43%	3.45%	1.85%	$81.91
TboneJones     	2.43%	4.51%	5.08%	5.03%	$71.64
ryeguy         	2.02%	4.01%	2.92%	4.11%	$57.15
dmariner       	1.91%	2.42%	8.89%	8.49%	$68.74
tomc2356       	0.00%	0.00%	7.25%	8.98%	$30.72
Ira Wilton     	0.00%	4.93%	5.00%	6.15%	$50.72
playaction     	0.00%	4.10%	6.69%	5.29%	$49.95
begolf25       	0.00%	0.29%	4.34%	4.26%	$19.05
BuddyBear      	0.00%	18.91%	10.95%	7.48%	$153.75

--Florida(1) 22.02%--
Wade Wright    	63.06%	19.86%	7.29%	4.54%	$776.18
MAB            	20.62%	25.27%	20.42%	11.97%	$431.08
spliff         	4.98%	4.45%	3.06%	2.54%	$88.19
eboppterp      	4.15%	3.00%	6.62%	4.36%	$83.77
BuddyBear      	3.37%	27.31%	16.02%	6.06%	$251.71
88159          	0.00%	1.64%	2.14%	5.51%	$21.75
Ira Wilton     	0.00%	4.47%	7.16%	9.79%	$58.10
pags11         	0.00%	0.00%	4.47%	2.24%	$15.65
dmariner       	0.00%	0.97%	6.06%	7.36%	$31.34

--Georgetown(2) 9.29%--
MAB            	65.10%	16.03%	13.00%	4.91%	$791.11
Wade Wright    	32.02%	45.34%	11.35%	5.00%	$631.34
coasty163      	1.28%	3.58%	6.95%	9.53%	$64.62
Razz           	0.69%	1.51%	4.04%	3.81%	$31.94
scavsiu8       	0.35%	2.45%	4.82%	5.57%	$38.27
tomc2356       	0.00%	0.41%	3.39%	12.17%	$24.82
Pegasus        	0.00%	1.46%	2.49%	6.74%	$22.95
Shooter        	0.00%	0.00%	4.39%	3.95%	$17.11
dmariner       	0.00%	1.03%	1.41%	6.19%	$16.63
BuddyBear      	0.00%	15.36%	20.58%	11.92%	$165.85

--Kansas(1) 13.84%--
Wade Wright    	53.91%	15.25%	9.25%	4.30%	$662.60
MAB            	13.26%	16.13%	16.98%	12.59%	$292.95
barn8306       	8.98%	7.65%	7.37%	6.70%	$164.54
ryeguy         	5.52%	5.65%	6.91%	6.58%	$116.43
TboneJones     	5.44%	10.43%	7.54%	8.59%	$148.13
tbanaheimfan   	4.05%	3.27%	5.83%	5.58%	$83.24
spliff         	3.68%	3.69%	1.98%	1.72%	$66.62
Mulinello      	2.13%	3.83%	2.84%	2.98%	$55.77
dmariner       	1.57%	1.55%	6.40%	5.20%	$49.43
woodyb97       	0.00%	6.38%	2.05%	2.38%	$46.83
Ira Wilton     	0.00%	6.04%	7.76%	6.09%	$65.63
BuddyBear      	0.00%	15.13%	7.44%	5.76%	$118.86

--Memphis(2) 4.93%--
Wade Wright    	32.79%	17.15%	10.10%	8.73%	$469.89
MAB            	15.78%	19.13%	19.18%	14.30%	$344.46
sonnythekid    	15.37%	6.02%	5.86%	8.41%	$215.84
barn8306       	8.33%	5.78%	6.52%	8.26%	$145.85
eboppterp      	7.32%	4.39%	9.00%	8.51%	$135.13
TboneJones     	6.75%	12.23%	11.97%	10.46%	$187.30
spliff         	5.36%	3.43%	1.56%	1.49%	$80.28
Timolyn        	1.20%	5.80%	3.36%	4.94%	$61.81
dmariner       	1.17%	6.35%	10.43%	5.08%	$86.21
Ira Wilton     	0.24%	0.93%	4.37%	2.60%	$23.73
BuddyBear      	0.00%	6.23%	2.45%	4.25%	$49.00

