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Old 03-27-09, 02:40 PM   #1
stingyrivers
 
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Default help i need advice from the wisest of the wise here

hi guys....

got myself in a spot....

memphis losing straight up caused a series of actions on my part, and the result is:

i essentially have 80% of my bankroll riding on

Lville
UNC

ML Parlay


i still have 20% of my bankroll as available balance


what should i do????

any way to hedge this in a worth while way?

or is there some other strong play tonight i can use the 20% on seperate from Lville, Unc... in order to have a small safety net?


all suggestions welcome, and great thanks in advance
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Old 03-27-09, 02:47 PM   #2
WOODCHIP
 
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Take syracuse and buy 3 points. Cuse +4 = MONEY
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Old 03-27-09, 02:50 PM   #3
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Great idea woodchip, hedge with a game that he didn't pick in his original bet
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Old 03-27-09, 02:50 PM   #4
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Pray for the light of day... Why put yourself in this position...hopefully you win... But did you see how close Xavier came to cleaning out several degenerates bankrolls yesterday? It can happen... I have my fingers crossed for you GL... G.
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Old 03-27-09, 02:53 PM   #5
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Take a look at betting Gonz. and Ariz. ML individually.
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Old 03-27-09, 02:57 PM   #6
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But personally, if you placed 80% on that you must feel pretty confident. I wouldn't touch it unless you need that money.
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Old 03-27-09, 03:03 PM   #7
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Default stingyrivers

Forget bying points. That rout is madness. You said your bankroll is hurting. Why waste it. Forget the zags. Take other two on M.L. and parlay them. You should be O.K.
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Old 03-27-09, 03:11 PM   #8
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take a deep breath, grab a drink and enjoy the games. I think your ml Parlay is pretty safe, you should probably just let it ride without hedging it, while I think the ACC stinks, UNC isn't going to pull a Duke tonight
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Old 03-27-09, 03:15 PM   #9
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Your probably right. Awfully hard to argue with your logic.
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Old 03-27-09, 03:26 PM   #10
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thanks guys...

i do think Lville and Unc win straight up here so im probably good, but this late in the tourney you never know....

Pitino is 8-0 in the sweet sixteen and in the sweet sixteen 1 seeds v. 12 seeds are 15-0 in the history of the tourney, so history is on my side in that one at least
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Old 03-27-09, 03:29 PM   #11
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UNC is by far the cream of the crop in the ACC they can't really be compared with Duke. And Wake Forest was a young team that didn't handle their first trip to the tourney well. If they had another try right now I believe they make it to the Sweet 16 at the very least. ACC is nowhere near Big East but it is still near the top and definately stronger than the West Coast.

UNC 3-0 against Sweet 16 teams
Gonzaga 0-3 against Sweet 16 teams
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Old 03-27-09, 03:53 PM   #12
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Default stingyrivers

You will be O.K. Made the same play. We rock tonight!
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Old 03-27-09, 04:10 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stingyrivers View Post
hi guys....

got myself in a spot....

memphis losing straight up caused a series of actions on my part, and the result is:

i essentially have 80% of my bankroll riding on

Lville
UNC

ML Parlay


i still have 20% of my bankroll as available balance


what should i do????

any way to hedge this in a worth while way?

or is there some other strong play tonight i can use the 20% on seperate from Lville, Unc... in order to have a small safety net?


all suggestions welcome, and great thanks in advance

According to The Greek, the juice on your ML parlay is -204. You bet 80% of your bankroll to earn back less than half your wager. I hope it hits, but the ruin-to-reward ratio seems off. Good luck.
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Old 03-27-09, 04:14 PM   #14
stingyrivers
 
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wrong.... that's why i said essentially


i didnt play a Lville/Unc ML

i played several ML parlays with Lville and Unc as the last two legs....

essentially for what i laid down, i am getting the last two legs of Lville and Unc for about even money

all the other parts of the 6 parlays already won between weds and thurs nite, i should have been more clear, but for simplicity sake i just boiled it down as what i actually have left at the moment... essentially a ML parlay on Lville/Unc
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Old 03-27-09, 04:19 PM   #15
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Your third play should be Mich.St. Do you not think.Thanks.
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Old 03-27-09, 04:24 PM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DennisT View Post
Your third play should be Mich.St. Do you not think.Thanks.
I got what I wanted last night: Syracuse +1 and Kansas +1.5
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Old 03-27-09, 04:24 PM   #17
stingyrivers
 
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i got the big play on Lville/Unc already mentioned i got cuse in a medium play aleady

was thinking of the Kansas game, but i am actually torn 50/50 on capping that game.... tough game to pick, really depends on which teams show up at the tip
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Old 03-27-09, 04:29 PM   #18
Ralphie1412
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people who chase with parlays is retarded. "oh shit im down a lot, oh well nothing that a 6 teamer wont cure"
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Old 03-27-09, 04:38 PM   #19
stingyrivers
 
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never mind kill this thread, many are not understanding what i did for whatever reason

i did not chase with a parlay
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