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Old 02-24-09, 08:36 AM   #1
kevsworld
 
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Default Kevsworld Tuesday

Worked late last night, but was able to squeeze in my bets before the the gates opened...2-0 last night, on a couple of obvious. Da'Ville was a gift and Kansas was a no brainer...but it's easier to say now that its over!

17-12

New day, new bets...hard work...

Creighton @ Missouri. St. +6 (8:05pm)

The game looks like an easy pick, the only issue to worry about is if Creighton is looking past Mizz St, for their last game with Ill St. Other than that -6 is reasonable to cover.
Creighton is 8-3 ATS on the road, Mizz St. is 4-10 ATS @ home.

@Mizz
CREIGHTON is 2-0 against the spread versus MIzz ST over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 2-0 straight up against MIzz ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CREIGHTON is 6-0 against the spread versus MIzz ST over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 6-0 straight up against MIzz ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Last edited by kevsworld; 02-24-09 at 10:26 AM..
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Old 02-24-09, 08:47 AM   #2
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Florida St. @ Boston College +2.5


Any thought on this game. I am leaning towards FS, but would like to hear what you are thinking about this game...window shopping right now
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Old 02-24-09, 09:21 AM   #3
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Pittsburgh @ Providence -8 (7:00pm)

I cap this game at -10, Pitt has some rested starters as the reserves carried the load against DePaul. Prov defense suffers as they allow high scoring games against ranked opponents. There bench is not deep enough to compete with Pitt.

PROVIDENCE is 1-1 against the spread versus PITT over the last 3 seasons
PITT is 2-0 straight up against PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Old 02-24-09, 09:48 AM   #4
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Creighton looks really good. i have today LSU -3,5. GL to You with your picks
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Old 02-24-09, 09:51 AM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kaspbart View Post
Creighton looks really good. i have today LSU -3,5. GL to You with your picks
Thanks, Kas...be careful with that LSU pick, seems to obvious,,,
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Old 02-24-09, 09:52 AM   #6
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leaning towards BC right now.............but if the spread moves any towards Fla st I will probably take them or do nothing at all. Its a close one!!
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Old 02-24-09, 09:55 AM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by roadwarrior1 View Post
leaning towards BC right now.............but if the spread moves any towards Fla st I will probably take them or do nothing at all. Its a close one!!
I am waiting on the line movement...to close right now,,, Thanks Brother.
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Old 02-24-09, 09:58 AM   #8
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I think LSU is solid right now at -4..........-5 would be closer..........I do not see any trap here.
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Old 02-24-09, 09:59 AM   #9
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yes.same here on BC..........not doing anything until later on. The line will tell us what to do.
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Old 02-24-09, 10:05 AM   #10
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LSU lost last 3 spreads, but winning those games.They were close. i think that today is time to get up and cover the spread. i Know that florida isnt bad team, they got good overall stats, they are good at Away games, but look at the LSU. 18-1 at home, They lost with Xavier,it will be hard game, but LSU looks preety good ... GL to all
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Old 02-24-09, 10:12 AM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by roadwarrior1 View Post
I think LSU is solid right now at -4..........-5 would be closer..........I do not see any trap here.
I did too, at first glance...it was one of the first games I looked at...did not get a good feeling. It just seems to easy of a pick, and the obvious play...not sure why the line is where it is...

Looking at it again i see LSU is the outright pick...but I will pass...

LSU is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

LSU is 6-4 ATS at home
Fld is is 3-4 ATS on the road
LSU is 1-0 after failing to cover 3 consecutive games.

Last edited by kevsworld; 02-24-09 at 10:19 AM..
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Old 02-24-09, 10:39 AM   #12
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Penn St. @ Ohio St. -5.5

This another I'm not sure about. OSU is in a must win part of their season at home to stay alive. The loss of lighty has really hurt them thus far. I cap this game at -7.

OSU is 6-6 ATS at home
Penn St is 6-3 ATS on the road

OSU is 2-0 as home fav under 6.
PSU is 0-1 as road dogs under 6.

I like my Buckeyes is this game... but just can't pull the trigger on them...guess being in the neg with them isi the reason.

anyone?

Last edited by kevsworld; 02-24-09 at 10:52 AM..
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Old 02-24-09, 10:50 AM   #13
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I have to work late tonight, and so I have to get my bets in before I leave...

Booked:

[717] PITTSBURGH -7½-120 (B+½)
[727] CREIGHTON -6-110

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Old 02-24-09, 11:22 AM   #14
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My Creighton numbers are not coming up to -6..............more like -2. Trends look good but the numbers are not matching up. I am going to do some more work there.
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Old 02-24-09, 12:01 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by roadwarrior1 View Post
My Creighton numbers are not coming up to -6..............more like -2. Trends look good but the numbers are not matching up. I am going to do some more work there.
Great...well I have the bet booked, and heading to work. I will stick to my guns...it has been going good so far. As I mentioned, they are looking at a close game if they are not focused on this one. Looking ahead always causes problems...I am betting they are taking one at a time, it's always a gamble!

BOL to everyone!
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Old 02-24-09, 01:25 PM   #16
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Hi All,

I say LSU spanks it down tonight! Very big weekend in that part of the world, it will only add to them being fired up and giving the crowd a great show. GL all
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Old 02-24-09, 01:27 PM   #17
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i think even my g-mom is taking LSU today . Let's cash this bastard of a line.
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Old 02-24-09, 09:56 PM   #18
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Final


[717] PITTSBURGH -7½-120 (B+½) Loss (73-81)


17-13
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Old 02-24-09, 09:58 PM   #19
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Damn Pitt blew it, what up kev? I'm jumping on San Diego ST tonight. glad i got home to late to get
on PITT
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Old 02-24-09, 10:11 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by romoney View Post
Damn Pitt blew it, what up kev? I'm jumping on San Diego ST tonight. glad i got home to late to get
on PITT
Good for you, nothing else going on waiting on Creighton to pull out this cover, I just hope they did not run out of gas catching up!

I just took San Diego St too...they are even, and I am going with the home team...

[742] SAN DIEGO STATE PK-110loss

Final
[727] CREIGHTON -6-110 Push (65-59)


Hope you picked a winner!
17-14-1

GL

Last edited by kevsworld; 02-25-09 at 05:20 AM..
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