--North Carolina(1) 13.54%--
Wade Wright    	58.24%	14.88%	6.40%	5.99%	$696.88
MAB            	12.95%	19.04%	14.03%	14.93%	$300.76
TboneJones     	11.59%	13.88%	13.03%	11.03%	$249.32
Mulinello      	7.02%	4.19%	3.91%	2.39%	$109.50
nasdaq888      	2.10%	4.22%	2.46%	3.08%	$56.80
dmariner       	0.70%	3.92%	9.90%	8.55%	$68.76
topher79       	0.46%	3.81%	2.10%	3.78%	$37.46
Ira Wilton     	0.00%	5.54%	6.91%	5.92%	$59.89
begolf25       	0.00%	1.45%	7.75%	3.04%	$34.96
BuddyBear      	0.00%	16.21%	7.42%	7.94%	$127.48

--Ohio St(1) 9.75%--
Wade Wright    	39.39%	17.95%	19.32%	10.05%	$569.65
MAB            	24.88%	26.85%	17.31%	14.85%	$476.71
dmariner       	16.98%	17.57%	27.29%	13.25%	$370.37
Ira Wilton     	5.78%	19.48%	12.05%	11.71%	$222.49
spliff         	5.22%	4.31%	2.14%	3.78%	$88.29
Timolyn        	2.15%	3.38%	4.91%	4.84%	$61.37
ryeguy         	0.92%	4.30%	3.36%	2.37%	$47.42

--Oregon(3) 2.88%--
nasdaq888      	40.40%	23.26%	20.04%	5.42%	$609.03
Wade Wright    	20.45%	15.48%	21.06%	12.54%	$373.12
Mulinello      	20.11%	21.31%	6.44%	8.53%	$356.78
MAB            	11.09%	17.69%	18.73%	15.24%	$288.48
barn8306       	3.67%	6.36%	8.93%	8.08%	$109.74
dmariner       	0.06%	2.54%	3.78%	9.13%	$36.26
playaction     	0.00%	1.17%	2.34%	6.87%	$20.89

--Pittsburgh(3) 2.88%--
sonnythekid    	59.37%	27.32%	11.42%	1.62%	$793.55
Wade Wright    	37.32%	25.59%	6.54%	8.20%	$554.61
Mulinello      	3.15%	5.15%	7.55%	4.80%	$89.85
spliff         	0.15%	3.05%	2.95%	2.06%	$30.69
Timolyn        	0.00%	19.35%	26.81%	17.96%	$214.50
MAB            	0.00%	6.36%	14.18%	16.66%	$97.39
Ira Wilton     	0.00%	1.69%	5.71%	7.02%	$34.28
TboneJones     	0.00%	2.07%	5.02%	8.34%	$35.83
topher79       	0.00%	0.05%	5.06%	3.19%	$18.66
BuddyBear      	0.00%	6.04%	6.52%	7.14%	$62.95

--Southern Cal(5) 1.43%--
Wade Wright    	55.64%	14.22%	11.09%	7.33%	$682.31
spliff         	35.22%	31.71%	16.68%	9.14%	$601.64
Mulinello      	3.86%	4.32%	2.75%	1.89%	$74.68
barn8306       	1.60%	4.01%	2.41%	4.65%	$51.96
MAB            	1.31%	18.05%	21.52%	15.10%	$201.07
dmariner       	0.88%	3.28%	3.42%	18.70%	$57.40
Ira Wilton     	0.00%	5.91%	6.47%	5.02%	$59.89
begolf25       	0.00%	1.75%	5.42%	6.03%	$32.80
BuddyBear      	0.00%	8.47%	8.82%	8.26%	$85.51

--Southern Illinois(4) 1.34%--
Wade Wright    	73.66%	18.87%	4.14%	2.10%	$864.38
Mulinello      	14.01%	23.39%	11.32%	7.00%	$321.41
nasdaq888      	4.85%	8.96%	14.05%	12.79%	$157.24
MAB            	4.38%	16.23%	17.58%	14.85%	$208.79
TboneJones     	0.51%	2.45%	3.07%	5.67%	$34.63
Ira Wilton     	0.00%	3.68%	3.97%	5.69%	$39.64
awol256        	0.00%	1.12%	2.91%	7.47%	$22.91
playaction     	0.00%	4.63%	12.11%	4.55%	$68.64
BuddyBear      	0.00%	10.14%	10.45%	9.05%	$101.24

