Thursday & Friday Tournament ML Parlay and Discussion thread. Best thread on SBR!!

imgv94 · 03-16-2008, 08:03 PM

Alright ladies and gentleman.. This is thread where it all goes down for the Thursday and Friday Tournament Games..

We mostly discuss MLs and parlays but nothing is ever forbidden here. I think the first round will offer ample opportunity for us to make some damn good coin. I want to see all the original cats here and a few new cats as well.

Good Luck my people, may all your buzzer beaters be winning ones.

Remember this is going to be a two day thread because I know many of us are going to connect teams from Thursday to Friday..

$Bnizi · 03-16-2008, 10:05 PM

took the day off to re-group from a brutal week. still believe in these plays though and im looking forward to the tourney. we have three days to put in some real good work for the weekend. lets finish this season strong gentlemen.

imgv94 · 03-16-2008, 10:13 PM

You're a big part of this thread b..

BTW #1 seeds have never lost so putting them in ML parlays will take off free cents..

Notre Dame ML over Mason? Mason isn't beating ND

NardVa · 03-16-2008, 10:55 PM

Just going off point spreads a couple of small Underdog ML's that may be good are Gonzaga, St Mary's, and St Joseph's. And two that may be a little risker are Siena and South Alabama.

Wassymac · 03-16-2008, 11:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by imgv94

You're a big part of this thread b..

BTW #1 seeds have never lost so putting them in ML parlays will take off free cents..

Notre Dame ML over Mason? Mason isn't beating ND

You don't think? Notre Dame relies too much on the 3 to think their safe IMO and Mason defends pretty well. I think that could be a dangerous one.

Just my thoughts

stingyrivers · 03-17-2008, 12:39 AM

what up guys, imgv.... i was under the impression 1 v 16 games wont have a ML as the spreads will be in the 20's possibly as high as 30?

Here is my strategy....

if possible, try to make two plays....

the four 2 seeds

and the four 3 seeds on a smaller play....

i have the statistics on this somewhere, but in 23 yrs.... a 2 seed has only lost twice i believe, and in the same time span a 3 seed has only lost a handful of times.....

and with the field we are looking at i dont see a 2 or a 3 going down here.....

last year in the first round, no 1 through 4 seeds lost in the first round, so that means any ML parlay using any 1 through 4 seeds was a winner.... let's cash this guys....

also, 1 seeds are not really usuable in the first round, however, in 23 years they almost have a perfect record in the second round as well, so all four 1 seeds together in one play in the second round is a near definite winner and a much more plausible play as the spreads will be around 10 points or so when they each face an 8 or 9 seed....

can you tell i am excited, i have had this idea since last year specifically for this tourney, so i am amped up for the lines to come out....

what's everyone else got going?

OLGC_Slayer · 03-17-2008, 12:45 AM

I found a teaser I think I like......Washington State is not a team that can bury opponents, and Winthrop can play some pretty solid D (I believe top ten in the nation points against per game, yes mind you in a weak conference).....

Winthrop +13.5
St. Joe's +6.5
Oklahoma looked pretty flat last time out. The Sooners might win straight up but I really think this one stays very close. I like this St Josephs team late this year and I'm hoping that second half abortion against Temple was just an little squelch.

Just a lean right now and certainly open to criticism. Have only looked real close at about 12 games or so.

Whoops sorry wrong thread mods will you move this to imgv's ML and discussion thread? Sorry.

$Bnizi · 03-17-2008, 12:47 AM

Very early leans...

Xavier
Wisc
Notre Dame
Mich St
Pitt
Uconn
Gtown
Texas
Louisville

OLGC_Slayer · 03-17-2008, 12:50 AM

I found a teaser I think I like......Washington State is not a team that can bury opponents, and Winthrop can play some pretty solid D (I believe top ten in the nation points against per game, yes mind you in a weak conference).....

Winthrop +13.5
St. Joe's +6.5
Oklahoma looked pretty flat last time out. The Sooners might win straight up but I really think this one stays very close. I like this St Josephs team late this year and I'm hoping that second half abortion against Temple was just an little squelch.

Just a lean right now and certainly open to criticism. Have only looked real close at about 12 games or so.

$Bnizi · 03-17-2008, 12:51 AM

possible play...

