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Old 04-07-2008, 10:23 AM   #1 (permalink)
MeatMan73
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Default Confused: Memphis v. Kansas

As of 10:15am ET, 71% of the public is on Memphis -2. I thiought Ks would be the pick after they beat the public's favorite: NC.
Is Kansas tired after that tremendous effort? I dont want to call it a let-down in the title game, but can they bring-it again like they did Saturday night? That's gonna be tough to duplicate that same performance.
On the other hand, most "experts" think this game is going to be very close and go down to the wire. Which leads us to that old discussion of Memphis and their free-throws. Kansas has the edge there.
So, I'm torn. I won in the past NCAA title game on Florida, because they looked to me like they were on a mission. And if I had to use that as a criteria, Memphis looks to me like they are on a mission. I was at the Davidson- Kansas game, & the Jayhawks did not look too motivated to me in the 1st half. I wonder is Memphis preaching "we are disrespected" in their lockerroom.
MEN - I need your thoughts Please
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Old 04-07-2008, 10:27 AM   #2 (permalink)
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Kansas is on cloud 9 after dominating unc like no other team has. Memphis won the poll of 1st #1 seed to be knocked out. They get knocked on free throws all the time. Memphis has been slighted all year. They are men on a mission IMO and will win by a decisive margin
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Old 04-07-2008, 10:34 AM   #3 (permalink)
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A couple things you might find interesting about the free throws:

In the tournament so far, Kansas is 54-82 from the line (65.9%), and Memphis is 113-161 from the line (70.2%).

Also, Memphis (61% FT), Tennessee (62% FT) and Wagner (60% FT) were a combined 20-3 in one-possession games this year (Source: Ken Pomeroy). If there is fouling late in the game, expect Memphis to keep the ball in Rose or CDR's hands (70% ft shooters).
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Old 04-07-2008, 10:40 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Just heard on sports radio, that some nut-case just bet $550,000 on Kansas in Vegas
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Old 04-07-2008, 05:07 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by turnip View Post
A couple things you might find interesting about the free throws:

In the tournament so far, Kansas is 54-82 from the line (65.9%), and Memphis is 113-161 from the line (70.2%).

Also, Memphis (61% FT), Tennessee (62% FT) and Wagner (60% FT) were a combined 20-3 in one-possession games this year (Source: Ken Pomeroy). If there is fouling late in the game, expect Memphis to keep the ball in Rose or CDR's hands (70% ft shooters).
81.1% from the the line over the last three games for memphis.

Also, at least one opposing guard has fouled out over the past three games. Whats that mean? Rose/CDR shooting most of the free throws, and they are for real from the line.

Kansas' 3 losses had what in common? Opposing guard play getting KU in foul trouble.

2+2=Memphis -2
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Old 04-07-2008, 07:30 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Derrick Rose is ****ing hot. I saw him play in Chicago, and saw him play in Memphis. This dude is gonna rip Kansas apart.
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Old 04-07-2008, 07:30 PM   #7 (permalink)
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kansas to win more than 4 pts!
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Old 04-07-2008, 07:38 PM   #8 (permalink)
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i am consistently wrong in the final fours so i will defer to BOT, who seems to be about 100x better on this lately than anyone else
unless i am missing something, he likes memph
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Old 04-07-2008, 07:43 PM   #9 (permalink)
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itz evenly matched. for those foul trouble concerns, at this magnitude of a game do u think refs and ncaa would allow dat? my way of thinking is 'they will let these kids play the game' whoever is the better team will come out as a victor. itz not gonna be becoz of silly fouls being called. fuk dat if they do!
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Old 04-07-2008, 08:20 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Quote:
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i am consistently wrong in the final fours so i will defer to BOT, who seems to be about 100x better on this lately than anyone else
unless i am missing something, he likes memph
Thats correct Ryan, Memphis is my pick. Memphis ML at -117 at matchbook is the best line out there for Memphis.
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Old 04-08-2008, 07:57 AM   #11 (permalink)
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There are some heavy losses out there this morning, man that game could have gone either way. I'd like to know who was the guy who laid 1/2 mill. on Ks yesterday in Vegas, I bet he's still drunk this morning. Win or Lose- that was one tremendous game. To me it ranks with Villanova-Georgetown and Houston-NC State. A classic for the ages- 2 great teams battling into OT. wow
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