--Tennessee(5) 2.19%--
Wade Wright    	44.94%	16.60%	18.02%	9.16%	$612.24
Dead Money     	36.94%	22.00%	20.28%	11.27%	$573.49
MAB            	7.21%	21.33%	21.84%	16.09%	$281.63
Mulinello      	5.78%	7.46%	3.97%	2.91%	$117.37
barn8306       	1.26%	3.99%	6.76%	5.52%	$62.34
dmariner       	0.45%	0.22%	0.61%	9.58%	$17.20
Ira Wilton     	0.00%	0.00%	1.98%	11.49%	$17.44
BuddyBear      	0.00%	20.87%	13.85%	12.84%	$179.65

--Texas A&M(3) 6.33%--
Wade Wright    	88.95%	5.94%	2.37%	1.42%	$933.71
Mulinello      	4.85%	31.19%	11.60%	6.23%	$276.66
dmariner       	3.01%	2.65%	3.06%	6.92%	$62.08
MAB            	0.78%	2.14%	2.44%	3.36%	$31.36
thealgrod      	0.00%	10.44%	24.79%	14.05%	$151.06
durito         	0.00%	0.00%	9.01%	28.90%	$55.94
playaction     	0.00%	36.62%	32.28%	17.45%	$334.00
BuddyBear      	0.00%	7.06%	4.52%	3.66%	$59.57
begolf25       	0.00%	0.00%	5.50%	4.32%	$20.80

--UCLA(2) 7.36%--
Wade Wright    	62.14%	9.98%	3.96%	5.91%	$699.07
MAB            	14.87%	8.90%	16.43%	11.14%	$262.50
mathewvick     	7.42%	14.01%	21.35%	15.49%	$237.79
tomc2356       	5.84%	28.01%	16.65%	8.83%	$285.18
batlak         	2.45%	2.50%	5.22%	5.97%	$61.09
dmariner       	0.00%	6.34%	12.75%	21.01%	$97.32
begolf25       	0.00%	6.95%	9.68%	9.75%	$80.51
BuddyBear      	0.00%	11.45%	4.87%	9.64%	$92.96

--UNLV(7) 1.14%--
kissthecup     	71.67%	27.81%	0.52%	0.00%	$885.10
Wade Wright    	28.26%	66.88%	4.62%	0.24%	$697.94
Mulinello      	0.08%	0.53%	3.09%	3.72%	$16.94
Timolyn        	0.00%	0.00%	0.31%	2.37%	$3.32
Crayzee        	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	6.32%	$6.32
MAB            	0.00%	0.00%	15.50%	13.94%	$60.43
Ira Wilton     	0.00%	0.00%	11.57%	12.58%	$47.30
playaction     	0.00%	0.00%	1.68%	5.25%	$10.28
TboneJones     	0.00%	1.21%	5.06%	5.29%	$27.72
ryeguy         	0.00%	1.60%	10.00%	5.98%	$45.58
begolf25       	0.00%	0.00%	0.69%	10.28%	$12.34
BuddyBear      	0.00%	0.00%	38.65%	19.12%	$135.06

--Vanderbilt(6) 1.08%--
Wade Wright    	55.71%	17.84%	7.02%	4.43%	$689.65
Mulinello      	15.53%	9.36%	5.54%	3.68%	$231.70
MAB            	10.43%	19.87%	13.67%	17.23%	$281.75
eboppterp      	7.53%	5.95%	7.58%	9.81%	$143.59
ryeguy         	2.97%	16.87%	8.21%	7.98%	$163.58
tbanaheimfan   	2.16%	2.04%	4.94%	7.34%	$56.00
dmariner       	0.94%	3.68%	12.15%	8.33%	$76.21
Ira Wilton     	0.00%	3.45%	8.25%	5.16%	$50.60
BuddyBear      	0.00%	11.13%	11.78%	6.30%	$108.42
begolf25       	0.00%	1.26%	4.40%	6.71%	$27.46

Note:

Percentages are based solely on Pinnacle money lines current at about 8AM EDT Monday morning and ignore specific match-up dependent criteria.
Technically speaking, the "probabilities" are actually the share of the given place the player expects (which in most cases this will be very close to the probability). This means that if two player had locked up ties for first and second places, each player's "share" of first place would be 50% as would each player's share of seconds place. In this manner the "probability" for any given scenario will all sum to 100%.
The final column represents the current expected value or "fair price" of the given position. In other words, this is the maximum dollar amount a risk neutral individual would theoretically be willing for the player's bracket entry.
Because no Pinnacle money were available for national semi-final results, all 16 remaining schools were judged equally probable of winning that round should they make it that far. This means that stronger teams will be judged with relatively too low a conditional probability of making the finals, and relatively too high a conditional probability of winning the finals.