Xavier
Wisc
Pitt

diogee · 03-17-2008, 12:55 AM

Wow nice job so far guys....you guys are hardcore

stingyrivers · 03-17-2008, 01:02 AM

whoa!!!

where did u guys get lines alreadY?

diogee · 03-17-2008, 01:03 AM

SBR lines already shows lines at 4 of the top books.

$Bnizi · 03-17-2008, 01:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stingyrivers

whoa!!!

where did u guys get lines alreadY?

5dimes...

Thu 3/20 707 Belmont +19½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 708 Duke -19½ -110

Thu 3/20 709 Arizona +2 -110
3:00PM (EST) 710 West Virginia -2 -110

Thu 3/20 711 Georgia +7½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 712 Xavier -7½ -110

Thu 3/20 713 Baylor +3 -110
3:00PM (EST) 714 Purdue -3 -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - Qwest Center - Omaha, Nebraska

Thu 3/20 715 Portland State +25 -110
3:00PM (EST) 716 Kansas -25 -110

Thu 3/20 717 Kent State -2 -110
3:00PM (EST) 718 UNLV +2 -110

Thu 3/20 719 CS Fullerton +11½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 720 Wisconsin -11½ -110

Thu 3/20 721 Kansas State +2½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 722 USC -2½ -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - Pepsi Center - Denver, Colorado

Thu 3/20 723 George Mason +6½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 724 Notre Dame -6½ -110

Thu 3/20 725 Winthrop +8½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 726 Washington State -8½ -110

Thu 3/20 727 Temple +6½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 728 Michigan State -6½ -110

Thu 3/20 729 Oral Roberts +10 -110
3:00PM (EST) 730 Pittsburgh -10 -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - Honda Center - Anaheim, California

Thu 3/20 731 Cornell +15½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 732 Stanford -15½ -110

Thu 3/20 733 Kentucky +4½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 734 Marquette -4½ -110

Thu 3/20 735 Mississippi Valley State +32 -110
3:00PM (EST) 736 UCLA -32 -110

Thu 3/20 737 Texas A&M -2 -110
3:00PM (EST) 738 BYU +2 -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - St. Petes Times Forum - Tampa, Florida

Fri 3/21 821 Villanova +6½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 822 Clemson -6½ -110

Fri 3/21 823 Siena +7½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 824 Vanderbilt -7½ -110

Fri 3/21 825 Western Kentucky +5 -110
3:00PM (EST) 826 Drake -5 -110

Fri 3/21 827 San Diego +11½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 828 Connecticut -11½ -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - RBC Center - Raleigh, North Carolina

Fri 3/21 831 Arkansas +1½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 832 Indiana U -1½ -110

Fri 3/21 833 Maryland Baltimore County +17½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 834 Georgetown -17½ -110

Fri 3/21 835 Davidson -2 -110
3:00PM (EST) 836 Gonzaga +2 -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - Alltel Arena - Little Rock, Arkansas

Fri 3/21 837 Texas Arlington +25 -110
3:00PM (EST) 838 Memphis U -25 -110

Fri 3/21 839 Oregon +3 -110
3:00PM (EST) 840 Mississippi State -3 -110

Fri 3/21 841 Austin Peay +16½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 842 Texas -16½ -110

Fri 3/21 843 Saint Mary's CA +2 -110
3:00PM (EST) 844 Miami Florida -2 -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - BJCC -Birmingham, Alabama

Fri 3/21 845 American +20 -110
3:00PM (EST) 846 Tennessee -20 -110

Fri 3/21 847 South Alabama +4 -110
3:00PM (EST) 848 Butler -4 -110

Fri 3/21 849 Boise State +13½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 850 Louisville -13½ -110

Fri 3/21 851 St. Joseph's +1½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 852 Oklahoma -1½ -110

stingyrivers · 03-17-2008, 01:14 AM

thanks bro....

sucks the two seeds are way high too, but here is what i got so far that seems as safe as safe comes:

Wiscy
Pitt
UConn
LVille

should pay at about -120

and i would say has about a 85-90% chance of cashing

stingyrivers · 03-17-2008, 01:17 AM

hmm just ran the numbers on it, that play i posted might run more like -130 to -140

*Thursday & Friday* Tournament ML Parlay and Discussion thread. Best thread on SBR!!

Thursday & Friday Tournament ML Parlay and Discussion thread. Best thread on SBR!!