Jonathan · 03-20-2007, 03:44 PM

I think I am starting to understand... I am not going to win

Ganchrow · 03-21-2007, 04:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jonathan

I think I am starting to understand... I am not going to win

You could win some other contest ... you just need to pay attention to the weather report.

Ganchrow · 03-22-2007, 11:39 PM

And spliff takes the lead ...

Code:

Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
-------------------------------------------------------
spliff         	32.69%	25.48%	16.17%	11.44%	$539.74
Wade Wright    	27.05%	13.37%	 8.93%	19.08%	$396.65
MAB            	13.03%	19.37%	20.77%	11.61%	$320.42
eboppterp      	 7.18%	12.44%	12.92%	11.79%	$196.98
ryeguy         	 4.70%	13.67%	14.07%	 3.48%	$174.76
Mulinello      	 4.52%	 6.37%	 1.94%	 0.35%	 $89.57
tbanaheimfan   	 2.91%	 1.56%	 6.43%	 9.07%	 $66.81
nasdaq888      	 3.05%	 2.78%	 3.15%	 2.31%	 $58.97
barn8306       	 2.51%	 2.26%	 5.34%	 3.36%	 $58.03
kissthecup     	 2.13%	 0.41%	 2.20%	 1.57%	 $31.90
Ira Wilton     	 0.00%	 0.15%	 3.68%	12.45%	 $24.41
Orange*        	 0.00%	 0.92%	 1.39%	 1.80%	 $11.50
dmariner       	 0.17%	 0.35%	 0.57%	 4.49%	 $10.03
TboneJones     	 0.05%	 0.45%	 0.59%	 3.11%	  $8.17
BuddyBear      	 0.00%	 0.15%	 1.43%	 2.35%	  $7.56
Razz           	 0.00%	 0.23%	 0.23%	 0.27%	  $2.37
DoctorJ        	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.54%	  $0.54
fitchjr1       	 0.00%	 0.03%	 0.10%	 0.02%	  $0.49
88159          	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.38%	  $0.38
scavsiu8       	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.23%	  $0.23
bearwins1      	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.04%	 0.04%	  $0.16
Crayzee        	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.02%	 0.07%	  $0.13
sonnythekid    	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.13%	  $0.13
tomc2356       	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.03%	  $0.04
Shooter        	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.02%	  $0.02

*SBR Employee

Illusion · 03-22-2007, 11:54 PM

Looks like I have been officially eliminated.

Ganchrow · 03-24-2007, 07:45 AM

There's a new Sheriff in town, and his name is MAB:

Code:

--ANY 100.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 88.94%	  7.47%	  2.92%	  0.67%	 $943.69
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 39.32%	 30.62%	 15.15%	 $342.95
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 19.20%	  9.58%	  8.65%	 $152.58
TboneJones     	  3.22%	 10.39%	  6.48%	 10.57%	 $124.57
dmariner       	  0.16%	  8.97%	 13.57%	 20.36%	 $116.50
barn8306       	  3.32%	  3.94%	  5.64%	  3.35%	  $77.16
nasdaq888      	  3.60%	  2.56%	  2.05%	  2.10%	  $59.63
88159          	  0.00%	  1.39%	  5.70%	  7.82%	  $33.28
mathewvick     	  0.55%	  2.16%	  1.37%	  1.65%	  $24.19
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  5.07%	  4.06%	  $19.25
spliff         	  0.00%	  1.94%	  1.20%	  2.75%	  $17.99
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.37%	  3.21%	  2.62%	  $14.47
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  4.39%	  0.67%	  $13.83
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.56%	  2.47%	  $13.15
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  1.15%	  0.40%	  0.62%	   $8.73
batlak         	  0.20%	  0.50%	  0.57%	  0.64%	   $7.35
Shooter        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.14%	  0.00%	   $6.41
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.20%	  5.42%	   $6.01
BigD           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.88%	  0.34%	   $2.99
rezster        	  0.00%	  0.27%	  0.39%	  0.11%	   $2.91
Sam FT         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.42%	   $2.42
patswin        	  0.00%	  0.36%	  0.00%	  0.15%	   $2.32
Pegasus        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.06%	   $2.06
gafl           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.73%	   $1.73
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.55%	   $1.55
jaypor236      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.85%	   $0.85
Razz           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.83%	   $0.83
Hilltopper     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.07%	  0.28%	   $0.50
michiganfan08  	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.10%	   $0.10

--Florida(1) Nat Champion 24.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 55.09%	 22.06%	 22.84%	 $419.59
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 25.62%	 19.09%	  0.00%	 $211.02
88159          	  0.00%	  6.54%	 16.74%	 11.56%	 $101.02
dmariner       	  0.00%	  3.64%	 16.68%	 10.19%	  $82.06
spliff         	  0.00%	  9.11%	  5.64%	  4.99%	  $76.54
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.05%	 10.90%	  $32.06
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  8.69%	  3.13%	  $29.20
Sam FT         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.38%	  $11.38
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.28%	   $7.28

--Georgetown(2) Nat Champion 9.92%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 83.01%	 16.99%	  0.00%	 $549.03
dmariner       	  0.00%	  6.16%	  3.60%	 35.56%	  $83.30
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 27.16%	  0.00%	  $81.48
Shooter        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 22.85%	  0.00%	  $68.54
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	 22.04%	  1.57%	  $67.70
barn8306       	  0.00%	  8.41%	  4.03%	  2.42%	  $64.98
nasdaq888      	  0.00%	  2.42%	  1.93%	  1.96%	  $22.27
Pegasus        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 22.04%	  $22.04
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.40%	  6.68%	  $10.88
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.24%	  $10.24
Razz           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  8.91%	   $8.91
gafl           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.55%	   $7.55
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.86%	   $0.86

--Kansas(1) Nat Champion 15.92%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 72.82%	 20.05%	  5.56%	  1.56%	 $866.80
barn8306       	 19.17%	  8.89%	 30.18%	 10.75%	 $346.30
TboneJones     	  8.01%	 26.84%	  9.25%	 19.63%	 $288.48
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 31.36%	 21.09%	  8.39%	 $259.83
dmariner       	  0.00%	  8.86%	  8.94%	 16.62%	  $96.57
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  4.00%	 15.43%	 20.81%	  $91.13
BigD           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  9.55%	  3.73%	  $32.39
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.92%	  $11.92

--Memphis(2) Nat Champion 17.59%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 85.60%	 14.40%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $942.41
dmariner       	  4.03%	 28.12%	  8.03%	  0.00%	 $233.17
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 24.49%	 17.39%	 28.40%	 $227.48
TboneJones     	  0.00%	 26.58%	 10.36%	 22.76%	 $213.31
barn8306       	 10.36%	  6.42%	  3.22%	 14.05%	 $165.85
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	 39.55%	 10.36%	 $129.03
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	 16.45%	  6.42%	  $55.77
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  4.99%	  9.68%	  $24.64
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.22%	   $3.22

--North Carolina(1) Nat Champion 18.53%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 81.39%	 12.65%	  3.99%	  1.96%	 $903.78
TboneJones     	 14.23%	 39.30%	 24.92%	 13.46%	 $466.28
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 29.40%	 18.93%	 25.23%	 $258.43
dmariner       	  0.00%	  9.59%	 20.58%	 22.05%	 $141.33
nasdaq888      	  4.38%	  3.50%	  0.00%	  4.92%	  $69.73
barn8306       	  0.00%	  3.99%	  6.88%	  2.42%	  $47.01
88159          	  0.00%	  0.00%	 12.25%	 10.24%	  $47.00
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.24%	  3.99%	  $34.70
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  9.79%	   $9.79

--Ohio St(1) Nat Champion 10.63%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 95.45%	  4.55%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $981.80
dmariner       	  2.46%	 64.25%	 33.29%	  0.00%	 $509.94
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 29.11%	 55.77%	  7.24%	 $349.20
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.04%	 54.44%	  $63.55
nasdaq888      	  2.09%	  2.09%	  5.94%	  0.00%	  $51.30
spliff         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 26.14%	  $26.14
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.59%	   $0.59

--Oregon(3) Nat Champion 4.19%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
nasdaq888      	 72.71%	 27.29%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $890.85
MAB            	 27.29%	 54.42%	 18.29%	  0.00%	 $654.28
barn8306       	  0.00%	 18.29%	 15.76%	 23.76%	 $180.80
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  0.00%	 34.23%	 31.96%	 $134.65
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	 18.38%	 18.49%	  $73.61
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.38%	  7.12%	  $41.26
Hilltopper     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.96%	  7.51%	  $13.39
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.17%	  $11.17

--UCLA(2) Nat Champion 8.93%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 85.55%	  2.14%	  8.